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Bernstein reiterated the target price of $67 for Figure, optimistic about a 72% upside driven by tokenization

Bernstein reiterated its "Outperform" rating on Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR) and maintained a target price of $67, implying about a 72% upside from the current stock price of $38.97. Figure's Q1 2026 performance was strong: loan issuance reached $2.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 113%; adjusted revenue was $167 million, a year-on-year increase of 92%, exceeding market expectations by 6%; adjusted EBITDA was $82.7 million, with a profit margin of about 50%, slightly above market expectations. However, the GAAP diluted EPS was $0.18, about 9% below expectations, primarily impacted by $26 million in equity incentive expenses.Bernstein's analysis suggests that this performance should reshape the market's perception of Figure, as it is not a traditional credit company, but rather a "tokenization-driven capital market platform," with core profits coming from network fees and operational leverage, and it maintains a pricing model based on a 25x EBITDA valuation for 2027. Additionally, the tokenization ecosystem continues to expand: the yield-bearing security token YLDS reached $598 million (up 80% quarter-on-quarter); the balance of stock lending products was $368 million (up 79%); and the small business loan segment contributed $6 million in revenue. Figure's current stock price is still not far from the 2025 IPO issue price of $36, but there remains a significant gap from the historical high of $78.

Figure CEO: Blockchain will reconstruct Wall Street's "financial pipeline," and traditional intermediaries may be massively replaced

According to CoinDesk, Figure Technology Solutions CEO Mike Cagney stated that the company is trying to leverage blockchain to reconstruct the traditional credit market infrastructure and deeply integrate real-world assets (RWA), securitization, and DeFi.Data shows that Figure's loan issuance in March this year exceeded $1 billion for the first time in a single month, with a total lending volume of $2.9 billion in the first quarter, which annualizes to about $12 billion. Cagney stated that the company's goal is to reduce intermediaries in the securitization, lending, and stock lending markets through on-chain processes, lowering costs and enhancing liquidity.Currently, Figure has launched the yield-bearing stablecoin YLDS and has launched on-chain credit vault products on networks like Solana, allowing users to invest in tokenized credit assets or use them as collateral for borrowing. The company also plans to expand into the Ethereum ecosystem and explore stock tokenization and on-chain securities lending.Cagney believes that the true value of blockchain lies not in "putting everything on-chain," but in reconstructing the financial abstraction layer. "Financial assets such as loans, securities, and equity are naturally suited for on-chain processes, and the entire financial infrastructure may be rewritten as a result."
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