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Bridgewater Dalio: Infighting intensifies after the midterm elections, which may push up short-term U.S. Treasury yields

Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, published an article discussing the results of the U.S. midterm elections. He believes that the elections will not change the core issues facing the United States, such as debt, wealth and value divergence, geopolitical tensions, climate, and technology. Future conflicts between parties and within parties, as well as government dysfunction, may intensify.Dalio pointed out that funding issues will soon come to the forefront: on December 11, Trump's temporary funding will expire, and the federal debt is expected to hit its ceiling by March 2027. By the fall of 2027, the Treasury is expected to exhaust its funding maneuvering options. He believes that the related conflicts may be quite intense, and uncertainty could push up short-term yields such as U.S. Treasury bills, exacerbating concerns about liquidity and credit risk, and weakening the status of U.S. Treasuries as a major global safe collateral.He also stated that Elizabeth Warren's appointment as chair of the Senate Banking Committee could trigger conflicts and changes that impact the economy and markets. The election results will make Trump a targeted lame-duck president, weakening the United States' international standing and potentially leading to a strategic contraction of the U.S., increasing the influence of regional powers like China.

North Korean hackers restart the money laundering of funds stolen from Binance, pushing RUNE's 24-hour increase to nearly 10%

According to CoinDesk, the North Korean hacker group TraderTraitor is transferring the stolen funds from the $6.3 billion Binance hack through the decentralized cross-chain protocol THORChain, exchanging Ethereum for Bitcoin, which has driven the native token RUNE of THORChain to rise nearly 10% in the past 24 hours.The attackers first dispersed the stolen SOL across multiple wallets, exchanged it for USDC, and transferred it to the Ethereum network, then purchased ETH, and subsequently exchanged it for BTC through THORChain. Previously, the attackers had transferred some funds from the Tron network to THORChain. On-chain investigator SomaXBT estimates that as of November 1, the attackers have exchanged approximately $48.3 million through the protocol, ultimately receiving about $42.7 million, with fees and slippage losses of around 12%.The U.S. FBI has attributed the October 29 attack on Binance to TraderTraitor and has called on THORChain node operators and other crypto service providers to intercept related addresses and funds. Since BTC and ETH cannot be frozen by the issuer like USDT and USDC, cross-chain exchanges have increased the difficulty of recovering the stolen funds.Binance stated on Tuesday that it has frozen approximately $2.85 billion of the stolen funds and has covered about 98% of the affected tokens with company funds. On-chain analytics firm Elliptic believes that the stolen funds are currently still being transferred between different addresses and may not have been largely cashed out yet, with the attackers possibly planning to cash out in batches through over-the-counter trading channels.

The U.S. Department of the Treasury acknowledged that there were issues with the previous regulations related to mixers, and the co-founder of Tornado Cash stated that the Department of Justice is still pushing for a conviction against them

Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Storm posted on X platform stating that the U.S. Department of the Treasury recently acknowledged in a document that there were issues with the previous rules regarding mixers, and mentioned that this policy could have a "chilling effect" on legitimate activities.Storm stated that although the relevant department of the U.S. Department of the Treasury now believes there are issues with the policy, the U.S. Department of Justice still insists in its case that even legitimate transactions conducted through Tornado Cash constitute illegal activities due to the potential for being used for money laundering, evading sanctions, and other criminal purposes.Storm claimed that the non-criminal department of the U.S. government believes the policy is inappropriate, while the criminal justice department considers all related transactions to be criminal; he has been detained and prosecuted for over 1,139 days and stated that his case stems from developing open-source code.Storm also mentioned that a new document was submitted today to the Southern District of New York (SDNY) federal court, and the U.S. Department of Justice is still pushing for his conviction.
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