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According to the official event report from UNCX Network, on October 14, attackers exploited a set of public vesting operations of Smart Token Vesting V2, creating a discrepancy between the token balance in the pool and the recorded shares, allowing the controlled positions to withdraw excess tokens.The attack affected four networks: Ethereum, BNB Chain, Base, and Robinhood, involving 10 tokens and a total of 11 confirmed withdrawal transactions, with a verified economic value of approximately $807,609, of which about $567,500 was from the BNB Chain. The involved calls did not use administrator privileges.After the incident, white hats returned 82,143,476 X tokens and 23.8682 ETH, and currently, there are no significant tokens pending disposal. UNCX stated that it is working with legal advisors to review technical evidence and subsequent handling.

The cryptocurrency trading platform Bitfinex stated that among the approximately 60,000 BTC accumulated by Bitcoin whales, most were purchased since late August, with buying prices ranging from about $80,000 to $86,000.Bitfinex noted that this price range is roughly equivalent to Bitcoin's current price. The platform also mentioned that if these whales continue to hold the aforementioned Bitcoin during this round of correction, the price just above $80,000 will receive support.

Renowned trader Killa stated that if Bitcoin is to evolve according to the current trend structure, it needs to form a higher low above $75,500, ideally also holding the low around $80,000. This is similar to the trend in 2023: at that time, Bitcoin formed a higher high on the weekly level, then retraced and held the original range. This may explain why the recent low time frame market seems so prone to triggering stop losses, with aggressive movements and traces of algorithmic trading.Bitcoin once reclaimed its internal structure in the $82,000 range, then retraced, broke the structure again, and then reclaimed it once more. The entire market seems to be deliberately enticing traders to enter. It must be acknowledged that the initial drop to the $81,000 range was not ideal from a structural perspective. However, there were a large number of shorts concentrated at the lows, which may explain the subsequent price reaction.Another detail worth noting is that during the drop from $84,100 to $81,000, only about $300 million in long positions were liquidated; whereas previously, during the drop from $86,800 to $80,600, the scale of long liquidations exceeded $2 billion. The significant decrease in long liquidation scale indicates that the current market's reliance on long positions may be lower than before. The current market situation is quite delicate. Bitcoin needs to form a higher low at the current position to initiate a new round of upward movement; otherwise, this pullback may bring the price below $80,000. As of now, the so-called "crash protection team" has done well in maintaining the price, but it is also continuously disrupting the internal oscillation range in the low time frame.

According to CoinGlass data, in the past 24 hours, 10 exchanges have liquidated approximately $803 million in leveraged positions, with long positions accounting for $694 million, representing 86%, affecting a total of 172,100 traders. About $595 million, nearly three-quarters of the total for the day, was liquidated in the last 12 hours, as the South Korean KOSPI index fell by more than 6%, and Bitcoin briefly dropped below $81,000. The largest single liquidation was a $9.65 million Bitcoin long position on Binance, which was forcibly closed at around $81,773, with Binance accounting for half of the total liquidation volume.Bitcoin topped the list with $181 million in liquidations, followed closely by Ethereum with $178 million, despite its market capitalization being much smaller than Bitcoin's; SOL positions lost $60 million, ZEC $24 million, and NEAR $22 million. Stock-related contracts then made the list, with perpetual contracts tracking U.S. storage chip manufacturer SanDisk liquidating $19.09 million, slightly above HYPE's $19.04 million and XRP's $18.78 million. These perpetual contracts allow traders to bet on stock prices without an expiration date on cryptocurrency exchanges, with contracts for SK Hynix, Micron, and the triple-leveraged U.S. semiconductor ETF SOXL also appearing on the heatmap, with SOXL liquidating $7.21 million.The aforementioned losses coincided with a sell-off in the Seoul market, where Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix each fell by about 8%, as the market worried about AI-related valuations and competition from Chinese storage chip manufacturers.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Bitcoin October Price Prediction" event on the Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80,000" has experienced severe fluctuations in winning probability, dropping from 80.5% an hour ago to the current 64.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit Mining Pool, stated in a post that he currently believes Bitcoin is very likely to fall below $80,000, but it is very unlikely to drop below $77,000.$77,000 is both the point of control (POC) for the trading volume distribution of the previous fluctuation range and the POC since the rise on August 19, which is the price level with the largest trading volume in the corresponding range. He also believes that the market is very unlikely to drop below $75,000, allowing everyone to buy in at a comfortable position.

According to the market report from QCP Group, BTC has shown relatively stable performance one year after the largest single-day liquidation event in October last year. Despite market concerns over the U.S. government's transfer of a large amount of BTC and the hacking of Ledger, the price remains in a range-bound fluctuation. BTC has repeatedly attempted to break through $87,000 without success, but the support at $80,000 below is relatively solid.In the options market, implied volatility remains high, with put option premiums narrowing, and the market overall leans towards waiting for a breakout rather than defensive positioning; if BTC effectively breaks through $87,000, the next target may point to $94,000. Notably, there is a large-scale long position in a 90,000/95,000/100,000 dollar call butterfly option expiring on October 30, which is the largest concentration of positions for the current month-end.This week, the macroeconomic environment will face a key test, with U.S. CPI and PPI data being released successively. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will speak at the IMF-World Bank annual meeting. The market is currently pricing in about a 17% probability of a rate hike in October, and the aforementioned data and policy signals may become important triggers for BTC's directional choice.

Analyst Darkfost stated that the current Bitcoin trend is highly similar to the period from late 2025 to early 2026. Currently, BTC is fluctuating around a capital-weighted cost benchmark of approximately $80,500, and this support level remains effective.Unlike the realized price that only calculates the purchase price, the capital-weighted cost benchmark introduces the amount of invested capital for weighted calculation. This area is a key turning point where investors are generally at the breakeven edge. The concerns raised by the current market situation are prompting most investors to take action, and the subsequent trend still needs to be closely monitored.

Renowned trader Killa stated that buyers are absorbing selling pressure during the recent pullback, which resembles the pattern seen in a previous consolidation range, and there is very little support below the current price level. The market order wall shows a strong accumulation of buy orders just above the $80,000 level, and the buyers' conviction is strong; this price level is also an important psychological barrier for Bitcoin.Killa mentioned that if Bitcoin's weekly K-line closes above the previous week's low (around $82,600) this week, it would be a bullish signal, potentially indicating a typical return to the range after a stop-loss hunt. Killa, a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Bitcoin October Price Prediction" event on the Polymarket market, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80,000" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 70.5% an hour ago to the current 86% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Renowned trader Killa stated that Bitcoin has once again failed to break through $87,000, and the 10x leveraged long position he previously established has been stopped out at breakeven. This position was part of an aggressive trend continuation trade, originally expecting BTC to break through during the second test of the high, but after the failure to break, the price returned to the entry point.Killa mentioned that he will focus on the $80,000 to $82,000 range next, looking for opportunities to re-establish the 10x leveraged long position. Currently, he still holds long positions established at $62,600 and $76,400, and there is no reason to rush into adding new long positions. He emphasized that risk management is crucial, and his existing BTC holdings are sufficient. Regarding future trends, Killa maintains a bullish outlook, expecting prices to continue rising. He believes that the current market is in a short-term oscillation, while he primarily trades based on longer cycles.

On-chain analyst Darkfost stated that there has been a significant improvement in the Bitcoin market trend compared to late August, and this change is reflected in the Capital Cost Basis indicator.This indicator weights the realized price based on the scale of funds invested by investors when purchasing Bitcoin, giving more weight to BTC bought at higher prices. Currently, this cost basis is approximately $80,400.Darkfost pointed out that the Bitcoin price was still hovering around this key level in late August, but now it has closed above this level for several consecutive weeks, indicating that most of the invested funds in the market are in a slight profit state. As the profit situation gradually improves, investor positions are also stabilizing, which helps the market maintain resilience during the current consolidation phase.

Killa posted on platform X, stating that it believes the bottom for Bitcoin has already appeared. From the current level to $126,000, the maximum pullback in this bull market is expected to be around 10% to 15%. If Bitcoin forms a local high near $87,000 before further dropping to just above $70,000, that area may become the bottom for Bitcoin; if it reaches the relevant price level, it will significantly increase the continuation of the upward trend for long positions.Killa stated that Bitcoin is currently testing a key area near $80,000. If it can hold the previously broken range high, the upward trend may continue; it will only consider shorting near $90,000.

On-chain data shows that 1.4175 billion WLFI tokens, matching the holdings disclosed by U.S. President Trump, were transferred into a lock-up contract via a multi-signature transaction on May 19, establishing the first clear monetization timeline for his approximately $800 million holdings. Participants in this vesting plan must immediately burn 10% of the tokens upon entry and set a two-year cliff period, followed by a linear release over three years, with the earliest sale not possible until May 2028.On-chain data indicates that a total of six internal wallets transferred tokens into this contract, with the largest wallet depositing 1.575 billion WLFI, retaining 1.4175 billion after burning, consistent with Trump's disclosed holdings; two other wallets each deposited 375 million, and three wallets each deposited 225 million. This lock-up contract is currently the largest single holder of WLFI, holding 4.61 billion tokens, nearly half of the total supply. The total supply of WLFI has been reduced from a cap of 10 billion to 9.67 billion.This vesting plan was created through a governance proposal passed around May 6, with 11,537 wallets voting in support. Founders who hold tokens can choose to convert indefinite lock-up into a two-year cliff period plus a three-year vesting period, with participation being voluntary. A spokesperson for World Liberty Financial, David Wachsman, stated that the community voted in support of the founders burning tokens, and the co-founders transferred tokens into a smart contract to complete the burn, taking on the strictest lock-up conditions among all token holders.

Polymarket data shows that traders expect a 64% probability that Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in September, and a 68.5% probability that it will drop to $75,000. Market pricing indicates a higher likelihood of a downward scenario. The market stipulates that if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute K-line highest price reaches or exceeds $80,000 before September 30, it will be determined as "Yes."The market was created on September 7, and prices before creation are not counted; Bitcoin reached $81,265 and $80,329 on September 4 and September 7, respectively. Polymarket data shows that the total trading volume for the September price event is $5.17 million, with liquidity of about $1.46 million; Bitcoin's intraday high reached $79,505, just $495 away from triggering conditions. The probabilities for $90,000 and $100,000 are 8.5% and 1.75%, respectively, while the probabilities for $72,500 and $70,000 are 40.5% and 22.5%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin September Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Above $80,000" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 69% an hour ago to the current 85.5% (a fluctuation of 16.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, after Elon Musk replied to the SLINK post from Shivon Zilis's hacked account, multiple traders rushed into the token. Just four traders lost about $807,000. The market capitalization of $SLINK once soared to about $80 million, then plummeted to about $2 million, a drop of over 97% from its peak.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin September Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Breakthrough $80,000" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 76.55% an hour ago to the current 95.15% (a fluctuation of 18.6%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.