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Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: The direction of Bitcoin awaits the determination of CPI, with the lower edge of $81,000 likely to be tested first

Bitcoin has retreated from around $86,000 at the beginning of October, fluctuating in the range of $81,000 to $84,000 in recent days, while the US dollar has strengthened and US Treasury yields remain high. Cloud, the chief analyst at Huobi HTX, believes that the likelihood of breaking down from the fluctuation range is greater.The ISM services price index rose to 74.0 in September, the highest since July 2022, and the one-year inflation expectation from the University of Michigan rose to 4.7% in October. The rise in price components and inflation expectations indicates that the probability of CPI exceeding expectations this Thursday is not low; if this materializes, the pricing for interest rate hikes at the end of the year will be further strengthened, and the lower bound of $81,000 will be tested first. Only if CPI is below expectations will the breakthrough of the upper bound of $84,000 have sustainability.The recent decline in chip stocks is mainly due to the repricing of AI capital expenditures and hardware profit expectations. The retracement of Bitcoin is smaller, indicating that its pricing is more aligned with macro liquidity, and its correlation with the AI narrative is weakening; however, this divergence is temporary. Once the US dollar and long-term interest rates regain dominance in pricing, the linkage will quickly strengthen, with the CPI announcement on Thursday evening serving as a recent testing window.

Dragonfly Partner: Zcash currently still needs a development fund, but it should terminate after the protocol is solidified

Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi commented on the controversy surrounding the Zcash development fund, stating that the Zcash community has positioned itself as "the crypto version of Bitcoin" and has refused to continue adding more features to the protocol. To become a reliable store of value, Zcash ultimately needs to achieve protocol finality, but it still needs to advance Tachyon, quantum resistance, and comprehensive formal verification required to address AI network attacks, making it unsuitable for finality in the next one to two years.The development fund has played a necessary role during the phase of lacking private funding to support Zcash development, and under current rules, it will expire in 2028. However, as the price of ZEC has surged significantly, the scale of the fund has expanded by an order of magnitude; once the fund exceeds 100 million dollars, it will inevitably move towards institutionalization and face the risk of the allocation mechanism being politicized.He advocates for the continued retention of the development fund at this stage to complete the remaining technical work before protocol finality, but this round should be the last round of the development fund. Once Zcash meets the conditions for finality, the fund should gradually wind down rather than continue seeking new funding projects; future development needs can be spontaneously funded by holders and ecosystem supporters, similar to Bitcoin.In terms of governance, Haseeb does not support voting solely by token holders, believing that a store of value asset requires policy predictability, and pure token governance is too volatile. He supports limited participation by holders and believes that committee governance, while flawed, may be a more feasible solution. Haseeb also disclosed that Dragonfly holds ZEC and that he himself is a ZODL investor, but ZODL will not directly benefit from the development fund.

first_img The daily trading volume of the cryptocurrency trading terminal has returned to 1 billion USD, with GMGN accounting for nearly half

According to the Dune data chart published by analyst Adam, the crypto trading terminal's single-day trading volume on September 2 exceeded $1 billion, marking the first time since January 2025. The multi-chain trading terminal GMGN contributed approximately $479.7 million, accounting for nearly half of the total $1.03 billion, of which 90.7% ($445.5 million) came from Robinhood Chain, which has been online for about two months, while its Solana chain trading volume was only $9.5 million, remaining basically unchanged from 30 days ago.Data from DefiLlama shows that GMGN's trading volume on September 2 reached $490.9 million, the third highest in history, only behind $519.2 million on October 8, 2025, and $494.9 million on October 9. The peak during the issuance of the TRUMP meme coin in January 2025 was $272.4 million. GMGN's BSC chain daily trading volume fell from $91.6 million to $29.6 million during the same period, with a cumulative trading volume of $3.02 billion over 30 days, a month-on-month increase of 21.5%; the day's fee income was $2.46 million, significantly up from $956,000 on August 26. Robinhood Chain's own DEX trading volume set a record of $1.67 billion on September 1, with a cumulative total of $20.36 billion over 30 days, a month-on-month increase of 34.9%, second only to Solana among all networks.

first_img OpenAI terminates the Cursor model contract, Musk criticizes Altman

OpenAI has notified SpaceX that it will terminate the contract to provide models for the AI coding tool Cursor it acquired, with a suggested termination date of November 12, stating that this is the longest notice period stipulated in the contract. OpenAI expressed that the decision was difficult, as it values the widespread use of its models by developers, but due to Musk's past breaches of contract, it does not trust SpaceX to use the technology as agreed, and mentioned issues related to the use of OpenAI models during xAI training and contract problems when acquiring X.Musk stated on X that he does not care at all and referred to Sam Altman and Greg Brockman as frauds, accusing them of stealing from an open nonprofit organization. Musk was a co-founder of OpenAI but later filed a $150 billion lawsuit against OpenAI and lost due to exceeding the deadline. OpenAI had attempted to acquire Cursor's developer Anysphere but was unsuccessful, while SpaceX acquired Cursor for $60 billion, with the merger completed on August 15.Michael Truel, co-founder of Cursor and now an executive at SpaceX, stated that Cursor views the OpenAI platform as neutral infrastructure and is negotiating with OpenAI, noting that OpenAI models account for 5% of Cursor's user traffic. Tom Brown, co-founder of Anthropic, stated that they will continue to expand computing power to provide the Claude model on Cursor.
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