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DWF Labs: Bitcoin spot ETF fund flows lag behind the market, making it difficult to predict future rises and falls

According to a report by Cointelegraph, DWF Labs pointed out in a research report released on Thursday that the daily capital flow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF is difficult to predict for Bitcoin's subsequent trends, with investors more inclined to buy after price increases and withdraw during declines.The study covers 694 trading days since the launch of the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF in January 2024: in 8 instances where the Bitcoin price fell by 15%, there were net outflows of ETF funds in 7 of those cases; while in all 9 instances where the price rose by 15%, there were net inflows of funds.DWF Labs concluded that ETF capital flows are more about confirming market trends rather than predicting them in advance. Data shows that the correlation coefficient of the day's ETF capital flow with the price changes of Bitcoin over the previous 5 trading days is 0.54, but the correlation coefficient with the price changes over the subsequent 5 trading days is only 0.03. From October 2025 to February 2026, the net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs was approximately $6.9 billion, and during the market decline from May to June 2026, the net outflow was about $8.2 billion.DWF Labs also noted that some ETF trades may involve buying fund shares while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin through futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as a hedging strategy, so the capital flow does not directly reflect investors' true bullish or bearish positions.

Anthropic IPO document: Revenue of 16.3 billion USD in the first half of the year, future computing power commitments may reach 75 billion USD

According to IPO documents obtained by The Wall Street Journal, the artificial intelligence company Anthropic generated $16.3 billion in revenue in the first half of the year, compared to $1.1 billion in the same period last year; the net loss for the first half of the year was $80.7 billion, compared to $13 billion in the same period last year. Approximately $72 billion of the loss came from accounting expenses related to changes in the fair value of financing instruments such as convertible notes.The documents show that spending on computing power and infrastructure in the first half of the year was nearly $9 billion, with total related spending for 2025 projected at $7.3 billion. Over the next 7 to 10 years, cloud computing agreement spending is expected to be around $450 billion, with an additional commitment to pay over $160 billion for leasing Google chips. Future infrastructure spending commitments have exceeded $600 billion, and if agreements still under negotiation are included, this could increase by up to $150 billion.In the first half of the year, about 20% of revenue came from two customers, and the company expects future revenue to still rely significantly on a small number of clients. The documents also state that artificial intelligence models may pose real-world dangers, and the losses from catastrophic incidents may even be uninsurable, while the construction of data centers faces increasingly organized political resistance.
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