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Well-known trader Doctor Profit stated that after Bitcoin previously bottomed out and rose significantly above the 50-day moving average, it has not retraced to that moving average until now, and it has now tested this support level. He believes that this support will hold, and Bitcoin will continue to rise from the current level.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, as the market declines, the large short trader 0xDD6A on Aster DEX has accumulated profits of over 6.4 million dollars. He currently holds a 20x leveraged short position in BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE, with a total position size of 24.6 million dollars and a win rate of 100%.

Renowned trader Killa posted that Bitcoin has seen significant buying in the $81,000 range, triggering two instances of a rebound. Therefore, after a thorough adjustment, Bitcoin still has the potential to surge again to $87,000 this month.Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain trader has accumulated a loss of 637,000 USD in Papertrade, with a cumulative nominal trading volume of 2.84 billion USD. Their trading losses amount to 1.71 million USD, and they have received 136 million PAPER tokens.In addition, the trader earned a reward of 1.07 million USD in USDC through staking, of which 943,000 USD has been claimed, and 130,000 USD remains unclaimed. In total, their net loss is 637,000 USD.

Renowned trader Killa stated that if Bitcoin is to evolve according to the current trend structure, it needs to form a higher low above $75,500, ideally also holding the low around $80,000. This is similar to the trend in 2023: at that time, Bitcoin formed a higher high on the weekly level, then retraced and held the original range. This may explain why the recent low time frame market seems so prone to triggering stop losses, with aggressive movements and traces of algorithmic trading.Bitcoin once reclaimed its internal structure in the $82,000 range, then retraced, broke the structure again, and then reclaimed it once more. The entire market seems to be deliberately enticing traders to enter. It must be acknowledged that the initial drop to the $81,000 range was not ideal from a structural perspective. However, there were a large number of shorts concentrated at the lows, which may explain the subsequent price reaction.Another detail worth noting is that during the drop from $84,100 to $81,000, only about $300 million in long positions were liquidated; whereas previously, during the drop from $86,800 to $80,600, the scale of long liquidations exceeded $2 billion. The significant decrease in long liquidation scale indicates that the current market's reliance on long positions may be lower than before. The current market situation is quite delicate. Bitcoin needs to form a higher low at the current position to initiate a new round of upward movement; otherwise, this pullback may bring the price below $80,000. As of now, the so-called "crash protection team" has done well in maintaining the price, but it is also continuously disrupting the internal oscillation range in the low time frame.

According to Lookonchain data, the trader AguilaTrades, who had previously accumulated losses of 38 million dollars, established a short position in BTC worth 10.14 million dollars (a total of 124.24 BTC) with 40x leverage 4 hours ago. Currently, the unrealized profit of this position is 165,000 dollars.The liquidation price of the position is 83,432.22 dollars.

Trader Killa stated on platform X that the supply of short-term holders (STH) of Bitcoin has recently reached "overheated" levels, a situation similar to the market's behavior after breaking away from the macro bottom in 2023, which could be another signal of a market bottom forming.Killa pointed out that after the supply of Bitcoin short-term holders reached similar highs in 2023, the BTC price continued to rise and maintained an upward trend in higher time frame (HTF) trends. The current market structure is quite similar to previous cycles, and investors should not overly rely on the fear and greed index to judge market direction. Killa indicated that market sentiment may remain irrational in the long term, and short-term sentiment indicators do not necessarily reflect long-term trends.

Crypto trader Killa posted that the most ideal trend for Bitcoin (BTC) currently is to continue rising before the U.S. midterm elections, building a bullish narrative and breaking through previous highs, followed by a pullback after the elections similar to historical cycles. However, this pullback may not form a new cycle low but rather establish higher lows.Killa stated that if BTC experiences a decline before the midterm elections, he believes the market is more likely to rebound to around $95,000 after the elections. Previously, nearly $2 billion in long positions had been liquidated, and there are about 3 weeks left until the U.S. midterm elections. The market may currently be experiencing a "maximum pain" scenario: after some market narratives have been broken, BTC rebounds before the elections, then reverses again putting pressure on traders in the opposite direction, ultimately leading the market to re-engage in risk deleveraging.Killa pointed out that in the past 4 U.S. midterm elections, there were declines in 3 of them 1-2 months after the elections, with historical samples showing a probability of about 75%. However, he mentioned that he still holds a 10x long position in BTC, as well as long positions established earlier at $62,600 and $76,400, and has not reduced his positions.

Crypto trader Rune stated on platform X that the official documentation of PaperTrade has disclosed a "vulnerability" risk in the pricing mechanism at the protocol level. According to the screenshots of the displayed documentation, attackers can manipulate prices using the Best Bid and Offer (BBO) from the Hyperliquid order book. This risk involves unresolved price manipulation pathways, contract economic mechanisms, risk exposure control, as well as operational protective measures and permission management mechanisms.In addition, Rune also forwarded a tweet from community user boblob, which revealed that two wallets are suspected of actively exploiting "attacks" on the PaperTrade platform, causing a slight fluctuation of about 10-20 basis points in the ETH price on the Hyperliquid platform through trades totaling approximately 20 million dollars. Boblob further added that there are obvious issues with the current PaperTrade protocol that need to be fixed as soon as possible, or it may affect the long-term sustainability of the protocol.

Renowned trader Killa stated that buyers are absorbing selling pressure during the recent pullback, which resembles the pattern seen in a previous consolidation range, and there is very little support below the current price level. The market order wall shows a strong accumulation of buy orders just above the $80,000 level, and the buyers' conviction is strong; this price level is also an important psychological barrier for Bitcoin.Killa mentioned that if Bitcoin's weekly K-line closes above the previous week's low (around $82,600) this week, it would be a bullish signal, potentially indicating a typical return to the range after a stop-loss hunt. Killa, a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

The prediction market platform Kalshi's Kalshi Research released a report titled "Who Trades Prediction Markets?", with a subtitle focusing on community income, background, and probability reasoning, marked for publication in October 2026. The report studies the composition of prediction market traders, with data sourced from administrative records and surveys, and compares it to a general population sample.The administrative data covers the residential ZIP codes of each direct trader on Kalshi since January 2026, and aligns with the median household income from the American Community Survey. The survey was distributed in September 2026 to the highest profit and loss traders across various market categories, excluding sports and special categories, targeting 2,360 accounts, with 325 completed responses, resulting in a response rate of 13.8%.The report states that the median income reflected by traders' residential locations is close to the national level, with a modal range crossing $80,734, and only 6.3% residing in ZIP codes with median incomes above $150,000. Among the highest profit and loss traders, 82% have never worked full-time in investment banks, hedge funds, private equity, or proprietary trading firms, 91% are not full-time traders, and 65% claim to have learned about markets and probabilities primarily or entirely on their own. In comparison to 1,005 American adults, this group scored an average of 2.42/4 on the Berlin Mathematical Test, while the public scored 0.62, with a proportion of 93% resisting the gambler's fallacy, compared to 57% in the public.

According to EmberCN monitoring, as BTC rebounds and breaks through $83,000, the well-known trader AguilaTrades has just been forced to stop-loss on their short position, incurring an additional loss of about $250,000.AguilaTrades had not publicly opened a position for 14 months, but after returning, they have faced consecutive losses: yesterday they incurred a loss of about $300,000 on a long position, and then reversed to short, only to be forced to stop-loss again due to the BTC rebound near the low, incurring another loss of about $250,000.It is reported that their $700,000 principal has shrunk to about $150,000 in one day, with total cumulative losses rising to about $38.16 million.

Crypto trader Killa posted on platform X that Bitcoin has once again failed to break through $87,000. The 10x long position established based on the expectation of a breakout from the secondary testing high has been stopped out at breakeven.Due to the failure to break out and the price returning to the entry point, he is currently focusing on the $80,000 to $82,000 range, considering re-establishing a 10x long position. Killa stated that he still holds BTC long positions at $62,600 and $76,400, and there is currently no reason to rush into establishing new long positions. However, he remains bullish and expects the price to rise further. The current market situation is characterized by low cycle fluctuations, while he mainly engages in high cycle trading and emphasizes the importance of risk management.

Renowned trader Killa stated that Bitcoin has once again failed to break through $87,000, and the 10x leveraged long position he previously established has been stopped out at breakeven. This position was part of an aggressive trend continuation trade, originally expecting BTC to break through during the second test of the high, but after the failure to break, the price returned to the entry point.Killa mentioned that he will focus on the $80,000 to $82,000 range next, looking for opportunities to re-establish the 10x leveraged long position. Currently, he still holds long positions established at $62,600 and $76,400, and there is no reason to rush into adding new long positions. He emphasized that risk management is crucial, and his existing BTC holdings are sufficient. Regarding future trends, Killa maintains a bullish outlook, expecting prices to continue rising. He believes that the current market is in a short-term oscillation, while he primarily trades based on longer cycles.

Cryptocurrency trader Doctor Profit stated on platform X that he liquidated his positions and established a large short position when Bitcoin peaked around $124,000 last year. Subsequently, he closed his positions and switched to spot buying when the market crashed in October and November, causing Bitcoin to drop to around $60,000.Doctor Profit added that he had closed all short positions in the $60,000 range and started buying spot. At the same time, a year later, he has again established short positions in the $86,500 to $89,500 range and placed large short orders in the $88,000 to $89,500 range.

Trader Frogman confirmed on platform X that assets worth 4 million dollars were stolen. He also stated, "I'm not sure how it happened yet, but I'm currently in Singapore. Thanks to the teams and individuals helping with the investigation. I will share more information as much as I can."This morning's news reported that trader Frogman's wallet, containing approximately 4 million dollars in assets, was transferred and sold, exchanged for ETH, BNB, and SOL, and then dispersed using tools like Privacy Cash and Chainflip.The stolen assets involve 9 types of tokens, including 1.43 million BP, valued at approximately 1.77 million dollars; 13.96 million MarsCoin, valued at approximately 1.55 million dollars; and 3.7 million Cash Cat, valued at approximately 510 thousand dollars. The address of the stolen wallet has been flagged.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the ETH price has just fallen below $2,600. The trader at address 0xcbab had all of their long position of 3,728 ETH (worth approximately $9.85 million) liquidated in just 3 minutes.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a high win-rate trader of SOL, 0x13da, has once again gone long on SOL. This trader previously had a win rate of 78% in SOL trades, with a total profit of approximately 4.74 million dollars.Currently, this trader is going long on 164,642 SOL with 5x leverage, with a position value of about 19.78 million dollars and a liquidation price of 99.68 dollars.