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Famous trader: Bitcoin needs to hold above $80,000 and form higher lows; otherwise, the pullback may deepen

Renowned trader Killa stated that if Bitcoin is to evolve according to the current trend structure, it needs to form a higher low above $75,500, ideally also holding the low around $80,000. This is similar to the trend in 2023: at that time, Bitcoin formed a higher high on the weekly level, then retraced and held the original range. This may explain why the recent low time frame market seems so prone to triggering stop losses, with aggressive movements and traces of algorithmic trading.Bitcoin once reclaimed its internal structure in the $82,000 range, then retraced, broke the structure again, and then reclaimed it once more. The entire market seems to be deliberately enticing traders to enter. It must be acknowledged that the initial drop to the $81,000 range was not ideal from a structural perspective. However, there were a large number of shorts concentrated at the lows, which may explain the subsequent price reaction.Another detail worth noting is that during the drop from $84,100 to $81,000, only about $300 million in long positions were liquidated; whereas previously, during the drop from $86,800 to $80,600, the scale of long liquidations exceeded $2 billion. The significant decrease in long liquidation scale indicates that the current market's reliance on long positions may be lower than before. The current market situation is quite delicate. Bitcoin needs to form a higher low at the current position to initiate a new round of upward movement; otherwise, this pullback may bring the price below $80,000. As of now, the so-called "crash protection team" has done well in maintaining the price, but it is also continuously disrupting the internal oscillation range in the low time frame.

Alex Lazarow: Stripe, Mastercard, and Circle acquired three stablecoin companies within two years, with a total transaction amount exceeding 3 billion USD

According to Forbes, venture capitalist Alex Lazarow wrote that in the past two years, Stripe, Mastercard, and Circle have acquired American stablecoin infrastructure company Bridge, British BVNK, and Singapore cross-border payment platform Tazapay, respectively, with a total transaction value exceeding $3 billion. These three companies were established between 2020 and 2022, raising a total of approximately $200 million, indicating that stablecoin payment infrastructure is becoming a field where traditional payment giants and cryptocurrency companies are competing to establish a presence.Among them, Stripe announced in 2024 that it would acquire Bridge for slightly over $1 billion; the total value of Mastercard's acquisition of BVNK could reach up to $1.8 billion, including $1.5 billion in base consideration and $300 million in contingent consideration; Circle agreed to acquire Tazapay for $400 million in stock, with the transaction expected to be completed in 2027. The growth in stablecoin adoption, the gradual clarification of regulatory frameworks, and the rising demand for real-time cross-border payments are the main factors driving mergers and acquisitions.Data shows that in 2025, the adjusted transaction volume of stablecoins is expected to grow by 91% year-on-year, reaching $10.9 trillion, close to Visa's $14.2 trillion; the scale of real-world payments is expected to more than double, reaching approximately $390 billion. These transactions reflect that acquirers value not only stablecoin technology but also verified business scale, payment networks, and compliance qualifications.As stablecoin payment infrastructure matures, applications such as dollar accounts, stablecoin payment cards, and cross-border remittances are also emerging, and in the future, more local infrastructure companies similar to Bridge and BVNK may be acquired in various regions around the world.

Data: The net buying amount of listed companies decreased by 90.6% in a single week, Strategy increased its holdings by 250 bitcoins in a single week

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on October 12, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $22.5 million, a decrease of 90.6% compared to two weeks ago.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) purchased 250 Bitcoins last week at a price of $86,194, spending approximately $22 million, bringing its total holdings to 848,250 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase any Bitcoin last week.In addition, two other companies announced their Bitcoin purchases or holdings last week. Bitcoin reserve and cutting-edge artificial intelligence investment company Bitcoin Japan announced on October 7 that it purchased 5.8847 Bitcoins at a price of $84,706.34, bringing its total holdings to 17.8035 Bitcoins; Ethereum asset company Bitmine announced after 8 AM Eastern Time on October 5 that it purchased 1 Bitcoin, without disclosing the specific purchase amount, bringing its total holdings to 214 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) is 1,163,359 Bitcoins, an increase of 0.3% compared to two weeks ago, with a current market value of approximately $9.657 billion, accounting for 5.8% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

CITIC Securities: The high growth of earnings in the U.S. stock market may no longer be concentrated solely among leading technology companies

CITIC Securities released a research report indicating that as the performance of U.S. stocks during the domestic long holiday becomes desensitized to interest rates, investors' focus will shift to the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports of U.S. stocks starting next week.LSEG's consensus expectations show that the S&P 500's revenue and earnings growth rates for Q3 2026 are expected to reach 1.2% and 45.0% year-on-year, respectively, with a slight decline quarter-on-quarter. At the industry level, the year-on-year earnings growth rates for energy, information technology, materials, and healthcare all exceed 50%. The high growth in U.S. stock earnings may no longer be concentrated solely in leading technology companies, as the earnings contribution from non-tech sectors is significantly increasing.For Hong Kong stocks, although the overseas interest rate hike cycle combined with the restart of AI momentum trading continues to pressure liquidity, the fundamental expectations have bottomed out, and the earnings growth expectations for major broad-based indices have begun to be revised upward. The adjustment of industry earnings expectations is significantly differentiated, with some sub-sectors seeing upward revisions, while the earnings expectations for domestic demand-related industries still face downward pressure. The upcoming third-quarter performance will be an important basis for assessing the progress of recovery. We advise investors to remain patient with Hong Kong stocks, as short-term dividend strategies are expected to continue to outperform.

WSJ: Iran's sanctions evasion network transfers funds through Binance, with a total transaction amount involved reaching 850 million USD

According to a report by the WSJ, a previously undisclosed internal investigation report from Binance shows that Iranian financier Babak Zanjani used affiliated companies, shell companies, and multiple trading accounts to transfer funds through Binance, establishing a funding channel for the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to evade Western sanctions. The related network involves 21 individual and corporate trading accounts, with a total trading volume of approximately $850 million, of which at least $67 million flowed from two accounts to wallets associated with the IRGC.The report indicates that Tajik businessman Sukhrob Oimakhmadov, classified as a "high-value customer" by Binance, received over $10 million through his account, with sources including digital wallets later identified by the Israeli Ministry of Defense as belonging to the IRGC. The cryptocurrency platform Zedcex, associated with Zanjani, had a total trading volume close to $830 million, with approximately $56 million withdrawn to related wallets. The network also involves the Turkish payment company ZedPay, as well as the cryptocurrency token USDZ used for trading.Binance stated that it has identified the related activities and taken measures, with all accounts associated with sanction violations being restricted from trading and gradually closed. The company also emphasized that the total trading volume of accounts does not equal the actual funds flowing into the IRGC and acknowledged past procedural issues in internal approvals and execution timeliness. The U.S. Department of the Treasury had previously imposed sanctions on Zanjani and related companies and individuals.
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