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Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: The leverage liquidation in the cryptocurrency market has been relatively sufficient, and the short-term space for further decline is limited

In October, the U.S. CPI exceeded expectations. After the data was released, BTC briefly fell to around $73,000, and the market began to bet on a 50 basis point rate hike in December. In response, Cloud, the chief analyst at Huobi HTX, believes that the probability of a 50 basis point hike is low, and a 25 basis point increase remains the baseline scenario. The current decline is more akin to a pricing correction.There are three reasons: The Federal Reserve values the continuity of data, and historically, there are very few cases where a single month's CPI jump has changed the pace of rate hikes; a single month of exceeding expectations is insufficient to overturn the gradual path; the current inflation stickiness mainly stems from the lagged transmission of tariffs and rents, which will naturally diminish, and marginal employment is also weakening. The committee has no reason to impose aggressive tightening at the peak of transmission; the credit spread has widened from 93 basis points to 348 basis points, financial conditions have effectively tightened, and adding another 50 basis points would actively create financial stability risks.In the crypto market, funding rates have turned negative, and the open interest in perpetual contracts has decreased by nearly 20% in a week. The fear and greed index has fallen into the deep fear zone, and the clearing of leverage has been relatively sufficient, limiting the space for further short-term declines. However, an oversold situation does not mean an immediate rebound; confirmation is needed for CPI to fall in the next two months. If inflation exceeds expectations for two consecutive months and a 50 basis point hike is realized, a trend decline will begin, but currently, this scenario seems unlikely.Note: The content of this article does not constitute investment advice, nor does it constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.

Solana tightens validator funding rules, with a participation period limited to 12 months

The Vice President of Technology at the Solana Foundation, Jacob Creech, responded to the controversy arising from the recent adjustments to the Solana Foundation Delegated Program (SFDP). The adjustments include: setting the participation period for validators in the SFDP to 12 months, automatic graduation after staking 300,000 SOL, capping the number of validators at 100, and requiring participants to run their own validator nodes.Jacob Creech stated that the SFDP originally had three main tasks: to help new validators get started, to establish a healthy testnet, and to allow some validators to test network updates early. As the Solana ecosystem expands and the validator community matures, the original mechanisms have struggled to adequately meet the ever-changing demands of the network. The foundation hopes to shift towards a more proactive and flexible delegation mechanism, focusing on supporting network health and ecosystem contributors. The SFDP will continue to support new validators, and the foundation will also reward validators who make significant contributions to network health through delegation outside of the program. Previously, the foundation had delegated staking to ecosystem contributors like Blueshift and supported validators who were the first to test Frankendancer.In response to community concerns that the adjustments might lead to a decrease in the number of validators, Jacob Creech stated that reducing the number of validators is not the goal of this adjustment. However, if enough high-quality contributors cannot be found, a decline in the number of validators may become a side effect. He also revealed that over 100 validators have submitted materials to apply for continued support.

Ansem: The limited decline of BTC after the Binance hack does not mean the downward trend has ended

Cryptocurrency trader Ansem posted that the statement "6 billion dollars stolen, and Bitcoin only dropped 2%" should not be directly viewed as a bullish signal. He believes that the current trading structure of Bitcoin is significantly different from years ago, and the market's lack of immediate downward reaction to events does not mean that the downward trend will not continue.He pointed out that in 2017, Bitcoin was still the main target for leveraged speculation among retail investors, but from 2020 to 2021, retail investors took on higher risks primarily through trading altcoins, and new traders on Uniswap had limited interest in Bitcoin. After 2023, due to the poor performance of altcoins on centralized exchanges, speculative activities further shifted on-chain, making Meme coins more popular; now perpetual contracts in stocks have further diverted traders who might have leveraged long positions on BTC. Ansem believes this change has affected BTC's price performance.In 2017, Bitcoin often rose rapidly after breaking historical highs; however, in 2021 and during certain phases from 2023 to 2025, there were more instances of slight new highs followed by failed breakouts and narrow fluctuations lasting for months. He cited the "10·10" liquidation event as an example, stating that BTC's decline was limited compared to altcoins at that time, and it continued to trade above $100,000 for several weeks, while altcoins suffered severe losses within a single candlestick. In his view, this is related to high-risk speculators no longer concentrating on leveraged long positions in BTC.Ansem emphasized that the current sellers may be more passive, and there are likely fewer speculators facing leveraged liquidations in the BTC market than in the past, so one cannot conclude that the downward trend has ended solely based on short-term price resilience.

first_img Stacks Founder: Quantum concerns have limited Bitcoin's growth, calling for a quantum-resistant upgrade before 2028

Muneeb Ali, co-founder of the Bitcoin Layer2 network Stacks, stated in Cointelegraph's Chain Reaction podcast that concerns surrounding quantum computing are suppressing institutional funds from entering Bitcoin, and the network needs a credible security upgrade roadmap to restore investor confidence. He mentioned, "Quantum concerns have set a ceiling on Bitcoin's growth," believing that this uncertainty may lead risk-averse institutional investors to delay large purchases until developers provide a clear path to quantum resistance. Stacks is a Bitcoin Layer2 network aimed at introducing smart contracts and decentralized applications to Bitcoin, and Ali is a co-founder of the project.Ali warned that if developers fail to make substantial progress in quantum resistance by 2028, Bitcoin could enter a riskier phase. He pointed out that upgrades typically take years to implement, and users will need additional time to migrate their assets to new addresses. Citing guidance from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), he views 2030 as a target node for transitioning to quantum resistance and believes advancements in artificial intelligence could accelerate the development of quantum computers, potentially moving this timeline up to 2029.Ali acknowledged that some Bitcoin supporters believe the quantum threat is distant and that concerns are exaggerated, but he thinks that the very disagreement over the urgency of the threat, in the absence of a credible upgrade roadmap, will undermine investor confidence. He also stated that sufficiently powerful quantum computers are more likely to emerge from large research laboratories rather than unknown attackers, and companies like Google and Microsoft lack the motivation to steal Bitcoin, but the quantum security threat will impact the entire crypto industry, "If Bitcoin is hit, all downstream projects will be affected." Currently, developers are exploring protective solutions, with StarkWare stating in September that researchers reduced the computational cost of preparing an experimental quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction by 79% after a week of optimization challenges. This solution does not require modifications to Bitcoin's consensus rules, but the cost reduction has only been validated in benchmark tests.

Gate Idle Money Treasure × Yu Bi Treasure Phase 2 activity is open for a limited time, with a maximum annualized yield of 5%

According to the official announcement, the Gate Idle Money Treasure × Yu Bi Bao second phase interest rate increase activity is ongoing. This phase of the activity covers USDT current financial products, and users who meet the specified net recharge conditions can receive additional interest rate rewards.In the Idle Money Treasure activity, users who accumulate net recharges of BTC, ETH, and USDT to reach the specified threshold during the activity period and activate Idle Money Treasure can receive additional interest on top of the basic earnings. Specifically, if the cumulative net recharge reaches 10,000 USDT, users can enjoy an additional 1% interest rate, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 4%; if it reaches 50,000 USDT, users can enjoy an additional 2% interest rate, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 5%. The upper limit for the principal eligible for interest rate increases in both tiers is 50,000 USDT.The Yu Bi Bao activity is open to VIP 2 to VIP 14 users. If the cumulative net recharge of USDT reaches 100,000 USDT and users subscribe to a 7-day fixed-term financial product in USDT, they can enjoy an additional 7.3% interest rate on top of the 3.7% basic annualized yield, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 11%. The upper limit for the principal eligible for interest rate increases is 100,000 USDT. Users must continuously meet the net recharge requirements during the subscription and the order's duration to receive the additional interest rate rewards.

first_img Troy Cross: Bitcoin balances unlimited printing; the academic community will ultimately accept Bitcoin

In an interview video published by Bitcoin Magazine, philosopher Troy Cross provided answers on whether Bitcoin can truly achieve "the separation of money and state." He stated that he does not expect governments to abandon printing money anytime soon, but believes that Bitcoin serves as a check against endless monetary expansion, as people will choose to seek refuge in Bitcoin.Cross believes that academia will be the last group to understand Bitcoin, following innovators, financial practitioners, and journalists. He mentioned that the "Getting Bitcoin" initiative has made it to The Wall Street Journal, with related Bitcoin articles receiving 4 to 6 times the normal click rates. He also cited a survey from the Nakamoto Project, indicating that Bitcoin is moving towards normalization, while also increasingly showing signs of partisanship and polarization.In the interview, Cross also discussed the branding issues Bitcoin faces, as it is often confused with the broader category of crypto assets, and why price trends, education, and "Number Go Up" have become a universal language. He mentioned the need to bridge the gap and reach the 82% of people who do not yet hold Bitcoin, and explained how Bitcoin can keep governments honest. The video chapters also touched on the setbacks of the Clarity Act and why Bitcoin continues to move forward.

first_img The art platform NFT Limited open source RWAIX plans to pilot in the first quarter of 2027

According to PR Newswire, NFT Limited (stock code MI, formerly known as Takung Art), a company listed on the NYSE American, announced the proposed technical agreement RWAIX in Hong Kong on October 13 and released an open-source reference implementation on GitHub under the MIT license. The company operates an online trading platform for international artworks and collectibles, stating that the agreement is intended to allow buyers, sellers, AI agents, and robots to verify identities, confirm agreements, and ensure that deliveries actually occur, with the existing digital art platform intended to serve as the first real-world scenario.The company claims that internally managed test records show 50 tests passed with no failures, and it plans to launch a limited live pilot within 90 days after completing an independent security review and other conditions, targeting the first quarter of 2027. The reference implementation includes core protocol logic in Node.js, 50 automated test cases with expected outputs, schema and API documentation, as well as a browser demonstration using synthetic data. The company also stated that RWAIX has not yet been integrated into the production environment, and the related timeline may still be adjusted.The existing digital art trading platform is operated by its wholly-owned Hong Kong subsidiary, Metaverse Digital Payment Co., Limited. The pilot aims to first upgrade the consent purchase, delivery, independent verification, payment, and dispute resolution processes for an existing NFT order, using existing banking channels. CEO Yanying Wang stated that the company already has customers, orders, and payments, and plans to verify within the next 90 days whether the agreement can be used for real customer orders.
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