fedwatch

According to today's CME "FedWatch" data: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95%. By March, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 20.7%, the probability of maintaining the current rate is 78.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.9%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 92%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 8%.In addition, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points in October is 21.2%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points is 72.6%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 75 basis points is 6.2%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 8.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 91.1%.In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 4.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 48.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 46.8%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 79.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.2%.The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 5.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 75.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 18.8%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 18.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 81.4%.The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the rate until September is 8.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 74.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 16.6%.The dates for the next two FOMC meetings are July 30 and September 17.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, there are 17 days left until the next FOMC meeting, with a 4.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in June and a 95.4% probability of maintaining the current interest rate.The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate until July is 73.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 25.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1%.

ChainCatcher message, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 2%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 98%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 17%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 83%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, there are 3 days until the next FOMC meeting, with a 2.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January and a 97.9% probability of no change.The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 50 basis points by March is 0.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 27.0%, and the probability of no change is 72.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is only 10.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 89.3%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 8.6%, while the probability of keeping it unchanged is 91.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 54.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 41.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points by December is 61.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 38.1%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, investors' expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at the next meeting have decreased, while the inflation and employment data scheduled for release next week may still change those expectations.According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates has dropped from nearly 20% earlier this month to 2%. Most are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points. The September PCE data will be released next Thursday, and the October employment data will be released next Friday. Price data shows that inflation is persistent but not overheating. Employment data may be affected by one-time impacts from hurricanes and strikes.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in November is 95%, while the probability of maintaining the rate at 4.75%-5.00% is 5%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 48.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 51.5%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 69%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 31%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 70%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 30%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME (Federal Reserve Watch) data, as of the time of publication, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 67.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 32.5%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 75%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut has decreased to 25%.