17%

On October 28, the payment network Visa released its performance for fiscal year 2026 and the fourth fiscal quarter. The fiscal year 2026 spans from October 1, 2025, to September 30, 2026, and the fourth fiscal quarter spans from July 1, 2026, to September 30, 2026.In fiscal year 2026, Visa's total operating revenue was $45.903 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15%; operating profit was $28.11 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.15%; the operating profit margin was 61.24%, an increase of 1.25 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was $23.504 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17%; operating cash flow was $23.728 billion. Basic earnings per share were $12.34, diluted earnings per share were $12.32, a year-on-year increase of 21%; the debt-to-equity ratio was 61.73%.In the fourth fiscal quarter, Visa's total operating revenue was $12.139 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.35%; operating profit was $7.262 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.12%; the operating profit margin was 59.83%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was $6.002 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.65%; both basic and diluted earnings per share were $3.19, a year-on-year increase of 22%; the debt-to-equity ratio was 61.73%.

According to Bloomberg, informed sources revealed that semiconductor company Marvell is in deep negotiations to acquire data center optical communication equipment manufacturer Lumentum, with the deal possibly being announced as early as next week. Currently, the two parties have not reached a final agreement, and details and timing may still change.Lumentum currently has a market value of approximately $83 billion, while Marvell's market value is about $221 billion. Following the news, Marvell's stock fell about 8% in after-hours trading, while Lumentum's stock rose about 17%. Earlier this year, Nvidia invested $2 billion in Lumentum.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "76ers vs. Pacers," the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 42% an hour ago to the current 25% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.5" for the event "Pistons vs. Knicks" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a sharp fluctuation, rising from 47.5% an hour ago to the current 64.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs," the "Match Winner" sub-market's "Astralis" option has experienced significant fluctuations in win rate, soaring from 38.5% an hour ago to the current 55.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5" for the event "Trail Blazers vs. Lakers" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a sharp fluctuation, dropping from 44% an hour ago to the current 27% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5" for the "Knicks vs. Celtics" event on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a sharp fluctuation, dropping from 54.5% an hour ago to the current 37.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5" for the event "Bulls vs. Bucks" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 33% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Gold Digging vs. Thunder," the sub-market "Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in the probability of the "Yes" option, soaring from 36% an hour ago to the current 53% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "US-Iran Ceasefire Continues" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "November 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 52.5% an hour ago to the current 35.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event "Bitcoin Breaks on October 21" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "84,000" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 30% an hour ago to the current 47% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin Price Prediction for October 19" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "81,000 USD" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 12.5% an hour ago to the current 29.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event on Polymarket "Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - VCT Championship Playoffs," the "LOUD" option in the sub-market "Map 1 Winner" experienced a sharp fluctuation in win rate, dropping from 55.5% an hour ago to the current 38.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

During the IMF meeting in Bangkok, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh stated that he would not predict the outcomes of the remaining two interest rate meetings this year and was unwilling to disclose potential actions in advance. He said, "This is a new chapter for the Federal Reserve; we no longer do this." Regarding the recent signals from colleagues indicating "no urgency to raise interest rates this month," he neither explicitly supported nor refuted them. Walsh reiterated that the Federal Reserve will achieve price stability and noted that the global economy has largely aligned with central bank expectations since the interest rate hike in September, while describing the recent actions of various central banks as a synchronized tightening of monetary policy in most regions of the world.In September, the Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by 25 basis points, increasing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% to 4%. At that time, most officials expected at least one more rate hike this year. Despite the core CPI rising by 0.33% month-on-month in September, marking a strong increase for the second consecutive month, and the latest producer price data also being robust, Walsh hardly mentioned this week's inflation report and did not significantly attempt to change market expectations for the October meeting. Reports indicated that during his speech, the dollar weakened, and market bets on an interest rate hike in October dropped from about 30% to around 17%.Additionally, Walsh believes that the U.S. is experiencing significant investment growth and holds an optimistic view on economic resilience and the productivity boost brought by AI, but he warned that the development path will be "very bumpy," and the short-term impact of AI on employment remains unclear. DBS Bank macro strategist Wei Liang Chang stated that Walsh reiterated that artificial intelligence will improve productivity in the medium term, which may help ease inflation expectations and alleviate concerns about the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate hikes. Saxo Markets Chief Investment Strategist Charu Chanana noted that Walsh's refusal to commit to another rate hike led to some bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes falling flat, and related comments did not help the dollar following the release of strong inflation data.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Viking FK vs FC Bayern München More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option for the sub-market "FC Bayern München First Half O/U 2.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 26% an hour ago to the current 43% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Gate quotes, the Hong Kong stock storage concept has declined, with Southern Double Long SK Hynix (07709.HK) dropping over 17%, and Southern Double Long Samsung Electronics (07747.HK) falling over 14%.

According to Polymarket data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October has dropped to 17%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has risen to 84%. The trading volume for the related prediction event has reached 32 million dollars.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the predicted market on Polymarket for the event "Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - VCT Championship Playoffs" has seen significant fluctuations in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" for the option "G2 Esports," dropping sharply from 49.5% an hour ago to the current 32.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - ESL Pro League Playoffs," the sub-market "Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in the winning probability for the "Spirit" option, rising from 31.5% an hour ago to the current 48.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs. LGD Gaming - BLAST Slam Playoffs" on Polymarket, the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 2.5 games" has experienced significant fluctuations, rising from 22.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.