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Flash

first_img Gemini reaches an agreement with Apex to expand the distribution of the prediction market

According to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency platform Gemini, founded by the Winklevoss twins, announced that it has signed a letter of intent with Apex Fintech Solutions to distribute regulated crypto prediction market contracts to brokerage clients through Apex's futures commission merchant (FCM). Under the arrangement, the subsidiary Gemini Titan will become the exclusive regulated trading venue for distributing crypto event contracts via Apex FCM, with Gemini responsible for execution and clearing, allowing brokers using Apex to offer related products without having to build their own connections to the prediction market exchange.This collaboration builds on Gemini's efforts to advance regulated prediction market layouts. Gemini Titan received a CFTC-designated contract market license in December 2025, and Gemini Olympus obtained a derivatives clearing organization license in April 2025. The two parties already have a foundation for cooperation, as Gemini launched commission-free stock trading for some U.S. clients in July, with Apex Clearing Corporation serving as the custodian and clearing broker. The company expects to finalize details in the coming weeks.Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss stated that he believes prediction is the future of the market. The report also mentioned the overall growth in trading volume in prediction markets, as well as the prediction market-related Command Center AI feature previously launched by Gemini.

first_img ARK Invest Research Director: Suggests Hyperliquid acquire Gemini to create a compliant HIP-3/4 platform in the U.S

ARK Invest Research Director lorenzoark suggested that Hyperliquid acquire the U.S. compliant trading platform Gemini, transforming it into a U.S. regulated HIP-3 and HIP-4 deployment platform. Hyperliquid is in contact with the CFTC and SEC to support U.S. regulated companies in offering perpetual contract trading and settlement on its public chain. Gemini went public in September 2025 with a valuation of $3.3 billion, and its current market value is approximately $450 million, down over 85% from its IPO. Its core business is under pressure, having scaled back operations in the UK, EU, and Australia, with staff reduced by about 40% from a peak of 402 to 402, and platform assets decreasing from $18.2 billion to $8.4 billion, with spot trading volume down 66%.Approximately $450 million would secure Gemini's complete U.S. regulatory license portfolio, including the NYDFS trust license, CFTC-regulated DCM (Gemini Titan), DCO (Gemini Olympus), an ongoing FCM, nearly all state MTLs, and broker-dealer licenses. In comparison, Kraken's parent company acquired Bitnomial for up to $550 million, making Gemini's overall market value lower. After the acquisition, it could inherit operational assets such as approximately 580,000 monthly active trading users, 1.72 million lifetime users, $8.4 billion in platform assets, quarterly spot volume of $3.8 billion, and approximately $180 million in annualized revenue.

hot_img SemiAnalysis: Gemini has exited the frontier competition, and GCP is accelerating the sale of TPUs to third parties for profit

The research organization SemiAnalysis released an analysis indicating that Google DeepMind is no longer among the leading AI laboratories. A week prior, DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped back from daily operations, and key members such as Google Chief Scientist Jeff Dean and Gemini co-lead Oriol Vinyals left to establish a new lab called Discovery Loop. The analysis suggests that the long-term struggle within Google over computing power allocation between Gemini and GCP has concluded with GCP emerging victorious.SemiAnalysis stated that Gemini 3.5 Pro has been canceled, and Gemini 3.6 Flash's performance is inferior to that of leading Chinese open-source models and Grok 4.5. Currently, Gemini has fallen to the 8th or 9th position in the large model rankings. Meanwhile, GCP is selling a large number of TPUs to competitors like Anthropic, having secured long-term leasing and sales contracts for hundreds of thousands of TPUs over the past nine months. The Tokenomics model estimates that Gemini's own ARR is about $12 billion, while GCP's third-party AI cloud service revenue is expected to exceed $73 billion by the end of 2027, with TPU system sales contributing an additional over $120 billion. GCP's latest quarterly growth rate is 82%, and it is expected to accelerate to over 100% by 2027 due to TPU system sales, contributing approximately $3 to Google's earnings per share.
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