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Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, published a lengthy analysis on social media, warning that the United States is in the fifth stage of his "Big Cycle" theory (the eve of order collapse), with multiple indicators suggesting that society may slide into the sixth stage (civil war and order collapse). His core judgments are based on:Deteriorating finances and conflicts: High government deficits and rising debt, along with historical highs in wealth and value gaps, constitute a "classic deadly combination."Populism and extremism: Increased political polarization, the silencing of moderates, media becoming a tool for partisan struggle, and the "loss of truth" in the public sphere.Escalation of violent incidents: Recent deaths of protesters in Minneapolis and conflicts between federal and state governments are typical signs of transitioning to the sixth stage.Systemic dysfunction: Legal and political systems are increasingly used as weapons in struggles, with rules giving way to the logic of "winning at all costs."Ray Dalio stated that the current situation is highly similar to the early period of order reorganization from 1930 to 1945. If consensus cannot be built through leadership and painful but necessary reforms are not implemented, society may repeat the mistakes of civil war/revolution. Investors and policymakers should recognize the forces of the cycle, promote productivity-oriented reforms (education, infrastructure, research), and replace "zero-sum struggle" with "win-win cooperation" to avoid an irreversible collapse of the system. Although the trajectory is difficult to change, it is still possible and necessary to mitigate conflicts and reshape broad prosperity through wise choices before sliding into the sixth stage.

Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, stated at the World Economic Forum in Davos that the global monetary order is collapsing, and the United States and its allies are losing trust in each other, suggesting to buy gold.In the past, people used fiat currency and bonds as a "piggy bank," but central banks around the world are starting to feel that this piggy bank might be a "landmine." In 2025, the highest gains will not be in tech stocks but in gold. The performance of the U.S. market has also begun to lag behind overseas markets, and the world is entering a capital war.The rise of gold is not just a number; it reflects the uneasy glances between U.S. Treasury bondholders and the continuously printing U.S. dollars. The U.S. is worried about the sell-off of dollar assets, while bondholders feel anxious about the Federal Reserve's limitless money printing. It's time to consider what to do if no one wants to buy U.S. Treasuries in the future.

Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, stated in a podcast with Nikhil Kamath that due to key issues such as trading transparency and the risk of Bitcoin being hacked, it is unlikely that central banks and many other institutions will hold Bitcoin in large quantities.

Billionaire investor and founder of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio, believes that even if you worry that the market frenzy is a bubble waiting to burst, you shouldn't give up on the field of artificial intelligence (AI) too early. In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, he stated that he is convinced the current stock market is deeply entrenched in a bubble—yet this is still not a reason for investors to exit AI trades.Dalio explained to the media that the reason investors should stay in the market is simple: the conditions for a bubble to burst do not currently exist. "Don't sell just because of the bubble," the legendary fund manager said, "You have to seize the opportunity. What will pop the bubble? Usually, it's tightening monetary policy, and we are not facing that situation right now."In Dalio's view, a bubble will only ultimately burst when there is a demand for asset liquidation in the market. He speculated that events such as the Federal Reserve raising interest rates or consumers facing a wealth tax could trigger a sell-off. In the foreseeable future, both scenarios seem unlikely to occur in the market."I want to reiterate that the stock market could rise significantly before the bubble bursts," Dalio added. (Jinshi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Reuters, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio has sold his remaining shares in the Bridgewater fund and will resign from the board. Bridgewater CEO Nir Bar Dea and co-chair Mike McGavick stated in a letter to clients, "We want to inform you that Bridgewater has recently repurchased the last remaining equity shares held by entities related to Ray Dalio."

ChainCatcher news reports that billionaire Ray Dalio suggests investors allocate 15% of their portfolios to Bitcoin and gold to hedge against the growing U.S. debt and economic instability.Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, stated in the "Masters in Business" podcast that the macroeconomic risks of rising government debt in the U.S. and other countries have not yet been priced into the market, and the market may ultimately face a significant downturn. The U.S. government "spends 40% more than it earns and cannot really cut spending; its accumulated debt is six times its income, with annual interest payments reaching $1 trillion, which is half of its budget deficit."Ray Dalio further explained that the U.S. government can only repay its debt by issuing more debt and "the central bank (Federal Reserve) printing money." This creates a situation where the market may become increasingly panicked. Dalio believes that the trigger for a major collapse could be a new round of large-scale quantitative easing or government control over the Federal Reserve. Signals of such events have begun to "flash or flicker," and he has expressed similar views in his recently published book, "How the Nation Goes Bankrupt."Since such risks have not been factored into market prices, Ray Dalio recommends that investors allocate at least 15% of their portfolios to gold or Bitcoin, which can serve as a hedge against fiat currencies and cash equivalents (such as bonds). However, he personally "strongly prefers" gold over Bitcoin, as he doubts whether any central bank would use cryptocurrency as a reserve currency, "because everyone can understand and observe who is using it for what transactions, so it has no privacy."Ray Dalio also stated that there is "doubt" about whether "the code can be cracked" or whether the Bitcoin protocol can be changed to make it a valid store of value. Given these concerns, gold is more important than Bitcoin in Ray Dalio's own portfolio. He said, "I have gold, and I have some Bitcoin, but not much."

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio stated in The Master Investor Podcast that he recommends investors allocate at least 15% of their portfolios to gold and Bitcoin to hedge against the increasing risks in the bond and stock markets.He pointed out that the macroeconomic risks brought about by the rising U.S. government debt have not been fully priced in by the market, which could trigger a significant downturn. Dalio expressed that he personally "strongly prefers" gold over Bitcoin and is skeptical about Bitcoin becoming a central bank reserve currency. He believes that Bitcoin has shortcomings in trading privacy and may face protocol security risks.

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio warned in a social media post that the current market is overly focused on tariff issues while neglecting the deeper systemic crisis behind it.Dalio pointed out that we are experiencing a typical collapse of monetary, political, and geopolitical order, a situation that usually occurs only once in a lifetime. This is manifested in: excessively high levels of debt, unsustainable trade capital imbalances, the decline of U.S. manufacturing, domestic political polarization, and the rise of U.S. unilateralism.Dalio believes that these changes are part of a historical cycle and calls on policymakers to understand these forces to formulate better policies. He emphasized that the current tariff dispute is merely a manifestation of these larger transformative forces, not the root cause.

ChainCatcher news, according to SolidIntel, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio stated that holding Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation.

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio discussed Bitcoin again in a recent "All-In" podcast interview, also mentioning the DeepSeek craze. He stated that he sees currency depreciation through market trends, especially relative to gold, Bitcoin, or other tangible assets. The more general situation is that all fiat currencies are depreciating, while gold, Bitcoin, or other hard assets are appreciating relatively. Bitcoin or other digital assets are a topic worth discussing; although commodities can hedge against inflation, they do not have a store of value function. People cannot hold oil or wheat as a wealth storage tool for the long term like they can with gold or Bitcoin.Ray Dalio revealed that he still holds some Bitcoin, but far less than gold. Bitcoin is one of his diversified investments, but he leans more towards gold because gold has several unique advantages:It can move freely between countries;Central banks around the world hold it as a reserve asset;It is harder to regulate than Bitcoin, allowing for more "private" ownership;Additionally, it is not easy to tax gold, whereas Bitcoin is different—regulators know the transaction paths of Bitcoin, making it easy to regulate and tax.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio revealed that he holds a "small amount" of Bitcoin.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, based on market news, Bridgewater founder Dalio does not expect significant interest rate cuts.

ChainCatcher news, billionaire hedge fund investor and founder of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio, recently stated in an interview with CNBC: "Bitcoin will not be an effective currency, nor will it be an effective store of wealth, and it is certainly not an effective medium of exchange. The volatility of the crypto market is too high and is almost unrelated to any economic situation. But we all know that traditional currencies are in crisis in the world we live in."Additionally, Ray Dalio proposed an idea he believes could be a viable option for cryptocurrency, which is a coin linked to inflation. Ray Dalio stated: "Everyone wants to maintain the purchasing power of their assets. If you create a coin that says 'this is the purchasing power I know I can store, and I can invest my money for a period of time, and then I can trade it anywhere,' I think that would be a good coin, similar to inflation-indexed bonds." (source link)

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio mentioned in an interview with CNBC that the crypto market is almost unrelated to any economic situation, and he believes that one should be cautious about stablecoins, as stablecoins are not necessarily a good thing. (Source link)

According to Chain Catcher news and Bloomberg reports, Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, transferred all voting rights to the board on September 30 and resigned from his position as one of the three co-chief investment officers of Bridgewater. Bridgewater co-CEO Nir Bar Dea stated that one of the reasons Dalio relinquished his title and voting rights was to establish the succession at Bridgewater, and Dalio no longer has the final say, which is a significant change.It is reported that Bridgewater currently manages assets of up to $150 billion, making it the largest hedge fund company in the world. (Source link)