near

After experiencing a significant sell-off last week, an important on-chain metric for Bitcoin—MVRV Z-Score—is approaching the historical bear market bottom region, indicating that market prices are gradually aligning with on-chain realized value, and the worst phase of the decline may be nearing its end. Data shows that the current Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score is 0.24, close to the zero axis, which is historically regarded as the "green accumulation zone." During past bear markets in 2011-2012, 2014, 2018, and 2022, this metric bottomed out near zero or briefly dipped below zero before starting a new upward cycle.The MVRV Z-Score measures the deviation between Bitcoin's current market value and its realized value. When market prices are significantly above the realized value, it indicates that Bitcoin is relatively expensive; conversely, when prices are close to or below the realized value, it suggests that the market has entered an undervalued area. However, analysts believe that the market may not have formed an absolute bottom yet. On-chain data shows that the short-term holder MVRV (STH-MVRV) is currently at 0.84, while the long-term holder MVRV (LTH-MVRV) remains as high as 1.29, and neither has converged like during the bear market bottoms of 2015, 2019, and 2022. This indicates that long-term holders still retain significant unrealized profits, and the market may still need to undergo further adjustments to form a typical bear market bottom.However, after the cryptocurrency market evaporated hundreds of billions in market value last week, several historical signals indicating market recovery have begun to emerge.

According to Onchain Lens, a certain whale sold 9,781 ETH for approximately 15.9 million USDC, with an average transaction price of about 1,663 USD, and exchanged for 5,114 AAVE.At the same time, the address submitted a withdrawal request for 1,909 stETH, which is approximately 1.67 million USD at the current price.

According to Decrypt, although Do Kwon, the founder of Terraform Labs, has been sentenced to 15 years in prison for causing the collapse of Terra, which resulted in approximately $40 billion in losses, the abandoned original chain Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) has not disappeared. A group of community members continues to maintain the network, hoping to achieve one of the greatest revivals in the history of the cryptocurrency industry.The report states that a core community member known by the pseudonym "Vegas" lost about $50,000 during the Terra collapse and has since been involved in operating validation nodes, governance proposals, and developer coordination. He expressed that despite facing long-term internal power struggles and fraud accusations, and even being maliciously reported to the authorities, he still believes LUNC has the potential to return to the top ten in the cryptocurrency industry.After the Terra collapse in 2022, Terraform Labs launched a new chain, Terra, through a hard fork, while the original chain was retained and renamed Terra Luna Classic. Subsequently, the community organization Terra Rebels took over the maintenance work and launched a series of proposals, including a 1.2% burn tax, in hopes of revitalizing the ecosystem. However, due to disputes over fund allocation and governance, Terra Rebels eventually disbanded, and several developers left one after another.Despite this, the community continues to advance the development of projects such as lending protocols, games, and meme coins, and attempts to restore the stablecoin peg mechanism. Data shows that LUNC has risen 17.3% in the past year, but has cumulatively fallen 28.7% since 2022, with a decline of 99.99% from its historical high of $119.Some community members stated that the shared trauma after the collapse has formed a bond similar to "family," and that price is no longer the only goal. "What if we could achieve one of the greatest comebacks in cryptocurrency history? It's like a last-ditch pass." said a community member.

According to a report by Fortune, David Trainer, CEO of research firm New Constructs, analyzed that to support a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion, SpaceX needs to increase its annual revenue to about $1.1 trillion by 2035, which is nearly a 60-fold increase from $18.7 billion in 2025, equivalent to maintaining an average annual revenue growth rate of about 50% over the next decade.According to the prospectus previously submitted by SpaceX, the company's revenue in 2025 is projected to be $18.7 billion, with a net loss of $4.9 billion. Trainer calculated based on a discounted cash flow model that if investors want to achieve an annualized return of about 10% over the next decade, SpaceX must achieve the aforementioned growth targets.Analysis indicates that if it reaches a revenue scale of $1.1 trillion, SpaceX's revenue would account for about 2.4% of the U.S. GDP in 2035, with an economic scale exceeding the entire U.S. utility industry and approaching three-quarters of the U.S. transportation industry.Trainer stated that although the artificial intelligence market has vast potential, many competitors, including Alphabet, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and OpenAI, are competing for market share, and SpaceX lacks historical precedent to achieve such a scale of growth. He believes that SpaceX could not only become the largest IPO in history but also the most expensive in terms of valuation.

According to Jinshi reports, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell nearly 9% during the afternoon trading session of the U.S. stock market.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, Hex Trust's affiliated entities have accumulated 72.23 million H tokens in the past 4 hours, accounting for 2.55% of the circulating supply. Its foundation made significant adjustments in April regarding the H token allocation for early investors, either extending the unlocking period or issuing the full amount of tokens at a 70% discount in a one-time distribution on June 26. Hex Trust is one of its strategic investors, and it is still unclear whether this asset transfer is related to the upcoming unlocking.

According to CNBC, ARK Invest's Chief Futurist Brett Winton stated that SpaceX's upcoming IPO could become one of the most significant stock offerings in history, with its satellite internet business Starlink alone being sufficient to support a valuation of nearly $2 trillion.SpaceX has set the IPO price at $135 per share, planning to list on Nasdaq on June 12, with a pre-IPO valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion. The company plans to sell 555.6 million shares, raising about $75 billion, and underwriters may also purchase an additional 83.33 million shares at the IPO price, corresponding to about $11.2 billion. After the IPO is completed, Musk will hold over 82% of the voting control.Winton noted that SpaceX's growth prospects are not limited to launch services but are closely tied to the rapid expansion of AI. ARK estimates that by 2030, the combined enterprise value of companies developing and operating foundational AI models could reach $15 trillion to $20 trillion.Winton stated that investors typically focus on SpaceX's reusable rockets, but Starlink is the main driver of ARK's valuation logic. He mentioned that the current satellite constellation of Starlink can provide approximately 500 Tbps of bandwidth, generating annual revenue of about $13 billion. With the Starship rocket coming into operation, SpaceX can significantly reduce launch costs and deploy more satellites at a faster pace.

AI infrastructure startup Nscale has disclosed that it has completed nearly $4 billion in financing, with a valuation of $14.6 billion following its latest $2 billion Series C round. Nscale, formerly a cryptocurrency mining company spun off from Arkon Energy, is currently focused on building and operating AI data centers and leasing computing power resources to enterprises. Its investors include technology companies such as Nvidia, Dell, and Nokia.Since 2026, Nscale has also secured $1.4 billion in GPU collateral loans and a $790 million financing line to support its AI infrastructure expansion plans. Nscale participated in OpenAI's "Stargate" infrastructure project, deploying AI computing facilities in the UK and Norway, but as OpenAI adjusted its related plans, some projects have been taken over by Microsoft and Google.

According to The Block, Geoffrey Kendrick, the head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that "the bottom has almost appeared" for Bitcoin after a recent sharp decline, with the current range of about $63,000 being a "buying range." He pointed out that since February, the overall holdings of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have remained stable, with no concentrated redemptions that would raise concerns, indicating that funds are more "structurally stable."Kendrick expects that after the recent selling pressure triggered by Strategy's sale of 32 BTC, there may be a buyback at a scale of 10 times or even 100 times, following historical practices, which could signal the confirmation of a temporary low. He also cautioned that there is still a downside risk of Bitcoin falling below $60,000, but believes that buying in batches is preferable to trying to time the bottom precisely. The bank maintains its year-end targets of $100,000 for Bitcoin and $4,000 for Ethereum.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Arthur Hayes sold 247,334 HYPE (worth $18.02 million) and an unknown amount of NEAR.Shortly before this sale, he publicly made a $100,000 charitable bet to Kyle Samani, claiming that HYPE would outperform all other top ten market cap cryptocurrencies by the end of the year. Kyle accepted the challenge and bet on SOL. Earlier news revealed that Arthur Hayes had liquidated his positions in HYPE and NEAR.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform that he has liquidated all HYPE and NEAR tokens and will explain the reasons in an article titled "Reality Check" to be released next Tuesday.The reasons Hayes provided include: the Iran war and inventory replenishment leading to rising energy prices; three major AI company IPOs occurring from now until the beginning of the third quarter; and a prediction that Trump will shift to an anti-AI stance to help the Republican Party win the midterm elections. He believes the market peak will occur between September, and it is time to take profits.

Dune data shows that Near Intents' TVL reached a new high of $22.6 million yesterday and has now fallen back to $20.2 million. In addition, Near Intents' cumulative trading volume has surpassed $20 billion, with over $600 million in trading volume in the past 7 days.

Bankless co-founder David Hoffman posted on the X platform that after liquidating ETH, he immediately invested about 50% of the funds into VVV, NEAR, ZEC, and HYPE; the remaining 50% of the funds will be gradually invested as cash reserves through dollar-cost averaging, and has been fully used to buy LIT.On May 21, Bankless co-founder David Hoffman announced that he had liquidated all ETH. He then posted a detailed explanation of the reasons for liquidating Ethereum spot, emphasizing that this decision was not made on a whim.David stated that the grand narrative of "ETH is money" has not failed, but has been fully priced and played out to its rightful conclusion— the Ethereum network has achieved a valuation that matches its current accomplishments, but the ETH asset itself is unlikely to be repriced by the market, whether upwards or downwards. He remains extremely optimistic about the Ethereum network, believing that the ecosystem will be exceptionally prosperous, but only a small portion of these successes will continue to be reflected in the price of ETH.

According to Gate market data, the three major U.S. stock indices fell, with the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average widening their declines to nearly 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite index falling by 0.8%.

According to Jinshi reports, the USD/JPY has fallen nearly 30 points in the short term, currently reported at 159.45.Previously, it was reported that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the basic stance is to continue raising the policy interest rate.

Since this week, Bitcoin has experienced a wave of panic selling under the shadow of Strategy's coin selling and the diversion of AI funds, dropping over 10% from a peak of $74,000, and has now fallen back to the low range for this year.It is worth noting that during this period, the open interest in Bitcoin's coin-denominated contracts has risen against the trend, currently reported at 784,400 coins, close to a historical high. In response to this phenomenon, the well-known trader Killa, who predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025, stated that this often indicates a key top or bottom, warranting high attention.

According to CoinDesk, the Bitcoin Fear Index BVIV surged nearly 20% on Tuesday, marking the largest single-day increase since February 5. BVIV measures the 30-day implied volatility of Bitcoin, and this surge to 46.45% indicates that panic has re-emerged in the market after two months of calm.For the past two months, the sentiment in the Bitcoin market has remained calm, even as it fell from a May high of $82,000 to $75,000 last week, with BVIV hovering around 40%, the lowest point of the year, indicating that the decline at that time was orderly selling rather than panic. However, on Tuesday, the spot price of Bitcoin dropped over 6% to $66,000, causing BVIV to spike sharply. The index's trend increasingly resembles Wall Street's VIX Fear Index, showing an inverse correlation with the spot price of Bitcoin. Whether Tuesday's significant surge is just a one-day fluctuation or the beginning of a sustained volatility cycle remains to be seen.

According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), institutions and whales continue to increase their holdings of HYPE: Galaxy Digital withdrew 179,000 HYPE (approximately $12.62 million) from Coinbase in the past 7 hours; meanwhile, the new wallet address 0x6436 withdrew 135,824 HYPE (approximately $9.73 million) again 8 hours ago, bringing the total withdrawal amount over the past two days to 399,730 HYPE (approximately $28.92 million).

The global stablecoin payment infrastructure platform WasabiCard today announced the completion of its Pre-A round of financing. Including previous funding, the total amount raised by the company has approached 10 million USD, with participation from four well-known institutions: Vernal Capital, Avenir Group, Vision Plus Capital, and 01VC.This round of financing will be used to build and improve the global payment infrastructure, compliance system, and key market business layout, enhancing cross-border payment service capabilities and global operational capabilities, further promoting the company's construction of a compliant, efficient, next-generation financial infrastructure aimed at the internet era.As stablecoins gradually move from trading scenarios to real commercial applications, the demand from enterprises for global payment, global card issuance, fund management, and cross-border settlement infrastructure continues to grow. WasabiCard currently serves over 500 enterprise clients globally, with a cumulative card issuance exceeding 500,000 cards and a total transaction scale surpassing 1 billion USD.In the future, WasabiCard will continue to expand its global payment network and multi-chain payment ecosystem, promoting the further implementation of stablecoin payments in global commercial scenarios.

According to Jinshi, the number of JOLTs job openings in the U.S. significantly increased in April, rising from 6,890,000 in March to 7,620,000, reaching the highest level in nearly two years. At the same time, the number of layoffs decreased to 1,690,000, indicating a strong labor market. Although the number of job openings is still below the levels seen during the pandemic reopening, this stability may weaken the rationale for interest rate cuts, and Federal Reserve officials are beginning to discuss the possibility of interest rate hikes.