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JPMorgan: Semiconductors are nearing oversold levels, recommend gradual positioning in the summer

According to ChaoXiang Research, Morgan Stanley's stock strategy report on July 20 pointed out that AI-related stocks have faced fierce selling in recent weeks, with the South Korean stock market dropping 25% from its peak, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling 20%. Individual stocks like Samsung and Micron have seen declines between 20% and 50%. The report believes that the core driving force behind this round of decline is technical factors and position clearing, with no deterioration in fundamentals. The gap between relative prices and relative earnings trends in semiconductors continues to widen, but the supply-demand tight balance for DRAM and NAND is expected to last until 2028. DRAM spot prices remain high, and Micron has also raised its performance guidance, indicating that supply-demand tightness will last at least until 2027. The RSI of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is nearing the oversold zone, and the accumulated momentum gains for the year have basically been retraced.Morgan Stanley believes that once the oversold signal is confirmed, a rebound window will open, and it suggests that investors gradually position themselves in semiconductors during the summer. The proportion of second-quarter earnings reports exceeding expectations reached 97%, and companies in the S&P 500 that reported better-than-expected earnings outperformed the market by an average of 1.7 percentage points on the day of the report. In terms of allocation, Morgan Stanley has raised its equity allocation from 60% to 65%, increased its Eurozone allocation from 8.7% to 11%, and is overweight in sectors such as semiconductors, mining, capital goods, automotive, insurance, and banking, while underweighting software, business services, and media in the "AI erosion group." Regarding geopolitical conflicts, the report believes that the "buying on dips" strategy since the end of March remains effective.

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase released their Q2 financial reports, with hundreds of billions in credit flowing into adjacent sectors of cryptocurrency

According to BBX data, yesterday the two flagship institutions on Wall Street released their Q2 2026 financial reports on the same day, forming an important institutional narrative anchor regarding AI infrastructure and digital assets. The core dynamics are as follows:The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: $GS) released its Q2 2026 financial report on July 14, with CEO David Solomon providing the strongest institutional endorsement of AI infrastructure to date during the earnings call: "AI infrastructure is in the early innings of a multi-year investment cycle," and stated that the company expects to finance most of the AI infrastructure development, driving growth in mergers and acquisitions, debt and equity issuance, and lending opportunities. This assessment highly resonates with Goldman’s ongoing positioning in the crypto ecosystem: Q1 2026 13F shows the company holds approximately $700 million in iShares Bitcoin Trust ($IBIT) positions, while simultaneously liquidating all positions in XRP ETF and Solana ETF, and increasing holdings in Circle ($CRCL), Galaxy Digital ($GLXY), and Coinbase ($COIN) stocks; the company applied to the SEC for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (covered call option structure) on April 14; and on June 12, completed a $75 billion fundraising as the lead underwriter for SpaceX's largest IPO in history. Solomon's "early innings" assertion is a public confirmation that Goldman views AI infrastructure investment and crypto asset allocation as part of the same long-term narrative.JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: $JPM) also released its Q2 2026 financial report on July 14. According to CoinDesk Live Updates, CEO Jamie Dimon identified the rapid construction of AI computing infrastructure as a core driver of corporate investment and financing demand during the earnings call, forming a rare cross-institutional consensus with Goldman and BofA. JPMorgan has previously maintained a cautious stance on crypto regulation, but its statements in the AI data center financing sector are becoming a foundation for its entry into adjacent crypto tracks (including loans to AI mining companies and tokenized bond underwriting). Notably, JPMorgan has previously issued multiple warnings of "time running out" during the CLARITY Act legislative process, and this financial report did not provide a new legislative timeline assessment, but the strong qualitative outlook for AI infrastructure indicates that the bank will continue to provide financing services to AI mining clients such as TeraWulf and IREN, further deepening its balance sheet exposure to the crypto ecosystem.

JPMorgan: SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows

According to Reuters, Nasdaq has confirmed that SpaceX (SPCX) will be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7, which may bring a wave of passive fund buying for the stock. Inclusion in the index typically boosts stock prices, as ETFs that track the performance of the relevant index need to purchase shares of newly included companies. JPMorgan expects that SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index could bring in $4.3 billion in passive fund inflows.SpaceX went public on Nasdaq on June 12. To attract more companies to list in the U.S., Nasdaq and index providers such as FTSE Russell and MSCI have previously relaxed some inclusion requirements, including profitability, days since listing, and the number of tradable shares. SpaceX has fluctuated between significant losses and small profits over the past three years, with a net loss of $4.9 billion last year.Michael Field, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Morningstar, stated, "Clearly, there is strong market demand, which is why they are quickly including it in the index." He added that many people will be satisfied with this, but some fund managers and skeptics may not agree, as Morningstar believes the stock is overvalued. Investors typically gain broader market exposure through funds that track the Nasdaq 100 Index, such as Invesco's QQQ and QQQM. Additionally, large language model companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are also expected to submit IPO applications this year or next and may seek valuations exceeding $1 trillion.However, S&P Global stated this month that it will not adjust the requirements for SpaceX to enter major indices like the S&P 500 and will consider including it in relevant indices only after at least 12 months.

SBI officially issues Japan's first trust bank-supported yen stablecoin JPYSC

Japan's financial group SBI Holdings announced the official issuance of the yen stablecoin JPYSC, with the first issuance completed. This stablecoin is managed by SBI Shinsei Trust Bank for reserve asset management, while the licensed cryptocurrency trading platform SBI VC Trade is responsible for circulation and distribution. SBI stated that JPYSC is Japan's first yen stablecoin managed by a trust bank and is also the first to be recognized as a "similar product to electronic payment means" under the Payment Services Act. Unlike the previously launched fund transfer-type stablecoins in Japan, JPYSC is not subject to a single transaction and account balance limit of 1 million yen.SBI expects that JPYSC will attract retail and institutional users with lower transaction costs and the ability to support large transactions, and it can serve as the yen-based asset for on-chain foreign exchange markets, institutional lending, and RWA (real-world asset) tokenized settlements. Currently, JPYSC is only available to SBI VC Trade account holders, with plans to expand its usage after regulatory and tax frameworks are further clarified. SBI also plans to launch JPYSC lending services.In recent years, Japan has been continuously promoting compliant stablecoins to integrate into the mainstream financial system. Following the approval of JPYC in 2025 as Japan's first legally recognized yen stablecoin, Japan's three major banks—Mitsubishi UFJ Bank (MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC), and Mizuho Bank—are also jointly advancing stablecoin projects, with plans to launch commercial trading in the fiscal year 2026.
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