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The press secretary of the President of Russia, Dmitry Peskov, stated that in the first half of November, Russia, the United States, and Ukraine will hold negotiations in Abu Dhabi regarding security guarantees for Russia and Ukraine. Currently, a trilateral format is being discussed, but future European participation is not ruled out.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin has prohibited all Pentagon personnel from using non-public information to place bets on upcoming military operations, involving prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. In a memo sent to senior Pentagon officials and defense agencies on Tuesday, he stated that all Department of Defense personnel are prohibited from using non-public information for financial transactions, with the relevant restrictions covering both classified and unclassified information.Austin wrote in the memo that adversaries will observe movements in these markets, and the safety of U.S. military personnel often depends on the enemy not knowing what is about to happen. He also pointed out that, aside from operational security, financial betting can distort judgment: a logistics personnel betting on the date of an operation will be concerned about that date, and an analyst holding a position on the outcome will also be concerned about that outcome.Before this directive was issued, U.S. Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke was charged in April for allegedly profiting over $400,000 on Polymarket by using classified information regarding the operation to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors claimed he participated in the planning and execution of the operation and used advance knowledge to bet on the outcome of Maduro's ousting; he pleaded not guilty to all charges. In February, Israeli authorities also arrested and charged a military reservist and a civilian for allegedly using classified information to bet on events related to Israeli strikes against Iran on Polymarket.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $102,925.58 in the "Knights vs. 76ers" event, specifically betting on "Point Spread: 76ers (-2.5)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 51.46%.

Meta Platforms (META.O) expects its total capital expenditure for the year 2026 to be between 135 billion and 145 billion dollars.

Meta Platforms expects Q4 revenue to be between 73 billion and 76 billion dollars, with market expectations at 73.73 billion dollars.

The Kremlin stated that Russian President Putin has in principle agreed to resume trilateral peace talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States around November 10, potentially to be held in Abu Dhabi.Putin held a three-hour meeting with U.S. envoy Whitaker in St. Petersburg to discuss plans to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

According to Politico, the U.S. Special Envoy for Middle East Affairs, David Satterfield, will facilitate direct dialogue between Russian President Vladimir Putin, U.S. President Donald Trump, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in an effort to achieve a ceasefire.

According to Bloomberg, citing diplomats involved in the negotiations between Iran and the United States, the talks between Iran and the United States are still ongoing, and reports about the two sides reaching an agreement soon are not true.

According to Bloomberg, citing informed sources, AI cloud computing company Nscale, supported by Nvidia, is in talks with Anthropic to sell computing power, with a deal value potentially around 45 billion dollars.According to the plan, Nscale will build a second facility at its Monarch data center campus located in West Virginia, USA, providing 460 megawatts of computing power, using Nvidia's Vera Rubin chips. Anthropic also holds a priority purchase right for a third facility. Informed sources said the deal could be finalized in the coming days, but details may still change. According to Nscale's IPO application documents, Anthropic had previously signed an infrastructure agreement worth approximately 44.6 billion dollars with them.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the predicted market on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" shows that the "FURIA" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 71.5% an hour ago to the current 44.5% (a fluctuation of 27%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $58,000 in "Real Madrid vs Sevilla" event, specifically targeting "Real Madrid." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 79.65%.

According to Cointelegraph, a recent poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos shows that a majority of American respondents oppose betting on U.S. elections and other government actions through prediction markets. The survey indicates that 69% of Democratic respondents and 61% of Republican respondents oppose using prediction markets to bet on election outcomes. The survey was conducted from September 30 to October 5, covering 4,506 adults nationwide.Aside from elections, even regarding betting on professional sports events, 43% of respondents expressed opposition, while only 29% indicated support. The prediction market industry is currently dominated by platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow users to bet on U.S. elections, government policy trends, and sports events, and has sparked multiple lawsuits regarding regulatory authority.The Trump administration is pushing for federal regulation of the industry through the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), while several states have expressed opposition to this. Previously, on October 8, Cointelegraph reported that 39 states and the District of Columbia submitted an amicus brief, indicating that the conflict between the CFTC and state authorities over prediction market issues has created a "national turf war" that cannot be resolved without a Supreme Court ruling.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, the probability of the "Team Falcons" option in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" for the event "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced severe fluctuations, dropping from 74% an hour ago to the current 22.5% (a fluctuation of 51.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $69,310 in the "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" event, targeting the "Match Winner." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this item is 29%.

According to Philippine crypto media BitPinas, in response to CoinDesk's previous report regarding Coinsph facing the risk of license revocation due to alleged involvement in offshore betting transactions, the Philippine crypto trading platform Coinsph stated that its virtual asset service provider (VASP) license under Betur Inc. and the electronic money issuance (EMI) license of DCPay Philippines are currently both valid, and it denies providing services to non-compliant offshore betting operators.Coinsph stated that the restrictions imposed by the Philippine central bank only involve fiat currency top-ups to DCPay through InstaPay and PESONet, while cryptocurrency trading, withdrawals, and other payment services are still operating normally. The company also acknowledged that the central bank has requested it to improve its internal control measures and is currently cooperating with regulatory requirements. The Philippine central bank declined to comment on specific regulatory matters.

Fidelity Digital Assets recently released an analysis stating that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has recently risen to its highest level since the birth of Bitcoin, while the scale of U.S. federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, with interest expenditures exceeding Medicare, becoming the second-largest expenditure item in the federal budget.Fidelity pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. 10-year real interest rate has been low for a long time in the past, but has gradually turned positive in recent years, with the correlation rising above 0.6 in 2026, reaching a historic high. Over the past two months, Bitcoin has risen nearly 30%, while the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has increased by more than 10% during the same period.Fidelity believes that as government debt rises, financing costs increase, and concerns over fiscal intervention intensify, Bitcoin's fixed supply limit of 21 million coins may enhance its appeal as a potential hedge against currency depreciation and a portfolio diversification tool. If the current trends in debt and interest rates continue, government interest expenditures may even become the largest expenditure item in the federal budget in the future.Data from the U.S. Treasury Department shows that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2026 has risen to $1.99 trillion, up from $1.78 trillion in fiscal year 2025, marking the highest level since the pandemic. Despite the Trump administration's commitment to cut spending, military expenditures, Social Security spending, and interest on national debt continue to rise, coupled with a decline in corporate tax revenue, further widening the fiscal deficit.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the predicted market on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs. BetBoom Team - Thunderpick World Championship Group B," the "Legacy" option in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in win rate, plummeting from 63.5% an hour ago to the current 31.5% (a fluctuation of 32%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Santiment tweeted that the number of wallets holding between 10 to 10,000 bitcoins has reached 20,338, setting a new historical high. Despite the significant fluctuations in bitcoin prices during this period, the number of this group has shown strong growth since mid-July.Santiment believes that, based on historical experience, this group is closely related to the future price trends of bitcoin. When prices fluctuate, if more large holders enter this range, it indicates that wealthy investors still maintain confidence rather than choosing to exit during market weakness.

On October 16, SBI Holdings and Startale Group announced their participation in Open Standard to explore the interoperability of the dollar-pegged stablecoin OUSD and the yen-denominated trust-based stablecoin JPYSC. The article states that Open Standard will launch in June 2026, and the alliance already includes over 140 global companies, including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, and Coinbase, with OUSD already publicly launched on-chain. The announcement clarified that this only involves exploring a pilot project and does not represent the launch of new commercial services or the initiation of production environment settlements or trading activities.Yoshitaka Kitao, Representative Director, Chairman, President, and CEO of SBI Holdings, stated that cross-border transactions will become more common, and seamless conversion between yen and dollar stablecoins is crucial. Joining Open Standard and exploring related proof of concepts is an important step. He also mentioned that the SBI Group has been the first in Japan to offer dollar stablecoins USDC and RLUSD. Startale Group CEO Sota Watanabe stated that joining Open Standard reflects both parties' belief that the future of finance is on-chain, borderless, and interoperable, and that the pilot interoperability of JPYSC and OUSD is of significant importance.JPYSC is issued by SBI Shinsei Trust Bank and is positioned as an on-chain yen settlement infrastructure compliant with Japan's Payment Services Act and trust law framework. In July 2026, SBI Global Asset Management, DigiFT, and Startale announced a proof of concept for tokenized securities settlement and distribution payments, considering the future use of JPYSC. Open Standard claims it was established in 2026, with founding partners including Coinbase, Mastercard, Shopify, Stripe, and Visa, and over 200 institutions have signed up to add OUSD to the platform.

According to The Defiant, Jupiter has launched a beta trading product called YOLO, which supports up to 1000 times leverage, and this product has not yet been audited.According to the official statement, users trade against the platform's capital pool (house) in this product. When the capital pool is insufficient, users' profits will be queued for processing, and there is no guaranteed payment time.