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BTC $80,965.71 -0.11%
ETH $2,299.71 -0.16%
BNB $676.80 +2.53%
XRP $1.46 -0.14%
SOL $95.16 -1.01%
TRX $0.3497 +0.18%
DOGE $0.1120 +1.71%
ADA $0.2732 -0.96%
BCH $440.30 -1.68%
LINK $10.55 +1.24%
HYPE $40.25 -2.34%
AAVE $98.17 -1.46%
SUI $1.25 -2.03%
XLM $0.1640 -0.94%
ZEC $558.52 -0.50%

capital

Australia considers reforming capital gains tax, eliminating the 50% discount, which may increase the tax burden on cryptocurrency investments

Australia is considering significant reforms to its Capital Gains Tax (CGT) system, planning to replace the current 50% tax discount policy for long-term held assets with an "inflation-indexed" mechanism, covering investment categories such as cryptocurrencies and stocks. The current system allows individuals to be taxed only on 50% of the capital gains if they hold the asset for more than a year, a policy that has been in place since 1999.If the reform is implemented, investors will calculate their gains based on inflation-adjusted cost bases, which may lead to an increase in actual tax burdens during periods of rapid asset price increases. According to the proposal's logic, the new mechanism will only tax "real gains" (the portion after excluding the effects of inflation), but in a low-inflation environment, the indexed deduction may be lower than the current 50% discount, resulting in increased tax burdens for most investors. The impact on cryptocurrency investors is particularly pronounced.The current "hold to reduce tax" mechanism reinforces long-term holding (HODL) strategies, while the new proposal will weaken the advantage of time holding, significantly increasing the tax burden on unrealized gains during periods of high appreciation. The proposal is still in the discussion stage and is expected to face strong opposition from investor groups and the financial industry, with the focus of the controversy centered on the balance between capital formation efficiency and tax system fairness.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged and then fell below $80,000, with ETF capital outflows and geopolitical risks combining to suppress market sentiment

Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark this week, following a five-day streak of net inflows into spot ETFs, as the market's rebound momentum from February's lows showed signs of cooling. The U.S. April non-farm payroll data added 115,000 jobs, exceeding the expected 62,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%. Although the overall data was relatively strong, it did not significantly alleviate market concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty; instead, it reinforced expectations that "energy-driven inflation limits the space for interest rate cuts."In terms of capital flow, the spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $277 million on Thursday, ending a previous cumulative inflow of $1.69 billion; the Ethereum ETF also recorded a net outflow of $104 million on the same day, indicating a short-term cooling of institutional risk appetite. On the geopolitical front, tensions between Iran and the U.S. have escalated again, prompting the market to reprice the risks in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a rebound in oil prices, which partially offset the support that previous risk assets received from the decline in oil prices.The derivatives market shows a more long-term hawkish outlook, with interest rate futures pricing in over a 50% probability of rate hikes beyond 2027, suggesting that the easing cycle may be delayed until 2028. On-chain data indicates that the current rise in Bitcoin is primarily driven by institutional spot buying and short covering, with retail participation remaining relatively low, and funding rates maintaining a moderate level, resulting in a weak market momentum structure. Analysts believe that if retail funds do not return, BTC may still face the risk of testing the support range of $75,000 to $78,000.

ETF capital is driving a slow bull market with positive gamma, and the options rising star trader support program is now open

BTC IV 39%, ETH IV 55%; ETH Skew is at a critical turning point------the mid to long term stabilizes at +2 to +5, while the short term has repeatedly dropped to -10 but quickly returned to zero. If ETH stabilizes above $2,400, the short term turning positive will resonate with the mid to long term, confirming a shift from event hedging to upward chasing. The BTC/ETH GEX Term Structure shows that the near-month Gamma has clearly turned positive, with ETF inflows and Call accumulation driving a positive Gamma slow bull structure------under a Long Gamma environment for market makers, the short term is inclined towards high-level fluctuations and slow increases, with IV retreating. Bull Call Spread and selling Put strategies are dominant, but the far month retains negative Gamma reflecting ongoing tail hedging demand. In terms of block trades, 1,001.8 BTC 5/8 expiration $88K Calls were traded, and 14,288 ETH 5/15 expiration $2,600 Calls were traded, indicating clear bullish signals from institutions.Gate has launched the "Rising Star Trader Support Program" for options, with a total prize pool of $25,000 USDT. During the event, users can earn multiple rewards through options trading, inviting friends, and participating in KOL incubation camps: the highest reward for meeting trading volume standards can reach $3,000, and the highest commission for inviting can reach $2,000. Meanwhile, the platform also provides high-quality traders with 1-on-1 options hedging training, exclusive rate discounts, and traffic support, helping traders enhance their strategy capabilities and market influence, and providing a more competitive trading environment and growth opportunities for professional options users.
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