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Strive's Vice President of Bitcoin Strategy Joe Burnett stated that the annualized rate of return (ARR) for Bitcoin's breakeven point is often misunderstood, and understanding this concept is crucial for grasping the market. He categorized global capital allocation to Bitcoin into three paths: Bullish Bitcoin - believing that Bitcoin will appreciate significantly, borrowing long-term funds at a cost of less than 20% to increase positions; Neutral Bitcoin (digital credit) - Bitcoin only needs to grow by 3.3% annually to permanently cover dividends through capital appreciation, such buyers only need to believe that Bitcoin will not disappear and will outpace inflation, which may have become a global consensus; Bearish Bitcoin - expressing a bearish view through shorting Bitcoin or amplifying Bitcoin.Burnett pointed out that these three paths correspond to three types of Bitcoin-linked instruments, allowing major global capital allocators to find allocation methods that match their worldview, which is precisely the path through which over a trillion dollars of capital is gradually flowing into the Bitcoin market.

According to Jinshi reports, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June meeting focused on several key points, including whether the outlook on the interest rate path remains hawkish, as well as views on forward guidance, the balance sheet, and other issues. In addition, the minutes also mentioned the impact of inflation, employment, and the situation in the Middle East, noting that there are lags due to the decline in oil prices and the cooling of market inflation expectations since the last meeting.

According to Bitcoin News, Dario Amodei, co-founder and CEO of Anthropic, stated to lawmakers in the U.S. Congress that the development of open-source AI is entering a "very dangerous path." Once powerful AI models are released in open-source form, developers will lose effective oversight over the usage of the models, including the inability to monitor abuse, revoke access, or dynamically update security mechanisms, thereby increasing potential risks.Dario Amodei mentioned that compared to closed model systems, fully open models are more difficult to implement continuous control over security governance, which may lead to irreversible abuse risks.

According to Jinshi reports, options traders' views on the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate path are increasingly divergent, with various betting directions ranging from bets on interest rate cuts in the coming months to differing degrees of interest rate hikes. Swap market pricing shows that it is almost a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at its meeting on Wednesday, and all eyes will turn to Chairman Waller's first press conference for clues about future policy. Although the United States and Iran are preparing to officially sign a temporary peace agreement, oil prices have fallen to a three-month low, providing some relief to inflationary pressures, but future policy remains unclear.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - LCK to MSI," the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 3.5 games" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 76.5% an hour ago to the current 44.5% (a fluctuation of 32%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - LCK to MSI," the option "Dplus KIA" in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced significant fluctuations in win rate, soaring from 78.5% an hour ago to the current 96.9% (a fluctuation of 18.4%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to the official blog, Paradigm has submitted a comment letter to the U.S. Department of the Treasury regarding the rulemaking for state-level regulatory pathways under the GENIUS Act. Paradigm supports the core framework of the proposal but points out that without addressing four issues, the state-level pathway will not effectively serve issuers.First, the proposal anchors the federal framework to the yet-to-be-finalized OCC regulations, requiring states and issuers to plan based on an undecided benchmark, which directly hinders market access. The Treasury should not finalize this rule before the OCC's implementation rules are finalized.Second, the proposal requires unanimous agreement from the heads of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the FDIC to certify the state-level system, but does not set a decision timeline, veto explanation standards, or mechanisms to prevent a single member from indefinitely blocking certification. Paradigm suggests establishing a 180-day decision deadline, creating a corrective process for supplementary submissions, and requiring specific veto explanations.Third, the proposal mandates that the state-level system maintain a reserve fund for 12 months of operating expenses, which may crowd out early issuers. It is suggested that states be allowed to adjust reserve fund requirements based on the size and risk profile of the issuer. Fourth, the proposal fails to adequately preempt hostile actions from individual states, and this loophole must be addressed.

Uniswap's governance proposal aims to extend the protocol fee collection and burning infrastructure to BNB Chain and Polygon, and to complete the fee activation process on Celo that was not executed due to a configuration error.The proposal includes: setting the fee receiving address for the V2 protocol on BNB Chain, Polygon, and Celo to TokenJar, and designating the V3 Factory owner on the relevant chains as V3OpenFeeAdapter; additionally, Celo will transfer the feeToSetter role and V4 PoolManager ownership to CrossChainAccount.The proposal states that fees from each chain will be aggregated into the corresponding TokenJar, and then UNI will be bridged back to the Ethereum mainnet and sent to the burn address.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that participants generally believe the Middle East conflict could have a significant impact on risk balance and the appropriate policy path.

OpenAI co-founder and former Tesla AI director Andrej Karpathy officially announced his joining of Anthropic, stating, "I believe the next few years will be a particularly critical phase for the cutting-edge development of large language models (LLM). I am very excited to join the team here and return to research and development work.I remain passionate about the field of education and plan to continue advancing related work at the appropriate time in the future."

According to Jinshi reports, the market has currently priced in a probability of over 30% for interest rate hikes before December. After the unexpectedly strong PPI data in the U.S. for April, the market believes it will be almost more difficult for the Federal Reserve to justify any rate cuts this year.The April PPI rose by 1.4%, significantly higher than the general expectation of 0.5% from economists, indicating that inflationary pressures are stronger than expected and reinforcing the trend of the market repricing the interest rate path.

Paradigm general partner Dan Robinson proposed the "Proof of Address Control Timestamp" (PACTs) mechanism, aimed at providing a protection path for Bitcoin addresses against potential threats from quantum computing.This solution allows holders to generate address control proofs through BIP-322 and create on-chain commitments using a random salt value, completing time anchoring with OpenTimestamps to establish ownership proof without disclosing wallet information. If quantum-vulnerable addresses are frozen in the future through a soft fork, users can submit STARK zero-knowledge proofs to unlock their assets when spending. This mechanism also provides a potential recovery path for wallets derived from BIP-32, but its implementation still relies on Bitcoin introducing STARK verification capabilities and gaining community consensus.

The Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) announced that it has formally submitted a comment letter regarding the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) on prediction markets, advocating for the establishment of a clear compliance path for decentralized prediction markets based on public, permissionless blockchains while improving the regulatory framework for centralized prediction markets.In the comment letter, HPC calls on the CFTC to develop more flexible, function-oriented rules to accommodate decentralized market structures; to establish clear legal channels for U.S. market participants to access decentralized prediction markets; and to promote the U.S. leading position in decentralized financial innovation. HPC stated that prediction markets are a natural extension of the federal derivatives framework, helping participants directly manage their economic risk exposure to real-world events and aggregating dispersed information through continuously updated market prices, whose price discovery capabilities have been widely validated, even outperforming traditional polls and expert forecasts.It pointed out that decentralized prediction markets based on public blockchains have advantages such as transparency, non-custodial nature, and high resilience, not relying on centralized operators to hold user funds, and there is no single point of failure risk; all transactions are recorded in real-time on a public ledger, facilitating regulation and market oversight, while market access standards are more transparent and uniform.HPC emphasized that current rulemaking should not solidify reliance on a single exchange operator, custodial intermediaries, and traditional settlement monitoring mechanisms, as this would hinder U.S. users' legitimate participation in decentralized prediction markets. It stated that it will continue to promote compliance access for U.S. market participants to Hyperliquid and HIP-4 outcome markets and will maintain communication with the CFTC.