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LINK $8.46 +1.49%
HYPE $30.32 +4.13%
AAVE $109.37 +2.41%
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XLM $0.1574 +1.88%
ZEC $238.94 +2.17%

investors

The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission plans to introduce a regulatory framework for perpetual contracts, limited to institutional investors

The Chief Executive Officer of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), Ashley Alder, stated at the Consensus Hong Kong conference that the regulatory body will release a "high-level framework" allowing licensed trading platforms to offer perpetual contract products. Alder pointed out that these products will initially be open only to institutional investors and not to retail customers.The relevant framework will focus on risk management, requiring platforms to have robust risk control capabilities and ensuring that trading mechanisms are fair to clients. In addition, the Hong Kong SFC will also allow brokers to provide financing services to clients with good credit standing, with collateral including securities and virtual assets. Given the high volatility of virtual assets, initially only Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) will be eligible as collateral.In terms of market-making activities, if platforms engage in related services, they must establish independent market-making departments and implement strict conflict of interest management mechanisms. Alder stated that these measures continue the SFC's roadmap to promote the development of the local crypto market by 2025, aiming to allow compliant institutions to offer a wider range of products and services.

Chief Trade Research Department Deputy Director Eric Chong: High-net-worth investors have a strong demand for secure and compliant cryptocurrency channels

At the recent "Build and Scale in 2026" themed forum held in Hong Kong, Eric Chong, Deputy Director of the Chief Trade Research Department, delivered a speech on the topic "Connecting Finance and Web3: Building the Next Era of Investor Confidence." He stated that based on Chief Trade's 46 years of experience in financial services, there is a strong demand from high-net-worth investors for secure and compliant channels for cryptocurrency, which is the core driving force for traditional financial institutions to enter the Web3 space.Eric Chong pointed out that Hong Kong's comprehensive regulatory framework provides a safe environment for institutional participation in the crypto market, but investors are more concerned about how to engage in this emerging asset class through regulated and compliant means. To this end, Chief Trade will focus on three main directions: providing regulated crypto trading services, expanding the digital asset product line, and enhancing investor education.He believes that the advantages of traditional financial institutions in financial credibility, compliance frameworks, and ecological connections will help guide investors to enter the digital asset space steadily, while the integration of Web3 and traditional finance has become an irreversible structural trend.

Analysis: Bitcoin market sentiment hits an all-time low, contrarian investors believe that $60,000 is the bottom for BTC

According to Cointelegraph, the Bitcoin market sentiment index has fallen to an all-time low, with some contrarian investors believing that $60,000 may have become the bottom of this cycle.Data shows that the cryptocurrency fear and greed index dropped to a historical low of 7 over the weekend, indicating that the market is in a state of "extreme fear." Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, pointed out that this indicator, along with the relative strength index, shows that the market is deeply oversold, a similar situation occurred during the 2018 bear market and the pandemic crash in March 2020, which may create conditions for a rebound.CoinGlass's liquidation heatmap shows that if the Bitcoin price rises by about $10,000, it could trigger the liquidation of over $5.45 billion in short positions, while a drop to $60,000 would only trigger $2.4 billion in liquidations. This imbalance may drive a short covering rally. However, structural risks in the market still exist.CryptoQuant data shows that Bitcoin is still far below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a price Z-score of -1.6, indicating that it remains in a phase dominated by selling pressure. The net buying volume in the derivatives market has turned negative, and the Binance buy-sell ratio has also fallen below 1, showing strong selling pressure in the futures market.Analysts point out that stronger spot demand is needed to trigger a sustained rebound. From a longer-term perspective, historical data shows that Bitcoin bear market bottoms typically form below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is currently around $57,000. If history repeats itself, the downside scenario could extend to $42,000.

Data: On-chain retail investors have closed their short positions on the Nasdaq and are using the funds to short gold, while also investing $59 million to buy into the cryptocurrency market

According to market news, the largest short whale of on-chain gold, "On-chain Stock Investor" (0xfc66...), has concentrated on shorting various commodities with $80 million, and the weekly profit has reached $9.4 million. This address has been continuously closing positions to take profits, primarily focusing on short positions in on-chain U.S. stocks related to XYZ 100 (Nasdaq 100 Index), with the relevant holdings decreasing from about $19.6 million to less than $300,000 over the past few days.Subsequently, the released funds will be reinvested into short positions in precious metals, with the total scale of related short positions reaching $47 million. Among them, the largest short position is in PAXG (on-chain gold), amounting to $24.9 million. Meanwhile, the overall holding structure of the account has undergone significant changes. The total holding scale has increased to $115 million, retaining about $57 million in commodity shorts, while some focus has been shifted back to the crypto market, with nearly $59 million in new long positions established, heavily buying dips in XRP, SOL, ETH, and other cryptocurrencies. The related holdings in on-chain stocks have been significantly reduced.The current main holdings in commodities compared to last Friday are as follows: 5x PAXG (on-chain gold): the holding scale increased from $12 million to $24.9 million, average price decreased from $5,250 to $4,991, with an unrealized profit of about $980,000; 5x xyz:GOLD (gold mirrored contract): the holding scale increased to $12.8 million, average price decreased from $5,320 to $4,814, with an unrealized loss of about $83,000; 2x xyz:SILVER (silver mirrored contract): the holding scale increased to $9.49 million, average price decreased from $108 to $81, with an unrealized loss of about $170,000.It is reported that this address has previously focused on on-chain contract operations for crypto assets, continuously reducing high-leverage ETH, BTC, and SOL short positions since January 8 of this year; gradually increasing holdings in on-chain stocks, with current on-chain stock positions cumulatively increasing by nearly $80 million within a month, recently returning to the crypto market.

Bloomberg: The average purchase cost for Bitcoin ETF investors is approximately $84,100, currently facing a loss of about 8% to 9%

According to Bloomberg, the core issue of this "slow" sell-off of Bitcoin is that the group of investors who were originally highly anticipated to become the most stable buyers in this new round did not continue to enter the market. Glassnode data shows that investors entering through the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have an average purchase cost of about $84,100. With Bitcoin currently hovering around $78,500, this group is facing an unrealized loss of about 8% to 9%.This is not the first time ETF investors have found themselves in a loss. As early as last November, when Bitcoin briefly fell below $89,600 (which was the average cost range for ETF investors at the time), analysts pointed out that this would be a key test of the "conviction strength" of new mainstream investors. Subsequently, as capital inflows at the beginning of 2024 remained profitable, the overall average cost of the ETF decreased, but the funds that entered later have all fallen into losses. From the peak decline, Bitcoin has dropped over 35% from its 2025 high and briefly fell below $77,000 in a low liquidity trading environment over the weekend.Analysts believe this is the result of multiple factors: exhaustion of capital inflows, declining market liquidity, and an overall weakening of macro attractiveness. Bitcoin's failure to respond to traditional bullish factors such as a weakening dollar or geopolitical risks, along with its "decoupling" from other assets, has made its trend increasingly lack direction. The biggest difference between the sharp drop in October and the current downturn is market sentiment: there is no panic now, only "absence."The rally that pushed Bitcoin above $125,000 in 2025 was driven by the market's heightened excitement over regulatory prospects, institutional entry, and a bullish retail base. However, since the October crash liquidated billions of dollars in leveraged positions, it is these buyers who once drove the market who have chosen to remain inactive and temporarily step back to observe.
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