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portfolio

first_img Bernstein: Robinhood's stock price has fallen over 20% this year, and a diversified product portfolio will offset some of the downside risks in the crypto bear market

According to TheBlock, Bernstein's analyst team stated in a report to clients that Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) stock price has fallen over 20% year-to-date, down about 40% from its peak of $89.91. This decline is partly attributed to the overall slump in the cryptocurrency market, which currently accounts for about 21% of the company's total revenue.The analysts outlined three bearish scenarios:Assuming Bitcoin price drops to around $60,000 and remains sluggish for the next couple of years, the expected earnings per share in 2027 would be about $3.10, with a potential stock price range of $46 to $61.Assuming Bitcoin price drops to $60,000 but rebounds in the second half of 2026. The expected earnings per share in 2027 would be about $3.50, with a potential stock price range of $70 to $88.In the most pessimistic scenario, trading volumes for cryptocurrencies and stock options would decline by 50% within two years, with the expected earnings per share for the company in 2027 being $2.40, and a potential stock price range of $24 to $36.However, the analysts noted that currently, Robinhood's non-trading revenue accounts for about 43% of total revenue, with a compound annual growth rate of about 29% over the past two years, and its broader business portfolio helps offset the weakness in cryptocurrency trading activity.

Fed Chair frontrunner Rick Rieder has stated that Bitcoin will replace gold and suggested that investors hold Bitcoin in their portfolios

According to CoinDesk, Rick Rieder, the Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at BlackRock and a popular candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair, has stated that Bitcoin will replace gold and has suggested that investors hold Bitcoin in their portfolios. In the prediction market, Rieder's chances of being elected have quickly risen to the top, and he has publicly supported cryptocurrencies multiple times.As early as 2020, when digital assets were still in their infancy, he stated in an interview with CNBC that Bitcoin would replace gold as a store of value, "because it is much easier to transfer than a gold bar." Recently, he mentioned in the same media that Bitcoin should be part of a smart portfolio, calling both Bitcoin and gold "assets that can provide a certain stability to a portfolio." At that time, Bitcoin was still above $112,000, and he predicted that "it will continue to rise." Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around $88,000, having recently dropped due to potential tariff measures and other geopolitical turmoil.Rick Rieder has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with the Federal Reserve's slow pace of interest rate cuts, similar to Trump. In a recent interview during Trump's time in Davos, Trump praised him as "very outstanding." Currently, the probability of betting on Rick Rieder becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair on Polymarket is 46%.

BlackRock regards Bitcoin as the most important investment theme of 2025, alongside U.S. Treasuries and the seven tech giants, as one of the three pillars of a modern diversified investment portfolio

According to financefeeds, BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, has made a decisive statement, officially recognizing Bitcoin as the most important investment theme of 2025. This move solidifies the institutional narrative of the current market cycle.The head of the company's iShares division proposed a strategy at the meeting that positions Bitcoin alongside U.S. Treasuries and the "Tech Giants" stocks as the three pillars of a modern diversified investment portfolio. This recognition marks a significant evolution in BlackRock's stance—from initial tentative involvement to deeply integrating digital assets into its core macroeconomic worldview. Its core philosophy is no longer merely to "provide access" to speculative assets but to acknowledge Bitcoin as a fundamental component of the global monetary system's infrastructure.BlackRock's 2025 argument is built on the "macro mirror" thesis, which suggests that Bitcoin's performance increasingly reflects global concerns about sovereign debt and currency devaluation. As the U.S. federal deficit continues to widen and global fiscal imbalances worsen, BlackRock analysts believe institutional investors are seeking "non-correlated" assets that exist outside the traditional banking system.By positioning Bitcoin as "digital gold," BlackRock provides conservative asset allocators with the necessary theoretical framework to justify their large holdings. This shift is expected to culminate in 2026 with the launch of complex "yield-bearing" products, such as Bitcoin premium income ETFs designed to generate returns through covered call strategies.By offering these tools, BlackRock is shifting the market discussion from "why hold Bitcoin" to "how to optimize Bitcoin positions," thereby solidifying its role as a key gatekeeper of the next generation of digital capital.

Harvard University's Bitcoin investment portfolio is currently down about 40 million dollars after the market crash

According to market news, the latest disclosure documents submitted by Harvard University to the U.S. SEC show that after a significant drop in the cryptocurrency market led to a massive decline in the value of its Bitcoin ETF holdings, the current value of the university's Bitcoin ETF holdings has lost approximately $40 million.Last quarter, the university increased its holdings in the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, with the holdings size nearing $500 million at one point. Even though Bitcoin experienced a brief rebound on Tuesday, its decline this quarter still exceeds 20%. If Harvard University had sold in early October, it might have avoided losses or made a small profit before prices fell further. However, its average purchase price has not been disclosed.If the university still holds some or all of the 4.9 million shares purchased last quarter, the most optimistic scenario shows a loss of 14%. This calculation assumes that Harvard University bought in early July, when Bitcoin's trading price was at its lowest point during the quarter. Based on this timing, the shares purchased for approximately $294 million are now worth about $255 million.In the second quarter of this year, before the Bitcoin market heats up in 2025, Harvard University also purchased 1.9 million shares, which may currently have a small loss or slight profit, depending on the timing of the purchase. On paper, the loss from this holding has a minimal impact on Harvard University's balance sheet. The university manages a $57 billion endowment fund, making it the largest endowment fund in the U.S. As of September 30, its Bitcoin holdings account for less than 1% of its total assets.
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