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Wall Street traders believe the main reason for the sharp decline in U.S. stocks is the liquidation of hedge funds, with the market expecting multiple funds to face complete liquidation

In response to the sharp decline in U.S. stocks yesterday, most traders and analysts on Wall Street believe that the main reason is not a deterioration in fundamentals, but rather the liquidation by hedge funds. Noel Smith, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Kai Asset Management, stated: "It is extremely rare to see such a decline without significant market news. It smells like liquidation."In addition to the report last night by Bloomberg that multi-strategy hedge fund Walleye Capital will streamline its internal long-short equity business, the market generally expects several funds to be undergoing complete liquidation, or that the pods (independent investment teams) within multi-strategy funds are being forced to close positions or liquidate.According to a list released this morning by the well-known financial research community Special Situations, several hedge funds are facing difficulties, including Axebrook, Walleye, Engineers Gate, Lone Pine, Millennium internal pod, Verition pod, and Samlyn, mainly involving large redemptions, shutting down internal teams, or changing PMs.It is worth mentioning that during the major turbulence in the U.S. stock market in July this year, the AI hedge fund Situational Awareness also encountered a similar incident, with fund assets shrinking by 67%, and subsequently reached an emergency exit deal with Citadel, selling most of its publicly traded stock holdings at a discount.

Bloomberg: The Binance hacking incident has prompted reflection in the cryptocurrency industry, which may reintroduce trading delays and other Wall Street risk control mechanisms

According to Bloomberg, the Binance hacking incident is prompting the cryptocurrency industry to re-examine its long-held decentralized philosophy, as well as the transaction review, settlement delays, and fund intervention mechanisms in the traditional financial system.As the cryptocurrency industry seeks to enter the mainstream financial market in the United States, some institutional investors are beginning to reconsider Wall Street's financial risk control mechanisms. In traditional finance, banks, payment networks, and clearing institutions can review suspicious transactions during the fund transfer process and can suspend fund flows under certain circumstances.Third Eye CEO Tian Zeng stated that he hopes the settlement time can be shortened from the traditional financial T+1 day to T+1 hour, by appropriately extending the settlement time and increasing review steps, thereby reducing hackers' ability to quickly transfer funds.FalconX Co-Head of Markets Joshua Lim pointed out that as more institutions enter the cryptocurrency market, the client structure is changing, and some institutions are no longer willing to fully accept the risks associated with irreversible transactions. As the cryptocurrency industry further integrates with traditional finance, how to balance transaction efficiency, decentralization, and fund security will become a problem that the industry must face.

The midterm elections have concluded, and Wall Street institutions collectively released bullish signals for the U.S. stock market

The dust has settled on the U.S. midterm elections, with the Democratic Party winning control of both chambers of Congress, and Trump has stated that he accepts the election results. After the uncertainty dissipated, the market rebounded significantly, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 2% in a single day, the Dow Jones index increasing by over 3%, and the VIX experiencing its largest single-day drop since April 2025. Institutions such as JPMorgan, Nomura, HSBC, and Citadel Securities have successively released bullish reports.The core logic is that institutions had significantly deleveraged before the election, and short positions in the stock market were close to a five-year high. Citadel Securities stated that the net position of CTAs in U.S. stocks is approximately negative 3.3 standard deviations, placing it in the 10th percentile since 2018. Retail investors have net bought nearly $33 billion over 22 consecutive trading days since October 5, and the corporate buyback authorization window has also quickly reopened, with new authorizations reaching $1.5 trillion this year.Tech stock valuations are compressing simultaneously. The price-to-earnings ratio of the Nasdaq 100 has dropped to 19.1 times, the lowest since October 2022; the price-to-earnings ratio of semiconductor components has fallen to 13.8 times. HSBC views the Anthropic IPO as a key turning point for a comprehensive bullish trend in tech stocks. Historical data shows that since 1938, the S&P 500 has risen in 95% of the years in the 12 months following midterm elections, with an average increase of about 14%.

first_img 10x Research Founder: Wall Street Ends Bitcoin Surge, Year-End Target Price $90,000

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated in the Cointelegraph podcast Trade Secrets that the days of Bitcoin experiencing double-digit gains consecutively are over, as Wall Street traders and profit-taking whales are reshaping the market structure. He believes that institutional traders are selling call options after price increases, making the extreme price surges of earlier years less common. Thielen, who is also the author of the industry historical work Crypto Titans, found in his writing that each cycle has different drivers, and different drivers attract different investors. The current drivers are from Wall Street, with investors trading based on economic data and Federal Reserve decisions.Thielen estimates that among the $60 billion in net inflows for spot Bitcoin ETFs he analyzed, market makers could account for as much as half. These institutions hold ETF shares to hedge options trading, so they do not necessarily represent a bet on Bitcoin's price increase. His estimate is based on a review of the SEC's 13F filings. He still expects Bitcoin to reach $90,000 by the end of the year, but it may first drop to a range of $76,000 to $79,000. Bitcoin fell to about $76,100 last Friday after a $6.3 billion hacking incident on Binance, with a cumulative drop of 7.3% in October.Thielen expects Bitcoin to outperform Ethereum, believing that too much value generated by Ethereum's ecosystem is flowing to Layer 2 networks. He has been bearish on Ethereum for over a year, comparing it to a highway: everyone wants the road to be clear and tidy for fast travel, but no one wants to pay for it. He cited the decentralized perpetual contract exchange Hyperliquid as an example, pointing out that its aid fund converts trading fees into HYPE and destroys them, suggesting that Ethereum needs to establish a stronger connection between network usage and financial benefits for holders.

Wall Street institutions support the cryptocurrency market: The Binance hacking incident is unlikely to hinder recovery, suggesting to buy on dips

According to CoinDesk, analysts from three Wall Street firms—Cantor Fitzgerald, TD Cowen, and Compass Point—believe that despite Binance experiencing a hack of approximately $6.3 billion, there are currently no sufficient signs indicating that this event will threaten the entire cryptocurrency market, and the previous trend of market recovery is unlikely to be interrupted.Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal pointed out that Tether has frozen over $1.5 billion in stolen assets, Circle has frozen about $800 million, Ripple has frozen about $200 million, and Binance claims that the total amount of frozen stolen funds is approximately $3 billion. He believes that the cryptocurrency industry is gradually enhancing its ability to respond to such security incidents and expects that after market panic subsides, cryptocurrency-related stocks like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Strategy are likely to rebound, advising investors to buy on dips.TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza believes that this attack exposes security weaknesses in Binance's own transaction signature infrastructure, rather than issues with the underlying technology of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The market sell-off may provide an opportunity to increase holdings in Bitcoin and stocks of publicly traded companies that hold Bitcoin.Compass Point analysts believe that Binance has sufficient liquidity to cover the funding gap, expecting that its excess USDT reserves, BTC reserves, and USDC funds are enough to cover the losses. However, the firm also warns that Binance's compensation to customers may put pressure on the supply of stablecoins and could drive users to shift from centralized exchanges to competing platforms such as Coinbase, Bullish, and Hyperliquid.
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