reduction

4E: The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, slows down balance sheet reduction to release liquidity, and both the US stock market and cryptocurrency market rise collectively

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the policy interest rate unchanged, in line with market expectations. At the same time, it announced a significant slowdown in the pace of balance sheet reduction (QT), easing market liquidity pressures. Powell reassured investors that the risk of recession is low, the U.S. economy remains strong, and the job market is still solid.According to 4E monitoring, the Fed's dovish stance boosted risk assets, with all three major U.S. stock indices rising on Wednesday: the S&P 500 up 1.08%, the Dow up 0.92%, and the Nasdaq up 1.41%. Tech stocks led the gains, with Tesla rising 4.68% and Nvidia up 1.81%.The cryptocurrency market rebounded significantly, with Bitcoin continuing to rise to $87,453 driven by tech stocks, before slightly retreating to $85,866 at the time of writing, a 24-hour increase of 3.6%. Other major tokens also rose collectively, with Ethereum returning above $2,000, while XRP surged over 11% due to the SEC dropping its appeal against Ripple.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index soared, but the increase quickly narrowed to 0.21% after the Fed announced its decision to hold steady; U.S. oil closed up 0.39%; spot gold prices hit a historic high during trading for two consecutive days, approaching $3,052 during Powell's press conference.Powell acknowledged at the press conference that Trump's economic policies have brought significant uncertainty to the U.S. economy, but reiterated that the Fed is not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy. The updated dot plot indicates that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year, consistent with the forecast from December last year. At the same time, the Fed downgraded its economic growth forecast while raising its inflation expectations, showing characteristics of "stagflation."

"Fed's megaphone": The Federal Reserve is considering adjusting its balance sheet reduction plan to address the debt ceiling challenge

ChainCatcher news, according to Wall Street Journal reporter and "Fed whisperer" Nick Timiraos, Federal Reserve officials will consider adjusting their $6.8 trillion asset reduction policy. For the past three years, the Fed has been reducing its holdings of U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities accumulated during previous stimulus programs, including measures to stabilize the market during the pandemic in 2020.Currently, the Fed may choose to pause or slow down this tapering process. This move aims to avoid a repeat of the situation in 2019, when balance sheet reduction led to stress in the overnight funding market, forcing the Fed to pivot and expand its holdings.Roberto Perli, the executive in charge of overseeing the balance sheet at the New York Fed, stated this month that pausing the tapering would be a "tactical decision" that "would not change the ultimate goal." RBC Capital Markets interest rate strategist Blake Gwinn pointed out that pausing the tapering makes sense because "the debt ceiling will distort these signals."Currently, the Fed allows up to $25 billion in Treasuries and $35 billion in mortgage-backed securities to mature each month without reinvestment. As holdings decrease, bank reserves also decline. However, the debt ceiling issue could interfere with this process, as the Fed is also the government's banker.Analysts expect that the Fed may pause the tapering for several months until the debt ceiling is raised and the Treasury rebuilds its cash balance before resuming. Gwinn stated that if the economy worsens, this "pause" could also turn into a "stop," prompting officials to terminate this form of policy tightening.

Data: The US spot Bitcoin ETF has reduced its holdings by 55,348 Bitcoins in 35 days

ChainCatcher news, the latest data shows that the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have reduced their Bitcoin holdings by 4.76% since February 6, 2025. From January 1 to February 6, these funds added approximately 56,802.86 Bitcoins to their balance sheets, but in the past 35 days, the holdings decreased by 55,348.00 Bitcoins.As of March 14, the total value of Bitcoin held by these funds is $93.25 billion, accounting for about 5.6% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization. BlackRock's IBIT solidified its leading position with a net inflow of $39.24 billion and a holding of 568,559.37 Bitcoins. Fidelity's FBTC follows closely in second place, with a total inflow of $11.25 billion and a holding of 194,269.83 Bitcoins. Meanwhile, Grayscale's GBTC, despite recording a net outflow of $22.5 billion, still ranks third with a holding of 193,870.05 Bitcoins.These three giants—IBIT, FBTC, and GBTC—collectively account for 85.26% of the total Bitcoin holdings of 1.121 million Bitcoins across the entire ETF group. Although there are currently 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs operating in the market, a 13th competitor may join the race. On February 14, Osprey Funds submitted its S-1 registration draft for the Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC) to the SEC. As of March 16, 2025, OBTC has not yet received SEC approval, but according to timechainindex.com, the fund has already held approximately 1,934 Bitcoins, valued at up to $16 million.

Sign: Four types of SBT holders are eligible for airdrops, and the airdrop round reduction mechanism will be canceled

ChainCatcher news, Sign officially disclosed the principles of the SIGN airdrop on X to provide greater transparency to the community without revealing the snapshot algorithm. Sign also mentioned four criteria for obtaining airdrop-eligible SBTs.The first SBT is Support Warrior: it requires genuine support for the Sign and Orange Dynasty communities, with evaluation criteria including: the frequency of interactions with community members' posts; the quality of interactions with community members' posts; whether interactions are AI-generated (non-AI interactions are preferred); and whether interactions are sincere efforts to build connections.The second SBT is Orange in the Veins: it requires active participation in Orange Dynasty activities, including but not limited to: consistently high-quality participation in Sign's daily Orange Dynasty calendar on the X platform; consistently high-quality participation in Sign's daily tasks on Telegram; and maintaining continuous activity in Sign's Twitter Spaces.The third SBT is Outstanding Content Creation: it requires active and enthusiastic creation and exploration of content, with evaluation criteria including: the level of enthusiasm for creating content; the level of creativity in content creation; the continuity and improvement of the content; and the openness to feedback on others' content.The fourth SBT is Serious Builder: it requires making extraordinary contributions within the Orange Dynasty, with specific evaluation criteria that may vary from person to person.Sign further stated that the previous announcement indicated that each round of airdrops for SBTs would be halved after the first round, but it has now decided to cancel that reduction mechanism and instead increase the quantity and frequency of distributions.
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