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Bitcoin weakened again after the U.S. stock market opened on Wednesday, briefly rising to about $77,678 before retreating, continuing the structural trend of "strong during Asian hours, weak during U.S. hours" observed this week. The market is focused on the upcoming Nvidia earnings report, which is seen by several institutions as one of the key macro volatility triggers for this quarter.As a result, pre-market sentiment in the U.S. stock market was cautious, with the S&P 500 dropping about 1.3% at one point before rebounding slightly, but overall risk appetite remains weak. In terms of on-chain and spot structure, the Coinbase Premium index has fallen to a multi-month low, indicating that buying interest in the U.S. market continues to be weak. This indicator has remained negative recently, reflecting insufficient spot demand in the U.S. region, even though BTC prices are still high, marginal buying has not increased correspondingly.From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has once again fallen below the 21-week exponential moving average (21W EMA). Analysts point out that this level may turn from support to resistance, and if it cannot regain this level, it will increase the risk of short-term fluctuations and pullbacks. Overall, the market has entered a wait-and-see mode amid significant tech earnings and macro uncertainty.

According to CoinDesk, Real Vision founder Raoul Pal stated that humanity is entering an "exponential age," where AI and cryptocurrencies (including tokenization) are rapidly merging to become a new layer of infrastructure for the global economy.Pal believes that AI will become "top-tier intelligence," while cryptocurrencies will serve as the ownership layer of this future economy, allowing ordinary people to "get ahead of Wall Street" in owning blockchain infrastructure. He predicts that the crypto market size is expected to grow from the current $2.7 trillion to $100 trillion in the next decade.Additionally, Pal mentioned that stablecoins, tokenization, and blockchain finance will provide a more equitable financial system for global users, while meme coins and NFTs serve as important stress tests for technological concepts.

According to Bloomberg, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), announced plans to launch futures contracts based on "computing power" to track changes in the costs of computing power such as GPUs that support the AI industry. This product still requires regulatory approval.It is reported that ICE will collaborate with financial infrastructure company Ornn to develop a pricing system for related derivatives based on its GPU cost index. This index will be used to support computing power futures contracts.

On-chain detective ZachXBT posted on his personal channel, stating that on-chain tracking analysis shows that in two investment plans related to Gurhan Kiziloz, there are signs of at least approximately $25 million in presale funds being used interchangeably, which were transferred to pay for promotions to KOLs and streamers, involving his online gambling platform.ZachXBT indicated that the fundraising materials for the related presale projects BlockDAG Network and ZKP did not disclose that the funds would be used to support other businesses, while on-chain data shows that the funds were pooled across multiple addresses and then transferred to exchanges through cross-chain bridges, flowing to promotional payment addresses.ZachXBT also named several related addresses, including the Spartans KOL payment address and the BlockDAG / ZKP presale wallet, and advised investors to stay away from the BlockDAG, ZKP, and Spartans projects. Retail investors are still continuously complaining about the related fund usage issues on social media.

According to The Block, crypto research firm K33 stated that despite Bitcoin's decline of about 6% after retesting the 200-day moving average of approximately $82,000 this month, the low of about $60,000 in February this year may still represent the largest pullback of this cycle.K33's research director Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rebounds in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market has experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average, and market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a mild adjustment rather than a precursor to a new round of deep declines.K33 also noted that institutional capital flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F data shows that institutional investors collectively reduced their holdings by about 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC; among them, neutral strategy firms like Jane Street and Millennium contributed most of the reduction.Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth largest five-day outflow since the launch of the U.S. spot ETF. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC approaches the ETF cost basis, reflecting that investors tend to stop losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing a deep pullback.

On Wednesday, both WTI and Brent crude oil fell more than 2%, as U.S. President Trump once again claimed that the war with Iran would soon come to an end. However, due to ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, investors remain cautious about the outcome of negotiations. Emril Jamil, a senior oil research analyst at the London Stock Exchange Group, stated that as the market assesses the geopolitical situation, benchmark oil prices have softened due to the possibility of an agreement.However, even if an agreement is reached, there may still be some upward potential for oil prices, as supply is unlikely to return to pre-war levels immediately. Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, noted that as the U.S. position changes daily, investors are closely watching whether the U.S. and Iran can truly find common ground and reach a peace agreement. Given the possibility that the U.S. may strike Iran again, and that even with a peace agreement, crude oil supply will not quickly return to pre-war levels, oil prices may remain elevated.

According to GMGN monitoring, the Base ecosystem token GITLAWB rose by 30% within 1 hour, reaching a market cap high of $37.5 million, currently reported at $36.6 million, with a 24-hour increase of 39% and a trading volume of approximately $3.3 million during the same period.ChainCatcher reminds users that on-chain trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and speculative concepts, and investors should be aware of the risks.

The latest market intelligence report released by the digital asset trading firm Wintermute shows that global financial markets are undergoing a large-scale macroeconomic repricing, with the market narrative shifting from discussions about the timing of interest rate cuts to preparing for potential rate hikes. This structural shift has been triggered by unexpectedly strong economic data and reignited inflationary pressures, creating significant headwinds for digital assets.The report notes that Bitcoin saw a sharp decline after briefly breaking through $83,000, giving back significant gains within a week, while mainstream alternative tokens experienced double-digit percentage drops. Global wealth managers are actively de-risking under macro constraints, highlighting the fragility of digital asset expansion. On-chain trading indicators suggest that the previous price increases were not driven by genuine spot market demand or organic retail accumulation, but rather primarily from short squeezes in the perpetual futures market.The total open interest in Bitcoin derivatives rapidly expanded by $10 billion to $58 billion within a month, while the underlying spot trading volume simultaneously fell to a two-year low. When Bitcoin broke through $80,000, a large number of short positions were forcibly liquidated, triggering a brief buying frenzy, but failed to establish a lasting structural bottom.The main driving factor behind the current market reversal is that global CPI data continues to exceed expectations, reigniting widespread concerns about interest rate hikes. At the same time, ongoing uncertainty surrounding the nomination of the next Federal Reserve chair has injected unpredictability into the market. Despite long-term positive signals, including a recent net inflow of $623 million into spot ETFs and Bitcoin reserves on trading platforms dropping to a seven-year low, Wintermute emphasizes that these long-term trends are insufficient to alleviate recent structural risks.As international asset managers shift capital towards short-term sovereign debt instruments, digital platforms are struggling to maintain momentum. The near-term outlook for the tokenized market will depend on whether genuine spot buyers return to stabilize the weak liquidity gap.

On-chain analyst Darkfost stated that the current loss amount of long-term Bitcoin holders (LTH) has reached 5.7 million coins, comparable to the bear market peak levels of 5.96 million in 2015, 5.8 million in 2019, and 6.8 million in 2022. Nevertheless, the current BTC price has dropped about 52% from its historical high, far lower than previous bear market declines, indicating that the losses are mainly concentrated among younger LTH groups, possibly due to a large number of transactions in the $80,000-$125,000 range.

According to analyst Alicharts, in the past two months, about 60 whale addresses holding at least 10,000 ETH have completely liquidated their positions. Alicharts states that when different entities holding millions of dollars in positions exit the network within such a short time frame, it usually indicates profit-taking and asset reallocation by institutions. These big players are taking advantage of recent liquidity to reduce risk, reflecting a clear lack of confidence in the mid-term outlook. Furthermore, the decrease in the number of giant whales aligns perfectly with the recent influx of large amounts of funds into exchanges. Data shows that the path of least resistance in the short term will still be downward. Therefore, attention needs to be paid to the support at $2,000 for Ethereum.

According to SoSoValue data, the entire cryptocurrency market sector has retraced, with the RWA sector, which performed strongly yesterday, leading the decline at 3.13% over 24 hours. Within the sector, Centrifuge (CFG) dropped 8.4%, while Ondo Finance (ONDO) and Pendle (PENDLE) fell by 3.02% and 6.08%, respectively.The GameFi sector decreased by 2.59%, with WEMIX rising against the trend by 2.01%. In other sectors, the Meme sector dropped 0.73% over 24 hours, but Banana For Scale (BANANA) surged by 17.23%, and Siren (SIREN) rose by 8.27%; the Layer1 sector fell by 0.87%, while Algorand (ALGO) increased by 7.52%; the CeFi sector declined by 1.03%, with NEXO (NEXO) remaining relatively strong, rising by 1.61% during the session.The DeFi sector decreased by 1.49%, with Morpho Token (MORPHO) rising by 3.34%; the Layer2 sector dropped by 1.8%, with Arbitrum (ARB) falling by 2.74%; the PayFi sector declined by 2.41%, but Telcoin (TEL) increased by 4.66%. The cryptocurrency sector index reflecting historical market performance shows that the ssiNFT rose by 0.36%, while the ssiAI and ssiRWA indices fell by 8.73% and 7.71%, respectively.

According to a message posted by Aave founder Stani Kulechov on X, Aave V4 is being gradually launched in phases, introducing a brand new dual-layer isolation market architecture. This architecture separates collateral into independent Hubs, with each Hub further divided into Spokes, implementing selective cap control for liquidity sharing between the Spokes within each Hub.The initial market structure is organized around three Hubs: Prime, Core, and Plus, with more Hubs expected to be launched in subsequent phases. This architecture achieves more refined collateral isolation and liquidity supply management compared to Aave's previous market design. The phased launch allows Aave to progressively deploy V4 while continuously monitoring performance and risk parameters under the new market structure before a full launch.

According to The Block, the on-chain RWA market capitalization has exceeded $65 billion, an increase of about 44% from approximately $45 billion at the beginning of the year. Among them, Ethereum currently holds about 33% market share and remains the primary deployment network for institutional tokenized assets; Provenance Blockchain accounts for about 27%, while BNB Chain, XRP Ledger, and Solana each account for about 6%.The report points out that as traditional asset management institutions accelerate the push for asset tokenization on-chain, various public chains are competing around institutional issuers. The liquidity of RWA is highly sticky; once institutions complete the deployment of tokenization infrastructure on a specific chain, the cost of migration is usually high.

According to Decrypt, digital asset market infrastructure provider Prometheum has officially completed its first batch of cryptocurrency transactions after nearly a decade of establishment and raising approximately $100 million, currently only supporting Ethereum transactions.Prometheum has been controversial in the industry for supporting the compliance path and regulatory stance of the U.S. SEC during Gary Gensler's tenure, and in 2023 became the first company to obtain a Special Purpose Broker-Dealer (SPBD) license from the U.S. SEC and FINRA, allowing it to custody digital asset securities under a federal regulatory framework. However, with Gary Gensler's departure, the U.S. SEC's withdrawal of lawsuits against companies like Coinbase, and the regulatory framework shifting to a more lenient model, the compliance and custody license advantages that Prometheum has built over the long term are being weakened.

According to The Block, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice jointly filed a lawsuit against Minnesota Governor Tim Walz and related officials on Tuesday local time, because the state signed the SF 4760 bill, becoming the first in the nation to explicitly and comprehensively ban prediction markets, which will take effect on August 1, 2026.The CFTC argues that prediction markets fall under federally regulated derivatives and "swap" products, and that state governments do not have the authority to criminalize or prohibit them, requesting the court to issue a permanent injunction against the law.