fed

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that restoring price stability is crucial, but this goal cannot come at the expense of harming the economy.

According to Jinshi reports, Schmid stated that the current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is not very tight.

According to Jinshi News, T. Rowe Price Chief U.S. Economist Blerina Uruci stated that the market may still be underestimating the likelihood of the Federal Reserve further tightening its policies.She pointed out that since early May, the duration of the Iran conflict has exceeded expectations, oil prices have risen, and U.S. economic growth has remained resilient. Uruci believes that the probability of the federal funds rate remaining unchanged over the next 12 months is 45%, the probability of a rate hike by the end of the year or early 2027 is 35%, and the probability of a rate cut is 20%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 99.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 0.6%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 93%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 6.9%.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant stated that he believes Federal Reserve Chairman Waller will take the right measures to balance inflation and growth.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that the current possibility of the Federal Reserve considering an interest rate hike is greater than zero.

According to Jinshi, Federal Reserve's Musalem stated that the Federal Reserve's policy appears to be at or below the long-term neutral level.

According to Jinshi, the U.S. April PCE data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time tonight, and the market generally expects the year-on-year increase to rise to a three-year high. With the impact of energy prices not yet dissipated and inflation in the service sector remaining sticky, if the data confirms the acceleration of inflation, the Federal Reserve's return to a hawkish stance will gain strong support.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Goolsbee stated that the duration of energy inflation is more persistent than the market expected.

According to Jin Shi reports, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that it is very important not only to communicate but also to take action to help the public understand our intention and commitment to restore inflation to the 2% target.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 99.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0.1%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 91.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 8.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that the Federal Reserve is currently closely monitoring the downside risks in the labor market.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that there is currently a strong focus on changes in inflation expectations.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that if the expected decline in inflation does not occur in a timely manner, the Federal Reserve is prepared to raise interest rates.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that if the labor market worsens, the Federal Reserve will be prepared to cut interest rates.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Cook stated that the correct action at this time is to keep interest rates stable.

According to Jin Shi reports, Federal Reserve's Logan calls for centralized clearing of the Federal Reserve's open market operations and the development of richer liquidity tools.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast event titled "The Federal Reserve Chairman Who Understands Crypto: Will BTC Enter a Policy Honeymoon Period?" today at 8 PM (UTC+8). This event will take the form of a debate, where 0xpink, amber, Zichong, and Maomaojie will face off against Xiao Nezha, Daling, Dabiage, and 0xmoon, engaging in an in-depth discussion on changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, macro liquidity trends, and the future market outlook for Bitcoin.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 99.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0.8%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 88.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 11.3%, and the probability of a rate cut is 0%.