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DOGE $0.0903 +0.63%
ADA $0.2202 +1.65%
BCH $259.47 +0.44%
LINK $12.53 -1.37%
HYPE $86.15 +2.25%
AAVE $129.38 -1.73%
SUI $0.8177 -0.09%
XLM $0.1895 -0.36%
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first_img Analysis: Japan's government bond yields hit a 30-year high, while Bitcoin is trading sideways at $78,000

According to Cointelegraph, the global bond bear market continues to ferment, with Japan's 10-year government bond yield rising to 3% on Tuesday, the first time since 1996; the 30-year government bond yield also broke through the historical high of 4.18%. The U.S. 10-year government bond yield simultaneously rose to a multi-year high of 4.78%, and global long-term sovereign bond yields are at their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis.In this context, Bitcoin remains in a sideways consolidation, maintaining around $78,000, slightly retreating from an earlier high of nearly $79,000. There is a dense resistance area between the current spot price and $86,000, which limits Bitcoin's upward momentum. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic in the short term, with the $76,000 to $82,000 range seen as a key battleground in the coming weeks.This round of selling occurred after U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen announced an increase in the upper limit of government bond repurchase transactions to $4 billion starting in September, with some commentators likening it to a form of yield curve control. Arthur Hayes has long argued that the Federal Reserve will eventually activate the FIMA repo facility, a mechanism that will create new dollar liquidity, which is also why he recommends allocating Bitcoin, gold, and cryptocurrencies; Yellen hinted at the future use of this tool as early as August.

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Waller's hawkish speech raises expectations for "higher interest rates to last longer," making the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields key to the market

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang stated that the hawkish remarks made by Powell at the Jackson Hole global central bank conference have shifted the market's focus from whether there will be a rate hike in September to the possibility that the Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates for a longer period before inflation clearly falls back to the 2% target, and even retain the option for further tightening of policies.Lewis Huang pointed out that if subsequent CPI, PCE, and employment data continue to be strong, the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and the dollar index may remain strong, putting continued pressure on gold from the dual forces of rising real interest rates and a strengthening dollar, which may also amplify the volatility of high-valuation tech stocks like the Nasdaq 100.Conversely, if inflation significantly cools and the labor market weakens, the market may lower its rate hike expectations, leading to a decline in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, providing support for gold and growth stocks.He added that besides the Federal Reserve's policy statements, traders should also pay attention to whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is influenced by factors such as fiscal deficits, Treasury supply, and rising term premiums.Before and after the release of major data, it is recommended to moderately control leverage and assess market direction based on the interrelationship between the dollar, U.S. Treasury yields, gold, and stock indices.

first_img Ethena launches Ethena Pay based on Avalanche, offering up to 6% yield and 10% cashback

According to The Block, Ethena Labs announced the launch of the beta version of its self-custody payment application Ethena Pay on Avalanche, covering 48 countries.The application integrates Ethena's synthetic dollar USDe, allowing users to earn rewards on their account balance, including up to 6% annual yield and up to 10% cash back when using designated merchants.The founder of Ethena stated that this is the first bank-like application to integrate the issuer's own stablecoin products with banking applications. Users can hold USDe, receive fiat currency through international bank accounts or directly deposit in cryptocurrency, and can also send funds to others and settle in the recipient's local currency.The application supports "instant" global transfers, with free transfers for USD, EUR, and other currencies, while other bank transfers incur certain fees. The application offers three membership tiers: standard users can enjoy a 5% annual yield, and by depositing 2000 USD in USDe or inviting 10 users, they can upgrade to VIP status, enjoying a 6% yield; depositing 10,000 USD or inviting 50 people allows for further upgrades. Cash back is paid in AVAX.The beta version of Ethena Pay is now available on iOS and Android, initially covering countries such as Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, the Philippines, Singapore, the UAE, and Australia, with the US, EU, Canada, and South Korea to follow. Currently, the circulating supply of USDe is approximately 4 billion USD.

Short-term yields on U.S. Treasuries have risen, as the market expects the Federal Reserve may need to raise short-term interest rates

U.S. short-term Treasury yields rose. Federal Reserve Chairman Waller emphasized in a highly anticipated speech that the Fed needs to curb rising consumer prices, alleviating some market concerns about its ability to combat inflation.During Waller's speech, short-term U.S. Treasuries were sold off, while long-term Treasuries rose. The yield on the two-year Treasury increased by 5 basis points to 4.28%, while the 30-year yield decreased by 1 basis point to 5.19%. These changes indicate that the market expects the Fed may need to raise short-term rates. Since Waller held his first press conference in June, bond traders have had doubts about his policy stance. At that time, Waller emphasized the need to lower inflation and showed a hawkish stance.Since the global economy reopened from the pandemic in 2021, U.S. inflation has remained above the Fed's 2% target. However, in July, the Fed again kept rates unchanged, and Waller did not indicate whether a rate hike might occur this year. Subsequently, long-term Treasury yields surged as traders demanded higher returns to compensate for the risks posed by rising inflation.Waller warned on Friday that inflation has not shown meaningful signs of slowing and stated that policymakers must be confident that inflation is improving; otherwise, the central bank "has work to do." He also reiterated that policymakers will bring the inflation rate back to the 2% target and emphasized that this goal is clear and fixed.

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: On the eve of Jackson Hole, market focus shifts to inflation, long-term Treasury yields, and policy framework

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang stated in a live broadcast that this week’s U.S. PCE data and the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting will become the market focus. The market is not only concerned about whether the Federal Reserve will adjust interest rates but will also pay close attention to how it responds to inflation remaining above the 2% target, high long-term Treasury yields, and fiscal pressures.Lewis Huang pointed out that if the core PCE is higher than expected and the Federal Reserve signals a continuation of tightening or emphasizes anti-inflation measures, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar may receive support, while interest rate-sensitive assets like gold and the Nasdaq 100 may come under pressure. Conversely, if inflation data cools and officials express a tendency to retain policy flexibility, the market may re-evaluate future easing space, benefiting gold, non-U.S. currencies, and growth-oriented stock indices. This PCE data is generally in line with expectations, and the market focus has shifted to the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting.In addition, the situation in the Middle East and risks in the Strait of Hormuz may still push up oil prices and inflation expectations. Traders should closely observe the U.S. dollar index, U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields, and the correlation between gold and oil; after major data releases, it is advisable to wait for further market confirmation of direction to avoid using high leverage to chase the initial wave of trends.
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