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BTC $73,579.14 -0.34%
ETH $2,008.89 -0.84%
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XRP $1.33 -0.85%
SOL $81.94 -0.86%
TRX $0.3482 +1.24%
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ADA $0.2337 -1.02%
BCH $299.37 -2.33%
LINK $9.09 -1.25%
HYPE $68.56 +0.38%
AAVE $81.65 -1.89%
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XLM $0.2523 +0.90%
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derivatives

Gray Scale: Hyperliquid or evolve into a giant in on-chain financial infrastructure, challenging the traditional derivatives market

According to CoinDesk, digital asset management company Grayscale pointed out in its latest report that the decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid is rapidly evolving from a cryptocurrency perpetual contract exchange into a blockchain financial infrastructure platform, and may even challenge traditional derivatives trading and exchange systems in the future, growing into a "financial services giant."The report shows that Hyperliquid is expected to achieve approximately $800 million in revenue by 2025, with an annual perpetual contract trading volume of about $2.9 trillion and an open interest size of around $7 billion, occupying a significant share of the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Grayscale believes that the platform is no longer limited to cryptocurrency trading but is expanding into tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets through the HIP-3 and HIP-4 systems, gradually building an all-weather on-chain trading infrastructure.FalconX also pointed out in another report that Hyperliquid is competing with traditional derivatives exchanges such as CME Group and prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, making progress in new markets such as Pre-IPO. The report also emphasizes that regulation remains a key variable. Although Hyperliquid currently restricts access for U.S. users, as the regulatory framework becomes clearer and institutions like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Kraken explore perpetual contract products, this sector may welcome broader growth opportunities in the future.

US CFTC releases 24/7 trading supervision guidelines: Crypto derivatives are more suitable for around-the-clock trading

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jointly issued staff guidance from its divisions of Market Oversight, Clearing, and Risk, addressing regulatory expectations and compliance requirements for the increasingly prevalent 24/7 trading, clearing, and settlement models, encouraging market innovation while ensuring compliance.The guidance emphasizes that regulated trading platforms, swap execution facilities, derivatives clearing organizations, and futures brokers must comply with the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and related regulatory rules when expanding around-the-clock trading, and must proactively assess risk management and operational arrangements.The CFTC points out that the adaptability of different asset classes to 24/7 trading varies, with derivatives related to crypto assets being more suitable for around-the-clock trading and clearing due to their digital infrastructure and global continuous trading characteristics; whereas traditional commodity derivatives like agricultural products may not be suitable for full 24/7 operation due to their regional and trading structure characteristics.CFTC staff stated that relevant institutions should ensure compliance with regulatory frameworks and risk control requirements while promoting the continuous evolution of the market to support "responsible market innovation."

Data: The Bitcoin derivatives market has ended an 8-month deleveraging cycle, with open contracts on Binance returning above the 180-day moving average

According to analyst Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) in a social media post, since the event on October 10 last year, Bitcoin has undergone a long de-leveraging phase in the derivatives market. When open interest falls below the 180-day moving average, it usually indicates a decline in futures activity, and investors' risk-off behavior leads to a reduction in open interest. Affected by the deterioration of the global macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, traders generally choose to reduce their risk exposure.This de-leveraging phase on Binance has lasted for about 8 months, with the last similar occurrence dating back to the previous bear market in 2022, just before the FTX collapse. However, since early May, the trend seems to be changing. Open interest on Binance has risen from $6.4 billion in March to about $8.96 billion currently, re-establishing itself above the current 180-day moving average of approximately $8.75 billion. This effectively marks the end of the de-leveraging cycle.The return of investors to the derivatives market has clearly driven the current upward rebound, but it is still too early to call it a true recovery. Despite the continued deterioration of the macro environment, Bitcoin's significant pullback has attracted more speculative traders seeking rebound opportunities. It should be noted that this trend remains highly fragile; once Bitcoin resumes the adjustment trend that began last October, these traders may exit as quickly as they entered.
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