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According to a report by Jinshi, StoneX analyst Matt Simpson stated in a research report that based on technical analysis, the US dollar index may see a slight increase in the short term. Currently, the US dollar index is maintaining around the level of 98.249, and on Thursday, the 200-day simple moving average formed a "slightly bullish" pattern, with the two-day relative strength index in an extremely oversold condition. However, there are multiple resistance levels, including the 200-day exponential moving average at 98.44 that the bulls need to test.

The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has released the final draft of the crypto asset framework. This new regulation is set to bring most crypto activities under the regulation of the Financial Services and Markets Act by October 25, 2027.According to the proposal, any institution that holds customer crypto assets for more than 24 hours or has the ability to revoke customer permissions will be considered a regulated custodian and must hold a full safeguarding license. Validators and node operators that provide value-added features such as yield or reward reinvestment will lose their technical exemptions. In addition, stablecoin issuers within the UK must control the entire lifecycle from issuance to redemption. Relevant institutions must submit authorization applications between September 30, 2026, and February 28, 2027.

Blockstream CEO Adam Back stated that Bitcoin should adopt an optional quantum-resistant upgrade scheme, rather than the mandatory freezing of tokens at risk from quantum threats proposed in BIP-361.The BIP-361 proposal suggests phasing out addresses vulnerable to quantum attacks over five years and ultimately freezing un-migrated tokens, including assets held by Satoshi Nakamoto. Google's latest research indicates that a superconducting qubit system may need fewer than 500,000 physical qubits to crack Bitcoin encryption in just a few minutes. Currently, about 6.9 million BTC are at risk from such threats. In response to the quantum threat, BitMEX Research proposed establishing a canary fund that would implement a full freeze only when expenditures occur from the relevant addresses.

According to Whale Alert monitoring, Circle has issued an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana chain.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the underlying inflation trends show mixed signals.

According to market news, Blockstream CEO Adam Back stated at the Paris Blockchain Week that he supports the optional advancement of Bitcoin's quantum resistance upgrade and opposes the proposal to forcibly freeze quantum-vulnerable addresses. He emphasized that "preparation is much safer than hasty responses in a crisis" and pointed out that the Bitcoin community has the coordination ability to respond quickly to urgent vulnerabilities.Previously, the BIP-361 proposal ("Post-Quantum Migration and Legacy Signature Sunset") put forward by developers Jameson Lopp and five others advocated for the gradual elimination of quantum-vulnerable addresses over five years, ultimately freezing coins that have not completed migration— including approximately 1.7 million Bitcoins held by Satoshi Nakamoto.

CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten stated that the Bitcoin funding rate has fallen to its lowest level since 2023, and historical patterns show that such signals often coincide with market bottoms. According to Glassnode data, the seven-day moving average of the funding rate has dropped to about -0.005%.The funding rate is the fee that long and short positions pay each other periodically in perpetual contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot market. When the rate is positive, longs pay shorts, reflecting bullish market sentiment; when the rate is negative, shorts pay longs, indicating a bearish market. Despite the funding rate being persistently negative from March to April this year, Bitcoin still oscillated upward from the $60,000 to $65,000 range to about $75,000. Historically, a deeply negative funding rate often coincides with Bitcoin's phase bottoms: during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, Bitcoin fell to about $3,000; it dropped to $30,000 during China's mining ban announcement in 2021; it hit a low of about $15,000 during the FTX collapse in November 2022; and it briefly fell below $20,000 during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. During the yen arbitrage trade closure in August 2024 and the "Liberation Day" sell-off in April 2025, negative funding rates also appeared alongside phase lows. The continued negative funding rate indicates that even if the price trend is positive, short positions remain at a high level. This divergence may suggest that the market is climbing within a "wall of worry," and a large number of short positions could become fuel for further price increases.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $75,000, facing supply pressure, but institutional demand remains stable.Market sentiment is boosted by news of the extended ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. The dollar has fallen to a near six-week low, and U.S. Treasury yields have also declined, conditions that typically support cryptocurrency prices; gold has risen in tandem, indicating that the market is seeking a balance between risk appetite and safe-haven demand.On-chain data shows that when prices reach a key cost benchmark for short-term holders, Bitcoin often experiences a supply surge. This level is around $76,800, which could constitute significant resistance, at which point investors may choose to take profits when breaking even.The newly established MSBT fund under Morgan Stanley has quickly attracted over $100 million in inflows due to the market's lowest fee rates, prompting competitors like Goldman Sachs to initiate a new round of competition.Meanwhile, the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and Iran's threats to disrupt shipping in the Persian Gulf continue to cast a shadow over the global economic outlook. The impact on energy supply has begun to raise inflation expectations, which may influence central bank policy direction and, in turn, affect the cryptocurrency market.

JPMorgan analysts have stated that negotiations for the U.S. "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" (i.e., the CLARITY Act) have entered the final stages, with both sides reaching compromises on a few remaining contentious points. The number of disputes has been reduced from over a dozen to 2-3 core issues, with discussions on stablecoin rewards being "in a good place." While banks express concerns about stablecoins offering similar yields to deposits, there is an overall bipartisan compromise trend. JPMorgan believes that "there is no perfect bill," and once passed, the bill will provide important regulatory clarity for the integration of digital assets into the U.S. financial system.The "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" is currently in advanced negotiations in the U.S. Senate, with Senate staff stating that the draft is "very close" to resolution, but the final text has not yet been released, nor has a formal vote been scheduled. The remaining major disagreements focus on stablecoin rewards, DeFi regulation, and token classification issues. Although optimism is rising, there is still a risk of delays due to the 2026 midterm elections, which could lead to a more uncertain political environment. If the bill is ultimately passed, it will delineate the regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC, providing a long-term regulatory framework for stablecoins, DeFi, and the entire cryptocurrency industry.

According to CoinDesk, Blockstream CEO Adam Back stated at Paris Blockchain Week that Bitcoin developers should advance optional quantum-resistant upgrades as early as possible, even though practical quantum computers are still far from being realized.He pointed out that Taproot's flexible design can support the introduction of new quantum-resistant signature schemes without affecting existing users. Previously, Jameson Lopp and others proposed BIP - 361, which aims to gradually phase out addresses vulnerable to quantum attacks within 5 years and freeze Bitcoin that has not completed migration. Adam Back believes that the Bitcoin community can quickly coordinate responses in emergencies without the need for pre-established freezing arrangements.

The ETH/BTC exchange rate has risen to a 10-week high, with Ethereum's recent performance outperforming Bitcoin. This ratio has broken through the resistance level of a downward trend line since 2025 and is above the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages.XWIN Research points out that the employee statement released by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission explains that DeFi front-end and wallet interfaces do not need to register as broker-dealers under conditions such as non-custodial and neutral fee structures, which has boosted Ethereum's strength. On-chain data shows an upward trend in active addresses, and the Coinbase premium gap is also improving, indicating that U.S. institutional demand is recovering.Enterprise-level accumulation is accelerating, with Bitmine increasing its holdings by 279,000 ETH in the past 30 days, currently holding 4.87 million ETH, accounting for over 4% of the circulating supply. In the futures market, global ETH open interest has reached $16.37 billion, with the funding rate still negative, indicating that shorts are dominant. However, open interest on Binance has increased by 10.47% to $6.04 billion, and the funding rate has turned positive, creating an extreme imbalance between global shorts and Binance longs.

According to market news, boosted by the strength of technology stocks and optimistic expectations that the conflict between the United States and Iran may ease, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose to 24,016.02 points on Wednesday, up 1.59%; the S&P 500 Index rose to 7,022.95 points, up 0.8%, both reaching all-time highs.During the same period, Bitcoin briefly touched $75,229, rising 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over the past two weeks. Reports cited Fundstrat Chief Investment Officer Tom Lee's view that the next phase of the rally may be driven by Bitcoin, Ether, and technology stocks.

Bitcoin rose to about $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in the last 24 hours and 5.4% for the week. However, the derivatives market is sending mixed signals. Institutional firm QCP Capital pointed out that this round of increase is mainly driven by spot trading, rather than a broad recovery in risk appetite.Currently, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts remains negative, and open interest has decreased, indicating that short sellers are still increasing hedges rather than passively closing positions. The options market is also leaning towards caution: short-term implied volatility is sluggish, with one-month volatility lower than three-month volatility, and the risk reversal indicator shows that the market's demand for downside protection is higher than for upside bets, indicating that traders are more inclined to pay for potential declines rather than chase upward movements. QCP believes this is more of a "bounce" rather than a trend reversal.On a macro level, long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices have not confirmed a recovery in risk appetite, with gold still near high levels, indicating that safe-haven demand remains. Institutions point out that the current market is more driven by expectations of a ceasefire and "emotional repair," rather than a core risk being alleviated. Additionally, Ethereum has shown relatively strong performance, with the ETH/BTC ratio rising to about 0.0315, combined with on-chain transaction volumes and stablecoin supply reaching all-time highs, indicating signs of capital rotating towards high β assets. However, the market still needs to observe the evolution of subsequent risk events to confirm the sustainability of this round of increase.

According to analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin has experienced a net outflow from CEX almost every day for the past two months, indicating a trend of accumulation among investors.This type of structural outflow is often seen as a positive signal of reduced selling pressure, especially during the current price consolidation phase, which may indicate that the selling power is exhausted, while also suggesting that Bitcoin is being transferred from CEX to long-term holding wallets.

The enterprise digital asset infrastructure platform Fireblocks has launched a new feature called Earn, allowing institutional clients to allocate stablecoin balances to on-chain lending strategies through products supported by Aave and Morpho, in order to enhance the efficiency of idle capital utilization.The product is initially integrated with the Morpho vault and Aave stablecoin lending market, curated by Sentora, and is now open for Early Access to Fireblocks clients. Fireblocks stated that the earnings are generated by the underlying protocols, are variable returns, are not guaranteed, and may be 0. Data shows that Aave and Morpho are currently the top two decentralized lending protocols by total locked value.

According to Cointelegraph, after a recent rebound, Ethereum's price has stabilized above $2,300, with ETH futures open interest increasing to $25.4 billion, indicating a rise in demand for leveraged positions.Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs listed in the U.S. have seen a net inflow of $248 million over the past 10 days, and Bitmine Immersion has also disclosed the purchase of $312 million worth of ETH. However, the funding rate for ETH perpetual contracts has failed to remain above 5% and has repeatedly fallen below 0, reflecting limited market confidence in this round of increases. Additionally, Ethereum's weekly DApp revenue has dropped from $24 million in early February to $11 million, and weakened network activity along with intensified competition among public chains may continue to affect ETH's trend.

The open interest (OI) of the HIP-3 market on Hyperliquid reached a peak of approximately $2.38 billion and currently remains at a high of around $2.1 billion, reflecting a growth of about 580% year-to-date. This growth is primarily driven by "non-crypto assets."Among the top ten markets by trading volume on the platform, only three are crypto trading pairs, while the rest consist of tokenized stocks and commodities, including the Nasdaq index, S&P 500, crude oil, gold, and silver. Analysis indicates that the core driving force comes from the demand for "24/7 trading of traditional assets." Unlike traditional markets that are limited by trading hours, HIP-3 enables investors to trade stock and commodity exposure around the clock through on-chain settlement and a non-intermediary structure. Additionally, TradeXYZ accounts for over 90% of the open interest in HIP-3, becoming the main source of liquidity in this sector.

According to Decrypt, U.S. Senator Warren recently expressed concerns about Musk's planned payment platform X Money, stating that it could pose risks to consumer protection, national security, and the stability of the financial system.Warren pointed out that after acquiring and reshaping X, Musk is pushing it to become a "super app" that covers "all aspects of users' financial lives," potentially even replacing the traditional banking system. She questioned the performance of the X platform in terms of security and content governance, believing that this undermines its credibility in entering the consumer finance sector.Additionally, Warren criticized the current regulatory environment for becoming more lenient, including the "GENIUS Act" promoted by the Trump administration, which provides a "special pathway" for private companies to issue stablecoins, potentially weakening necessary regulatory constraints.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the number of large transfers sent to exchanges by wholecoiners (investors holding at least 1 full BTC) has significantly decreased.Currently, the average monthly transfer volume of this type on Binance is only about 6,000 BTC, comparable to levels in 2018, and far below the 15,400 BTC seen in 2021. Globally, the transfer volume has dropped from a peak of 80,000 BTC in 2018 to about 27,500 BTC.Darkfost pointed out that this trend is partly due to the continuous rise in Bitcoin prices making it increasingly difficult to hold full BTC, and it also reflects a profound change in market structure: products like ETFs allow investors to gain exposure without directly holding BTC, while more and more investors are shifting to long-term holding strategies.He believes this means that selling pressure has eased, but it has also led to a gradual decline in the liquidity of Bitcoin supply on exchanges.

According to Arkham monitoring, Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT from Lighter. Analysis indicates that this may be the investor token share of Dragonfly, which will be locked for 1 year and will be unlocked in phases after the TGE. It is expected that these tokens will not be liquid again before December 30, 2026.