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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 69.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 30.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 40.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 46.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 12.8%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 32%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 50.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 17.6%.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 62.6%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 37.4%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 29.8%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 50.6%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 19.6%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 60.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 39.6%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 31.2%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 49.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 19.1%.

According to Jinshi, Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged in 2027, after previously predicting that the Fed would cut rates by 25 basis points in March.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated that there is no problem with the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged and mentioned the possibility of a rate hike.

According to Jinshi News, Christopher Hodge, Chief U.S. Economist at the French Foreign Trade Bank in North America, believes that the Federal Reserve's statement has been significantly streamlined, with clear hawkish signals. Interest rates remain unchanged, the tendency for easing has been removed, and there were no dissenting votes. The conclusion of the statement emphasizes the commitment to achieving price stability. Overall, this is a hawkish statement.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at this meeting is 99.6%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 0.4%. By July, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 91%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 8.9%. By December, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 38.2%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 43%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 16.2%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 75 basis points is 2.4%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 100 basis points is 0.1%.

According to Jinshi reports, the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, but it faces uncertainty in economic trends. The new chairman, Waller, is under close scrutiny regarding how he will lead the Federal Reserve. Despite a strong job market and consumer spending, inflation remains above target levels. Analysts expect Waller to reshape the Federal Reserve's communication and policy decision-making, potentially reducing forward guidance on interest rate expectations and adjusting the frequency of press conferences. The chief economist at Oxford Economics predicts that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in June, but the wording will be adjusted, with a baseline forecast of a rate cut in December.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0.5%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 92%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 7.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0%.

According to Jinshi reports, the global fund manager survey by Bank of America in June shows that about 55% of investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates on hold on Wednesday, adopting a "tightening stance of inaction," while the new Federal Reserve Chair Waller hinted at keeping rates higher for a longer period. Another 33% of investors expect a "looser stance of inaction," meaning Waller is open to further rate cuts.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.5%. By July, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4%.

According to Jinshi News, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.5%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4%.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.5%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4%.

According to Jinshi News, European Central Bank President Lagarde stated that if interest rates are not raised, inflation will remain above the target in the medium term.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 98.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.6%. By July, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 89.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 9.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.8%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 12.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.6%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.8%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 12.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.6%.

According to Jinshi, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 98.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.9%. By July, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 84.7%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 13.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.6%.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 97%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 81.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 15.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 2.5%.