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Domestic storage chip leader Changxin Technology is open for subscription today, with the new share allotment rate soaring, possibly ushering in a "sunshine" market

The domestic DRAM storage chip leader Changxin Technology (688825) has officially opened for new stock subscription. Due to the large issuance scale, this new stock offering has rarely seen a "sunshine market" trend. Institutions predict that the online winning rate will soar to 0.3% to 0.7% (with a neutral expectation of about 0.45%), reaching 10 to 20 times that of ordinary Sci-Tech Innovation Board new stocks. Calculations show that the probability of winning for a single account with an average market value of 200,000 in the Shanghai market is as high as about 18%, and theoretically, an average market value of 1 million can reliably secure 1 winning ticket.The issuance price of the stock is 8.66 yuan per share, and to secure one winning ticket (500 shares), a payment of 4,330 yuan is required. The official winning rate and results will be disclosed on July 17 and July 20 (Monday) respectively, and winners must ensure sufficient funds in their accounts by 16:00 on the 20th. Various institutions have given a neutral expectation, as Changxin Technology's market value is expected to reach 2 trillion to 3 trillion yuan after listing, with the profit margin for a single winning ticket expected to be around 20,000 yuan.If Changxin Technology fully exercises the green shoe mechanism, the total fundraising amount will reach 66.607 billion yuan, setting a new record for the largest IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and it will also become the third largest IPO in A-share history. Financial data shows that the company has fully turned a profit, with expected operating revenue in the first half of 2026 reaching 110 billion to 120 billion yuan, and net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 50 billion to 57 billion yuan. The total amount of this strategic placement exceeds 14.4 billion yuan, successfully attracting social security funds, pension funds, as well as 30 major industry terminal giants such as Alibaba Cloud, Tencent, Meituan, and Xiaomi.

The Bank of Korea expects the AI-driven chip supercycle to continue, dismissing concerns of a "peak."

A report released by the Bank of Korea on July 13 pointed out that the global semiconductor market is still in a state of supply shortage, and the chip supercycle driven by artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to last for a long time, which refutes market concerns that the chip cycle has peaked.The central bank's analysis states that the current chip cycle is different from previous ones, primarily driven by competitive investments made by companies to respond to the fundamental changes in the industrial ecosystem brought about by AI. At the same time, due to the current market being dominated by customized products such as high bandwidth memory (HBM), the pace of supply expansion is more constrained than in the past.Recently, concerns over excessive investment in AI infrastructure and potential oversupply of memory chips have triggered a sell-off in tech stocks, with significant declines in the stock prices of South Korean chip giants such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. In response, the Bank of Korea stated that although there remains uncertainty regarding the speed of AI technology adoption and profit prospects, major investment banks such as JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley generally predict that the global semiconductor market will maintain strong momentum at least through next year.
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