BTC $80,244.30 -0.10%
ETH $2,323.02 -0.28%
BNB $740.54 +0.20%
XRP $1.30 +0.04%
SOL $101.49 +0.73%
TRX $0.3309 +0.58%
DOGE $0.0771 +0.96%
ADA $0.2051 +0.42%
BCH $278.14 +2.19%
LINK $11.45 +0.86%
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AAVE $135.87 +0.21%
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ZEC $1,235.72 +2.43%
AAPL $343.74 -0.83%
AMZN $250.56 +0.68%
GOOGL $322.48 +0.34%
MSFT $527.54 +0.72%
META $639.15 -0.45%
NVDA $213.50 +0.54%
TSLA $381.90 +2.79%
SNDK $1,268.79 +2.14%
INTC $88.43 +2.00%
SPCX $148.38 +0.28%
MU $901.33 +1.35%
AMD $523.66 +0.89%
BTC $80,244.30 -0.10%
ETH $2,323.02 -0.28%
BNB $740.54 +0.20%
XRP $1.30 +0.04%
SOL $101.49 +0.73%
TRX $0.3309 +0.58%
DOGE $0.0771 +0.96%
ADA $0.2051 +0.42%
BCH $278.14 +2.19%
LINK $11.45 +0.86%
HYPE $77.33 +1.25%
AAVE $135.87 +0.21%
SUI $0.9164 -0.03%
XLM $0.1694 +0.40%
ZEC $1,235.72 +2.43%
AAPL $343.74 -0.83%
AMZN $250.56 +0.68%
GOOGL $322.48 +0.34%
MSFT $527.54 +0.72%
META $639.15 -0.45%
NVDA $213.50 +0.54%
TSLA $381.90 +2.79%
SNDK $1,268.79 +2.14%
INTC $88.43 +2.00%
SPCX $148.38 +0.28%
MU $901.33 +1.35%
AMD $523.66 +0.89%

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Analysis: BTC traders have realized a price increase again, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive

CryptoQuant certified analyst Trader_Gemini stated that the Trader On-chain Realized Price has risen again, currently becoming an important reference indicator for observing the subsequent trend of BTC. This indicator reflects the average acquisition price of BTC that last transferred in the past 1 to 3 months and can be used to measure the average holding cost of recent market participants. Currently, the trading price of BTC is in the low range of $80,000, while the realized price for traders has risen to the mid-range of $70,000, indicating that the current price of BTC is still above the recent average cost for traders.From the current structure, recent market participants are generally still in a state of unrealized profit, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive. Historically, when the market is in an upward phase, the realized price for traders often provides support when BTC retraces close to that level. If the price can hold above this cost line, it indicates that the holding cost for recent participants may still provide support for the market; conversely, if BTC falls below this level, some traders in an unrealized loss state may sell when the price rebounds close to their cost, turning that position from support to resistance.In addition, Trader_Gemini also reminded to pay attention to the Upper Band of the indicator. Historically, when BTC prices approach the upper band, it is often accompanied by increased profit-taking pressure, which may lead to a short-term pullback. Therefore, if BTC continues to rise, the market reaction near the upper band is worth close observation; if BTC experiences a pullback, attention should be paid to whether the realized price for traders can provide effective support. Trader_Gemini emphasized that the upper band does not necessarily mean the market will peak, and the realized price for traders does not guarantee that BTC will rebound; neither should be viewed as automatic triggers for trading but rather as reference indicators for judging at what price recent market participants may change their behavior. Currently, BTC is still operating above the realized price for traders, and the overall cost structure remains positive; if a deeper adjustment occurs later, whether this indicator can continue to provide support will become an important observation point.

The Gate event market has launched a macro market special page, with a multi-dimensional data dashboard to help gain insights into market expectations

According to the official announcement, the Gate event market has officially launched a macro market special page, focusing on core topics such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, inflation, employment, economic growth, U.S. Treasury yields, and economic recession, displaying event probabilities, trading volumes, and market expectations through a visual dashboard. Users can experience related features by updating the Gate App to version v8.41 or above.In the special page, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision module provides a countdown to future interest rate events and displays the probability distribution of options such as rate hikes, rate cuts, and maintaining the current rate; core CPI, core PCE, non-farm employment, and unemployment rates are presented through indicator cards showing the latest forecast results. The GDP module displays the probabilities of different growth ranges, the U.S. Treasury module covers yields for 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year bonds, and the recession module presents market probabilities through a dashboard. The page supports dynamic updates of related event probabilities, and users can also enter event details to view key events and related news.As a centralized trading platform that is the first to layout the event market, Gate's upgrade further integrates macroeconomic information, enhancing the market expectation observation experience. In the future, the platform will continue to enrich the coverage of events, deepen the connection between market data, information, and event trading, and improve the one-stop event market service system.
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