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BTC $65,614.17 +2.01%
ETH $1,721.31 +3.07%
BNB $614.66 +0.75%
XRP $1.18 +3.64%
SOL $71.27 +4.75%
TRX $0.3197 +0.83%
DOGE $0.0885 +1.96%
ADA $0.1814 +6.47%
BCH $213.83 +5.45%
LINK $8.21 +4.01%
HYPE $66.01 +9.99%
AAVE $72.65 +10.01%
SUI $0.7943 +5.03%
XLM $0.1901 +2.74%
ZEC $493.92 +16.48%

$80

Analysis: The net inflow to trading platforms and the outflow of ETFs have created a potential selling pressure of 34,000 BTC. Bitcoin still needs spot buying support if it is to challenge the $80,000 mark

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that although BTC recently regained the $77,000 level, the net inflow to trading platforms and the continuous outflow from spot ETFs still exert localized selling pressure on the market. Data shows that in the past week, the net inflow of BTC to exchanges was about 18,000 BTC, indicating that more BTC is being transferred to trading platforms in preparation for selling. At the same time, the net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs during the same period was about 16,000 BTC. The combined data creates a potential selling pressure of approximately 34,000 BTC.Glassnode data also shows that the daily trading volume of spot BTC ETFs has fallen below $20 billion, having once exceeded $50 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting a cooling of speculative demand from traditional financial channels. However, market sentiment has recently warmed due to improved expectations for a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran. BTC quickly rebounded to around $77,800 after dropping below $75,000.Derivatives data indicates that this round of price increase was mainly driven by short covering. The total open interest (OI) of BTC slightly rebounded from about 268,000 BTC to 250,000 BTC, and the funding rate also cooled down, indicating a decrease in the crowding of leveraged long positions. Analysts believe that if BTC wants to further challenge the $80,000 mark, it still needs both spot demand and open interest to grow in sync.

Analysis: The potential agreement between the US and Iran, along with Strategy's increased investment in Bitcoin, may drive Bitcoin back above $80,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that after Bitcoin's failure to break above $82,000, it faced selling pressure and is once again testing the $76,000 level. In four days, the scale of long position liquidations reached $400 million, with prices dropping about 7% from recent highs. Nevertheless, analysts believe that the conditions for Bitcoin to return to $80,000 are accumulating, with three potential catalysts worth noting.First, Strategy (MSTR) invested $2 billion in Bitcoin over the past week, providing effective support amid market pressure. At the same time, the company repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029, and repaying part of its senior debt in advance helps reduce future dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders, creating space for subsequent new stock issuance and continued Bitcoin purchases.Second, on a macro level, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose to 4.6%, a 16-month high, as investor confidence gradually shifts towards scarce assets. In 2026, $2 trillion in long-term debt will mature, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue purchasing bonds, which will further weaken the dollar's attractiveness. Gold saw a significant rise this January but has since given back most of its gains, while Bitcoin rebounded from $65,000 to $76,500 during the same period, indicating an increasing recognition of its safe-haven properties in the market.Third, if the situation in Iran sees a turnaround, risk appetite is expected to recover quickly. On Monday, Brent crude oil prices rose to $113, with negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz experiencing fluctuations; since the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran in late February, oil prices have cumulatively risen over 50%. If an agreement is reached between the U.S. and Iran, a drop in energy prices will alleviate inflationary pressures, and Bitcoin is expected to return above $80,000. Currently, U.S. stocks are close to historical highs, while Bitcoin is still down about 39% from its peak.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged and then fell below $80,000, with ETF capital outflows and geopolitical risks combining to suppress market sentiment

Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark this week, following a five-day streak of net inflows into spot ETFs, as the market's rebound momentum from February's lows showed signs of cooling. The U.S. April non-farm payroll data added 115,000 jobs, exceeding the expected 62,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%. Although the overall data was relatively strong, it did not significantly alleviate market concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty; instead, it reinforced expectations that "energy-driven inflation limits the space for interest rate cuts."In terms of capital flow, the spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $277 million on Thursday, ending a previous cumulative inflow of $1.69 billion; the Ethereum ETF also recorded a net outflow of $104 million on the same day, indicating a short-term cooling of institutional risk appetite. On the geopolitical front, tensions between Iran and the U.S. have escalated again, prompting the market to reprice the risks in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a rebound in oil prices, which partially offset the support that previous risk assets received from the decline in oil prices.The derivatives market shows a more long-term hawkish outlook, with interest rate futures pricing in over a 50% probability of rate hikes beyond 2027, suggesting that the easing cycle may be delayed until 2028. On-chain data indicates that the current rise in Bitcoin is primarily driven by institutional spot buying and short covering, with retail participation remaining relatively low, and funding rates maintaining a moderate level, resulting in a weak market momentum structure. Analysts believe that if retail funds do not return, BTC may still face the risk of testing the support range of $75,000 to $78,000.

BTC breaks through the $80,000 mark, Gate institutions promote infrastructure to support the layout of "core assetization."

This week, the cryptocurrency market has reached a critical turning point, with market sentiment significantly improving. BTC successfully broke through $82,000, reaching a nearly three-month high, and firmly established a key support level at $81,000.On May 5, the U.S. spot BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of $467 million, with BlackRock contributing $251 million; on May 6, the ETH ETF also saw inflows exceeding $170 million for three consecutive days. The continued strength in capital indicates that institutional allocation has shifted from "experimental attempts" to strategic "core asset allocation."Against this backdrop, Gate has continuously optimized its institutional-level service system. With the SuperLink architecture and excellent cross-platform capital scheduling capabilities, Gate provides high-performance matching and deep liquidity support for institutional investors. To address the core demands of professional investors for compliance, security, and asset diversification, the platform offers a one-stop custody solution covering crypto assets, CFD contracts, perpetual contracts, and spot tokens.At the same time, Gate has built a comprehensive derivatives matrix covering stocks, metals, indices, foreign exchange, and commodities, helping global institutions achieve efficient strategy execution and risk management in a structural bull market.
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