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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the predicted market event "Arsenal FC vs Lille OSC More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option in the sub-market "Arsenal FC Second Half O/U 2.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 35% an hour ago to the current 18.5% (a fluctuation of 16.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Arsenal FC" option in the sub-market "Arsenal FC Second Half (-1.5)" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 27.5% (a fluctuation of 22.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

On October 8, 2026, Senator Richard Blumenthal, the chief member of the minority party of the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, sent a letter to Cantor Fitzgerald Chairman Brandon Lutnick, requesting the preservation of documents and answers regarding the company's relationship with the stablecoin issuer Tether. The deadline for responses to the five-page letter is October 23, 2026. This request comes from the minority party of the subcommittee, is part of an investigative inquiry, and is not a law enforcement order, nor does it constitute a determination against Cantor, nor does it alter the operation or redemption of USDT.The letter states that since President Trump took office again, the valuation of Cantor's 5% stake in Tether has risen from $600 million to an estimated $10 billion, with Cantor earning tens of millions of dollars each year for holding assets on behalf of Tether; former Cantor Chairman and current Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick has profited over $250 million during the same period, including a $192 million distribution from Cantor. The page notes that the above content reflects allegations and estimates made by the senator, and does not represent conclusions drawn from this request. Blumenthal also wrote that Tether claims to operate in El Salvador, but the vast majority of its assets are in the U.S., held by Cantor.

Senior Democratic member of the U.S. Senate investigators, Senator Richard Blumenthal, is continuing to investigate the financial relationship of the stablecoin issuer Tether and has written to Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Brandon Lutnick, requesting information regarding the relationship between the two companies.Brandon Lutnick is the son of U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick. After Howard Lutnick joined President Donald Trump's administration, Brandon Lutnick took over his leadership role at Cantor Fitzgerald. Cantor Fitzgerald holds and manages Tether's reserve assets in the U.S., and there are several other business interests between the two parties.

A report from the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations (PSI) identifies stablecoins, particularly USDT, as a key liquidity channel supporting Iran's shadow banking system. Licensed virtual asset service providers (VASP) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region face heightened sanctions compliance pressure and need to enhance wallet ownership identification and counterparty assessment.Soham Jethani, a partner at the law firm Septten, stated that merchants settling crypto assets into local fiat currency do not necessarily avoid sanctions risks. Liability may involve designated entities, the provision of funds or economic resources, and asset handling within the transaction chain, potentially arising before the final settlement by banks. Jethani pointed out that the name of the stablecoin or the currency in which it is priced does not determine legal ownership; specific rights depend on contractual arrangements and actual payment processes.Globally circulating stablecoins may also pose secondary sanctions risks, as indirect or historical wallet associations do not automatically constitute violations and must be assessed in conjunction with applicable regulations, transaction participants, and specific facts. In regulated markets like the UAE, licensed exchange wallets are continuously monitored, and related funds can be frozen before consumption settlements, with merchants also required to complete KYC. Regulated VASPs handling deposits and withdrawals bear the responsibility for counterparty and sanctions risk assessment and corresponding controls.

U.S. Senator Steve Daines (Republican from Montana, member of the Senate Finance Committee) has officially introduced a 56-page digital asset tax bill, named the "Aligning Digital Assets with Tax Principles Act" (ADAPT Act). The bill aims to establish clearer tax rules for scenarios such as stablecoin payments, network fees, staking, and lending, and plans to extend existing tax rules like wash sales and constructive sales to apply to digital assets.The core provisions of the bill state that taxpayers generally do not need to recognize gains or losses when using compliant U.S. dollar stablecoins to purchase goods and services, while exempting brokers from information reporting obligations for qualifying consumer transactions; however, this exemption does not apply to traders and market makers. The bill also extends wash sale rules and constructive sale rules to digital assets, with compliant stablecoins excluded from the constructive sale provisions to limit loss harvesting behavior in crypto assets.Additionally, the bill proposes to exempt digital assets used to pay for network, transaction, or gas fees of $10 or less from gain or loss recognition and allows qualifying digital asset traders and dealers to choose to account for them at fair market value. The bill also stipulates rules for income sources from staking and mining, a non-recognition framework for digital asset lending, a safe harbor for foreign investors' transactions, and definitions for digital asset classifications; most provisions will apply to tax years or transactions after December 31, 2026. Previously, the U.S. House Ways and Means Committee passed its own "Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act" on September 16 by a vote of 38 to 5.

Bitcoin News posted on platform X that the Box 3 tax bill currently under consideration in the Dutch parliament proposes to tax the actual annual returns on investments, including the appreciation of unsold assets. The Dutch Tax Authority explicitly includes cryptocurrency assets held in personal wallets, exchanges, or third parties when calculating actual returns.The Dutch government is studying a shift to a capital gains tax system, which would tax the appreciation of assets when gains are realized, but stated that the existing proposal for 2028 remains the basis during the review of relevant adjustments.The bill has been passed by the House of Representatives and is still awaiting review by the Senate, with the final system potentially subject to adjustments before 2028.

According to The Block, the crypto advocacy organization supported by Coinbase, Stand With Crypto, has announced its first round of Senate candidate endorsements.The organization stated that it will endorse Ohio Republican Senator Jon Husted, whose opponent is the crypto-skeptical former Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sherrod Brown. Additionally, it will endorse Ashley Hinson from Iowa and Chris Pappas from New Hampshire.This endorsement comes after the Senate's procedural vote on September 15 failed to pass the Clarity Act, which aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for the industry.Senate Democrats stated that they could not vote for a bill that would allow President Trump to profit personally from the crypto industry. Stand With Crypto's Executive Director Mason Lynaugh mentioned that after the Senate's recent failure to advance the Clarity Act, the organization’s more than 3 million advocates are fully shifting their focus to ensuring the election of candidates who support crypto.In addition to the Senate endorsements, Stand With Crypto also stated that it will increase advertising spending in six House campaigns, including those of Democratic Congressman Don Davis and Republican Congressman Bryan Steil.These newly endorsed House candidates all voted in favor of the Clarity Act when it passed the House last year. The organization has also endorsed more House candidates, including Congressmen Shomari Figures and Mariannette Miller-Meeks.

The political action committee (PAC) Defend American Jobs, allied with the cryptocurrency industry and primarily funded by the industry, disclosed in documents submitted to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) that it has spent $11.4 million on media advertising to support Republican Jon Husted and oppose Democrat Sherrod Brown in the campaign for the Ohio U.S. Senate seat.This PAC is affiliated with Fairshake, which is supported by Coinbase and Ripple Labs. This advertising expenditure is part of Fairshake's commitment to initially invest $30 million to prevent Brown from returning to the Senate. Brown, a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is one of the critical voices in Congress regarding cryptocurrency legislation and policy.In the 2024 Ohio Senate election, the showdown between Brown and Republican Bernie Moreno attracted over $300 million in spending from external groups like Fairshake, with cryptocurrency-related PACs and their affiliates spending about $41 million opposing Brown and supporting Moreno, who ultimately won with 50.2% of the vote. Husted's seat was appointed by Ohio Governor Mike DeWine, succeeding JD Vance, who was elected as the Vice President of the United States in 2024.

A survey by the Democratic Party of the U.S. Senate claims that the stablecoin USDT issued by Tether has become a major payment method for Iran. The survey shows that among over 800 sanctioned cryptocurrency wallets, about 84% primarily or exclusively use USDT.The U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations had previously stated that its review of blockchain records, sanctions lists, and asset seizure notices found that the sanctioned wallets are mainly distributed across the Tron and Ethereum networks and have conducted USDT transactions.

Democratic members of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Republican Senator Tim Scott, calling for a congressional hearing on prediction markets. The Democrats stated in the letter that the committee has a "critical oversight responsibility" in regulating prediction markets and emphasized that Congress should examine prediction markets through public hearings on a bipartisan basis, rather than in closed-door roundtable meetings limited to Republicans and industry-friendly discussions. Senators including Elizabeth Warren signed the letter.On the same day, Republican members of the Senate Banking Committee met with Tarek Mansour, CEO of the prediction market platform Kalshi. Scott stated in a statement to The Block that he convened Republican lawmakers to meet with Kalshi to better understand the opportunities and challenges presented by securities-linked products. The two sides discussed keeping innovation within the United States, how investors use these products, protecting retail investors, and regulatory issues that Congress should address. Kalshi did not immediately respond to a request for comment.Currently, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) advocates for a leading role in the regulation of prediction markets but faces opposition from various states, which claim jurisdiction over sports event contracts. The Senate Banking Committee, on the other hand, has jurisdiction over the SEC and is responsible for regulating "securities-linked products" related to prediction markets. Democrats pointed out that the bets offered by such products, which are linked to company performance metrics, may fall under the SEC's regulatory scope. It has been reported that Cboe Global Markets is seeking SEC approval for its listing of "all-or-nothing options" linked to company earnings results.

U.S. Senator John Curtis from Utah, a Republican, wrote to Chuck Grassley, the Chairman of the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, and Dick Durbin, the Chief Minority Whip, calling for an investigation into whether Donald Trump Jr. and Hunter Biden exploited their presidential family connections for personal financial gain, and requested subpoenas for both individuals. Curtis pointed out that Donald Trump Jr. had accepted wedding gifts from Russian oligarch Umar Kremlev, actively promoted family-backed cryptocurrency ventures, and served as an advisor for a prediction market platform; the related companies are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Donald Trump stated that his son has returned the relevant funds to Umar Kremlev.Curtis also called for an investigation into Hunter Biden's substantial business dealings with foreign entities, as well as whether the two utilized their relationship with the president to create commercial value. He mentioned that Joe Biden pardoned Hunter Biden in December 2024, who had previously denied involving his father in business transactions. A week prior to this investigation call, Senate Republicans failed to garner enough Democratic support to advance the Digital Asset Market Clear Act. Some Democratic senators opposed the bill, citing reasons including Donald Trump's use of cryptocurrency ventures to gain benefits related to the presidency; Donald Trump disclosed that he earned $1.4 billion from digital asset-related businesses in 2025.

Crypto In America host Eleanor Terrett posted on X that after the failure of the Clarity Act, the crypto industry's super political action committee Fairshake is preparing to make its largest expenditure this year, investing $30 million to oppose Sherrod Brown's re-election campaign for senator.If Brown successfully returns to the Senate, he may regain his qualifications and serve as the chairman or a senior member of the Senate Banking Committee. This news was first reported by The New York Times and confirmed to Eleanor Terrett by a Fairshake spokesperson.

U.S. Republican Senator and Wyoming Federal Senator Cynthia Lummis stated: The Democrats had previously requested that any cryptocurrency project raising more than $25 million from the public provide audited financial statements, and this requirement has been written into the bill.Lummis noted that the Democrats voted against the transparency they had requested. Lummis has served as a Federal Senator from Wyoming since 2021, having previously served as a member of the U.S. House of Representatives from 2009 to 2017.

The U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill CLARITY did not receive the required 60 votes in a procedural vote in the Senate, with a result of 49 to 50. The bill is not yet dead, as Republican lawmakers retain the option to reconsider the motion, but there are significant disagreements between the two parties on the ethical provisions related to Trump’s digital assets, and the legislative window continues to narrow.

Crypto In America host Eleanor Terrett reported that seven Democratic senators, including Kirsten Gillibrand, Mark Warner, Ruben Gallego, and Angela Alsobrooks, stated that they are "committed to passing the Clarity Act in a bipartisan manner."This statement comes as both sides are making initial efforts to restart bipartisan negotiations and assess the willingness of all parties to return to the negotiating table and push for the passage of the Clarity Act before the end of the year. This information comes from three informed sources.

Virtuals Protocol announced the launch of Occupy, a product that serves as a launch platform deployed on Base. Each token on Occupy is paired with a tokenized stock, and all tokens corresponding to the same stock are collectively injected into the same treasury, which is managed by a ten-seat AI Senate elected by the holders.40% of each fee is used to purchase the paired stock and inject it into the treasury. The Senate can decide to hold the stock, allocate stock to holders, or repurchase tokens, and operate the community X account. Candidates must publish their ideas and declarations, and holders vote to decide the seats. Creators can receive 30% of each fee.

U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren delivered a speech in the Senate lasting over 10 minutes, calling for a vote against the CLARITY Act. She stated that Trump and his family profited $1.4 billion from the crypto business in 2025 alone, exceeding the revenue of any publicly listed crypto company in the U.S. last year, and that buyers of his crypto projects lost billions of dollars, with meme coin buyers losing nearly $4 billion.The Senate failed to pass the procedural vote with a result of 49-50, falling short by 11 votes of the 60 needed to begin debate, with no Democrats voting to advance it. Warren claimed that the bill would exacerbate Trump's corruption and criticized the ethical terms negotiated by the Republicans with the White House as a "tiny fig leaf," stating that it would not prevent Trump from continuing to profit from crypto.Warren also stated that the bill would create a huge loophole in nearly a century of securities law, allowing non-crypto companies to put assets on-chain to evade investor protections, and enabling banks to use customer deposits for crypto lending, trading derivatives, operating nodes, and selling related software.