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Yilihua analyzes the four major reasons for the winter in the primary cryptocurrency market and calls on project builders and leading CEXs to take joint action to reverse the downturn

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua published an article discussing the current state of the cryptocurrency primary market. He stated that the main reasons for the decline of the cryptocurrency primary market are: "First, the narrative has collapsed; from white papers to institutional endorsements to TVL manipulation, the basic market is no longer buying in. Second, there is a supply imbalance; now there are tens of thousands of projects, and it is extremely difficult for excellent projects to emerge. Third, the 1 plus 3 unlocking mechanism essentially targets VCs, allowing projects, market makers, and exchanges to run first. Fourth, the cost of listing coins; now primary projects require high valuations and large financing mainly because of several leading centralized exchanges going live, with an average cost needing tens of millions of dollars."Yi Lihua believes that industry leaders need to truly focus on building, such as improving the coin listing selection method on Binance. Under the current model, even if Vitalik Buterin's ETH were to come today, it would not be able to list on Binance. Additionally, the 1 plus 3 unlocking mechanism should be completely abolished; VCs bear the greatest risk and should not be burdened with the worst unlocking terms, as the success or failure of a project is fundamentally not determined by VCs.Finally, cryptocurrency projects need to return to real revenue and buybacks. The sustained prosperity of the U.S. stock market over the years is primarily due to performance growth and the encouragement of shareholder returns. This is what industry leaders should be doing, allowing secondary market investors to truly find quality projects.

first_img The on-chain derivatives protocol Variational has scheduled the $VAR TGE for the fourth quarter of 2026, with the genesis allocation accounting for 32%

The on-chain derivatives protocol Variational announced that the Token Generation Event (TGE) for the token $VAR is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026. The initial token distribution includes 32% genesis allocation, 18% ecological reserve, and 50% for team and investor shares. The genesis tokens will be airdropped according to the proportion of Variational points held and will be 100% unlocked at TGE; the ecological reserve will be retained by the Variational Foundation for ecological growth and distributed at its discretion.The team and investor tokens will be locked for 12 months after TGE, followed by a minimum unlocking period of three years. Team members are also subject to individual vesting arrangements, and the specific shares for both parties will be announced before TGE. Variational stated that it plans to use all revenue directed to the treasury for the repurchase and destruction of $VAR. Weekly point distribution will continue until TGE, with 150,000 points distributed each week; accounts must hold at least 1 point to qualify for signing terms and receiving the genesis allocation, and any unclaimed portion will be destroyed.Variational originally planned to end the points program in the third quarter of 2026 and subsequently launch $VAR, but this timeline has been delayed due to significant strategic partnerships. In the final weeks before TGE, the project will conclude private testing, launch Omni on the public mainnet, expand exchange functions, and release trading APIs, while also announcing details on repurchase and token usage, and disclosing the impact of new partnerships on Omni, Pro, and traditional financial markets on-chain when conditions permit.

first_img Chamath: The open-source weighted model is about four months away from the best closed-source frontier model

Social Capital founder Chamath Palihapitiya released an in-depth research report stating that open-source weight models are about four months away from matching the best closed-source frontier models in public evaluations, with increasing fluctuations in the gap. If open-source models allow companies more control over data, infrastructure, and customization while approaching frontier performance, the value corresponding to companies still paying for frontier laboratories becomes a business issue. Openness exists on a spectrum, from fully open-source models that can be downloaded and freely modified to open-source weight models with various restrictions, while closed-source models keep weights proprietary.Palantir CEO Alex Karp warned that companies might hand over differentiated proprietary knowledge and processes to frontier model providers. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella stated that companies are effectively paying for intelligence twice: once in money and again in the more valuable proprietary knowledge that must be disclosed to make the intelligence useful. Despite concerns, companies are still willing to pay for frontier performance, even if the best open-source weight models are only months behind, with frontier laboratory revenues continuing to accelerate.Leading companies use both types of models, leveraging open-source models for control and customization while utilizing closed-source frontier models for maximum capability, with some cases reporting up to 12 times engineering efficiency and over 20 times cost savings. Some vendors adopt a dual-track approach, with Google offering both Gemini and Gemma, and Meta providing both Muse Spark and Llama. The 99-page report also discusses the costs of maintaining a lead for frontier laboratories, five factors of model competition, model operating locations, and investments in open-source weights by NVIDIA and Samsung.

AIA Ecosystem Fund: Four updates on the AIA ecosystem, including the official launch of products, promoting the alignment of token and equity value, etc

According to official news, the AIA Ecosystem Fund announced four updates to the AIA ecosystem, including the official launch of products, alignment of token and equity value, execution of token burn and unlock as planned, and the invalidation of unallocated tokens for dismissed members.In terms of products, the AI Token Smart Router under DeAgentAI was officially launched to the public today, providing unified access to DeAgentAI's proprietary models and 38 mainstream third-party models, supporting model routing, API calls, and usage measurement. Since the internal testing, the platform has served 8 top domestic and international large model clients, processing over 54 million external model calls, with monthly revenue exceeding one million dollars.Regarding the alignment of token and equity value, the AIA Ecosystem Fund stated that all revenue generated from products and business lines under DeAgentAI, as well as related intellectual property and value, will exclusively belong to the foundation and be governed by $AIA holders, with equity investors no longer entitled to residual cash flow. Additionally, the previously disclosed buyback has been fully completed, and the repurchased tokens will be burned as planned.The AIA Ecosystem Fund also stated that the one-year lock-up period for investors, team members, and advisors has ended, entering a three-year linear release period, consistent with the arrangements disclosed at launch; community, ecosystem, and staking shares will still be executed according to the original schedule.The shares of former employees who left normally will be distributed as agreed, but some former team members previously engaged in serious illegal activities. The AIA Ecosystem Fund clearly stated a zero-tolerance policy for any actions that harm the interests of the project and community. Any team member dismissed due to misconduct or harm to project interests will have their unallocated $AIA immediately invalidated, and the company reserves the right to pursue criminal liability.
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