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Non-farm data triggers fluctuations in global stock indices, with Gate index contracts holding the top four positions in terms of open interest growth

With the U.S. non-farm payrolls for January exceeding expectations by an increase of 130,000 last night, the significant rise of 130,000 has led to a revision in market expectations regarding the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Driven by this macroeconomic variable, global core stock indices have entered a volatile range, attracting a large amount of capital for hedging and position adjustments.Against this backdrop, the open interest in Gate index contracts has seen explosive growth. According to CoinGlass data, in the past 4 hours, the top four positions in open interest growth were all held by this platform: HK50 (Hang Seng Index) increased by 1841.43%, US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) increased by 1126.15%, NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) grew by 392.29%, and SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) grew by 237.01%.Currently, Gate contracts comprehensively cover traditional financial assets including stocks (48 types), metals (11 types), foreign exchange (3 types), commodities (2 types), and indices (13 types), supporting continuous trading 24/7, with a maximum leverage of 100 times. Gate is continuously building a multi-asset contract system that covers mainstream TradFi assets, creating the industry's most comprehensive trading area for index and traditional financial asset contracts.

CertiK: The prediction market is expected to achieve a fourfold increase in trading volume by 2025, reaching $63.5 billion, while the industry faces security and regulatory challenges

According to the "2026 Skynet Prediction Market Report" released by CertiK, the trading volume of prediction markets is expected to grow to $63.5 billion in 2025, achieving a fourfold increase, with Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion becoming the dominant platforms. However, this growth in scale also brings new risks, including oracle vulnerabilities, administrator key abuse, and Web2.5 architecture issues.The report notes that prediction markets have been deemed legal financial products in the U.S. through CFTC rulings, but are banned in several EU countries as unauthorized gambling. Additionally, regulatory differences among U.S. states may further complicate compliance. In December 2025, a security incident involving Polymarket's third-party certification provider exposed centralized failure points in the hybrid Web2/Web3 architecture.The research also estimates that during the peak of airdrops, manual trading volume on some platforms reached 60%, severely distorting liquidity metrics. CertiK predicts that in 2026, prediction markets will see enhanced technical privacy and accelerated institutional adoption, but platforms must simultaneously address issues such as liquidity maintenance, security infrastructure development, and the sustainability of revenue models to achieve long-term growth.

Vitalik proposed the latest vision for the integration of Ethereum and AI, along with four short-term building directions

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin elaborated on his latest views regarding the integration of Ethereum and artificial intelligence. He pointed out that the ideal future of artificial intelligence should achieve two core goals: first, to enhance human freedom and empowerment, avoiding the replacement of humans by AI or entrapment in insurmountable power structures; second, to ensure system security, mitigating existential risks posed by superintelligence and chaotic scenarios resulting from imbalances in offense and defense.Around this vision, he proposed four key short-term building directions and emphasized that Ethereum will play an important role in them:Build technological tools that support trustless and private interactions, including local large language models, zero-knowledge proof-based API payments, cryptography-driven privacy enhancement solutions, and client-side verification mechanisms for various proofs and certifications.Establish Ethereum as the economic coordination layer for AI-related interactions, supporting scenarios such as API calls, employment and collaboration between autonomous robots, margin mechanisms, and potential future on-chain dispute resolution systems and AI reputation frameworks.Promote the realization of the cypherpunk vision of "self-verification," enabling users to interact directly with Ethereum applications through local models, autonomously generate and verify transactions, complete smart contract audits, and independently assess the trust models of decentralized applications.Leverage artificial intelligence to expand the scale of human judgment and collaboration, activating complex mechanisms such as prediction markets, decentralized governance, and quadratic voting, to build a more efficient and inclusive market and governance ecosystem.Vitalik concluded that the aforementioned directions reflect the idea of achieving decentralized collaboration and system resilience through technology, and combined with AI and cryptographic techniques, they are expected to push social and economic designs, previously limited by human cognitive and coordination capabilities, towards reality.

Viewpoint: Bitcoin's decline raises concerns about a four-year cycle, but a deep bear market may be hard to replicate

According to The Block, research institution K33 analysis points out that despite Bitcoin's decline of about 40% from last year's peak, raising concerns about a repeat of the past four-year cycle downturn, several structural factors make it unlikely for the market to experience a deep bear market similar to the 80% declines seen in 2018 or 2022.The report believes that the key difference in the current environment compared to previous cycles is the increased institutional adoption, continuous inflows into regulated products (such as spot ETFs), and a loose interest rate environment. More importantly, there has not been a forced deleveraging event that triggered a systemic market collapse like GBTC, Luna, or FTX.On the technical side, analysts view approximately $74,000 as the current key support level. If this level is breached, the downside risk may intensify, with targets potentially pointing to $69,000 or even $58,000 (near the 200-week moving average). Meanwhile, some common bottoming signals are beginning to emerge: Bitcoin recorded a high spot trading volume of over $8 billion on February 2, while the derivatives market's open interest and funding rates have also entered extreme negative territory. These signals, combined with prices still above support levels, may indicate that the market is attempting to form a bottom.

Hong Kong Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau: This year, four regulatory framework bills for virtual asset service providers will be submitted, and the trial operation of the gold clearing system will be promoted

According to the Hong Kong Government News Bulletin, the Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau and the Securities and Futures Commission are formulating the regulatory details for virtual asset trading and custody services. The goal is to submit a bill to the Legislative Council this year regarding the regulation of four types of service providers related to virtual assets, including opinions on virtual assets and virtual asset management services. In addition, the Hong Kong "Stablecoin Ordinance" officially came into effect in August 2025, and the Monetary Authority is currently processing related license applications.In establishing an international gold trading market, Hong Kong has set a target to expand gold storage by over 2,000 tons within three years to build a regional gold reserve hub. The Hong Kong Central Clearing System, wholly owned by the government, has been established, and the target clearing system is set to commence trial operations within this year. Furthermore, the Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau is studying the optimization of tax relief measures related to the treasury center and exploring the possibility of shortening the stock settlement cycle from the current T+2 to T+1.
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