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The Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates for a long time, which is bearish for Bitcoin but bullish for Circle and RWA

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that in the context of rising inflation in the United States, the Federal Reserve may maintain a high interest rate policy for a long time, which will have three core impacts on the cryptocurrency market. He believes that as the U.S. CPI approaches 4%, the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has almost no room for interest rate cuts, and the market currently expects the first rate cut to be delayed until September 2027. Grayscale pointed out that long-term high interest rates will put pressure on "currency devaluation trades" such as Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin, like gold, is a non-yielding asset, higher real interest rates will increase the opportunity cost of holding dollar-denominated assets. However, it remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects and believes that regulatory benefits such as the CLARITY Act can partially offset the related pressures. In addition, it believes that a high interest rate environment will accelerate the tokenization of fixed income assets. Currently, the yields on dollar-denominated fixed income products are higher than those of most DeFi yields; for example, the USDC lending rate on Aave is about 3.6%, while the yield on short-term corporate bonds is about 4.5%. Grayscale also stated that stablecoin issuers will benefit from high interest rates. Since the GENIUS Act prohibits stablecoins from paying interest to users, issuers can retain the income from reserve assets. It estimates that for every 25 basis point increase in short-term rates, Circle's revenue will increase by approximately $190 million.

Hyperliquid lobbying organization responds to regulatory pressure from CME and ICE: On-chain transparency is more helpful in combating market manipulation

In response to Bloomberg's report on CME and ICE pressuring the CFTC regarding Hyperliquid, the Hyperliquid Policy Center, a lobbying organization led by prominent crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky and funded by the Hyper Foundation, tweeted that the concerns lack basis.The organization stated that Hyperliquid publishes complete on-chain transaction records in real-time, with transparency far exceeding that of traditional exchanges, which serves as a strong deterrent against insider trading and price manipulation, and is beneficial for regulatory agencies and law enforcement to conduct monitoring and investigations.Additionally, Hyperliquid offers 24/7 uninterrupted trading, effectively eliminating price gaps between the opening and closing of traditional markets. The organization acknowledged that current U.S. laws have not yet made specific provisions for on-chain derivatives markets and will continue to work with Washington policymakers to promote the implementation of relevant regulatory frameworks.Previously, the Hyperliquid Policy Center was established on February 18 of this year in Washington, with former Blockchain Association and Variant Chief Legal Officer Jake Chervinsky serving as CEO, receiving a donation of 1 million HYPE from the Hyper Foundation, focusing on promoting a compliant regulatory path for DeFi in the United States.

Kraken's parent company Payward lays off 150 people to advance business integration before the IPO

According to CoinDesk, Kraken's parent company Payward is laying off about 150 employees. This move is part of the company's optimization adjustments in preparation for its IPO, according to two insiders. A Kraken spokesperson stated in a statement: "We continuously evaluate and adjust our organizational structure to ensure we have the right structure and talent to achieve growth objectives and better serve our customers."Meanwhile, Payward is seeking a new round of financing at a valuation of $20 billion to support its pre-IPO expansion strategy. Recently, the company completed a $600 million acquisition of stablecoin payment company Reap and a $550 million acquisition of digital asset derivatives platform Bitnomial. The previous largest acquisition occurred in 2025, when Payward acquired the U.S. retail futures platform NinjaTrader for $1.5 billion, which also holds a CFTC futures broker license.Payward submitted a confidential S-1 registration statement draft to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on November 19, 2025, taking the initial steps toward going public. In March of this year, CoinDesk reported that the company had postponed its IPO plans due to a sluggish market environment, but insiders indicated that the company still plans to move forward with the IPO once market conditions improve. At the Consensus Miami conference, Payward and Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated that the exchange's IPO preparations are "80%" complete.

Huobi HTX launches Pizza Festival with multiple celebrations: participate to share a prize pool of over $200,000 + physical gifts

According to the official announcement from Huobi HTX, the platform has officially launched the "Crypto Pizza Festival" series of activities, covering multiple gameplay options such as task challenges, holiday red envelopes, and lucky draws, with a total prize pool exceeding 200,000 USDT, including physical grand prizes like the iPhone 17 Pro Max, 10 grams of gold, and pizza vouchers.The task challenge competition runs from May 14 to May 25. After signing up, users can complete any one of the five tasks: earning coins, spot trading, contract trading, learning to earn coins, or holding $HTX to light up "Fire Treasures" and receive tiered rewards such as USDT earning interest vouchers, contract experience gold, and spot trading fee cashback vouchers. Collecting all Fire Treasures allows participation in a lucky draw to share a prize pool of 100,000 USDT, thousands of pizza vouchers, and USDT 10% earning interest vouchers.From May 18 to June 19, the pizza carnival red envelope activity will also be launched, with a total prize pool of 100,000 USDT. On the birthday of Fire Treasures (May 18) and Bitcoin Pizza Day (May 22), users can visit the event post to receive no-threshold red envelopes. Completing daily interactions or referral tasks can unlock subsequent red envelope qualifications, and checking in for 7 consecutive days can unlock large red envelopes.The lucky draw activity will start on May 18. During the event, accumulating a spot trading volume of ≥100 USDT or a single contract trading volume of ≥2,000 USDT will grant a chance to enter the draw. The prize pool includes an iPhone 17 Pro Max in Starry Orange (1TB), Keron 4 GT, 10 grams of gold, BTT/NFT/WIN/SUN tokens, and contract experience gold, among others.

After receiving $100 million in funding, Gemini's pre-market increase exceeded 25%, but it still reported a loss of $109 million in Q1

According to CoinDesk, after the cryptocurrency trading platform Gemini, founded by the Winklevoss brothers, announced its Q1 2026 financial report, its stock price rose over 25% in pre-market trading. The financial report showed that the company's revenue for the quarter increased by 42% year-on-year to $50.3 million, while the net loss narrowed by 27% year-on-year to $109 million, but still exceeded market expectations of a loss of $0.61 per share.The report indicated that Gemini's operating expenses increased by 73% year-on-year to $144.5 million, with employee compensation costs rising by 91%, which included approximately $6.5 million in severance pay; sales and marketing expenses also doubled year-on-year to $19.1 million.The company stated that it is currently driving its business transformation through layoffs, business contraction, and a $100 million Bitcoin injection from Winklevoss Capital Fund, and is seeking to achieve profitability.In February of this year, Gemini closed its operations in the UK, EU, and Australia, laying off about 25% of its staff, and shifted its focus to the U.S. market and prediction market business. In April, the company received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission for its Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license, officially entering the cryptocurrency prediction market field. Boosted by these developments, the company's stock price has recently rebounded and is now above $6.6.
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