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According to Cointelegraph, the latest research from Galaxy Digital indicates that due to a lack of speculative activity, the Bitcoin cycle low may occur at higher price levels than in previous bear markets. The analysis suggests that the potential bottom is between $62,000 and the actual Bitcoin price of $53,600.Galaxy's research director Alex Thorn analyzed each top and bottom of the Bitcoin cycle and noted that the four-year cycle is closely related to Bitcoin's historical trends. The decline from peak to trough has steadily narrowed across market cycles, decreasing from early drops of 85% and 84% to 77% in 2022 and 51% in 2026. The current top signal for October 2025 is weak, with only 2 out of 11 traditional top indicators signaling, while the widely watched Pi Cycle Top indicator has failed to trigger for the first time.The market capitalization to realized value ratio (MVRV) for Bitcoin peaked at 2.29, while this ratio ranged from 2.93 to 5.91 in previous cycles. The report also found that several key bottom signals are still missing. Currently, only 4 out of 13 indicators have been triggered, and most stronger signals have yet to appear. Thorn pointed out that based on the current cost price of $53,600, Galaxy estimates the fundamental bottom range to be between $40,000 and $46,000. A more severe "washout" scenario points to $30,000 to $37,000, while a more gradual decline may maintain around $51,000 to $54,000.

According to a report by Galaxy Research, the four-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin remains effective, but the volatility of each cycle is narrowing.The report points out that the peak-to-trough declines in the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021 were 85%, 84%, and 77% respectively, while the maximum drawdown in this cycle from the peak in October 2025 to now is only 51%.Due to the relatively mild peak in this cycle, Galaxy believes that the bottom of this cycle will also be relatively shallow, with the baseline scenario expected to be in the range of $40,000 to $46,000, potentially before the fourth quarter of 2026.The report emphasizes that only 8 months have passed since the peak, which is far less than the 12-13 months typically required for the formation of a historical cycle bottom, and most cycle bottom signals have not yet appeared, indicating that the bottom of this cycle has not yet formed.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) plans to abolish Rule 611 "Order Protection Rule" and Rule 610(e) in the National Market System Regulation (Reg NMS), which could become an important turning point for the development of tokenized stocks.Thorn pointed out that Rule 611 requires trades to adhere to the best quotes across the entire market (NBBO), while AMMs cannot route orders in real-time, access low-latency market data, or pause trading due to better quotes existing on other exchanges. Therefore, it has long been difficult to meet regulatory requirements, becoming one of the main structural obstacles for tokenized U.S. stocks to land in the DeFi scenario. He stated that if the future replaces the regulatory requirements for trade-by-trade supervision with brokers' "best execution obligations," on-chain liquidity pools and AMM mechanisms will be more easily incorporated into the compliance framework.Although tokenized securities still face issues such as trading venue registration and clearing and settlement, the SEC's subsequent plan to introduce an "innovation exemption" mechanism is expected to further promote related developments. Thorn believes this is an important step for the SEC to implement the "Project Crypto" roadmap, paving the way for innovations in tokenized stocks, AMMs, and on-chain securities trading by removing key market structure barriers.

Alex Thorn, the Research Director at Galaxy, stated that the UK's decision to include the entire HTX on the sanctions list is controversial, as there are still a large number of legitimate users on the platform. He also pointed out that there are significant differences in the standards and timing of asset freezes among different stablecoin issuers, and suggested paying attention to the potential impact of stablecoin freeze mechanisms on user assets.

Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett revealed that three informed sources disclosed that U.S. government officials will hold a meeting with law enforcement groups at the White House on Wednesday to address concerns that certain provisions in the Clarity Act (including developer protection provisions derived from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act) may increase the difficulty of cracking down on illegal finance.This issue, along with the ethical provisions, is one of the main obstacles that must be resolved before the bill is submitted for a full vote in the Senate. Several Democrats have stated that they will not support the bill unless the concerns of law enforcement are adequately addressed. Prior to this meeting, the crypto industry has conducted broader outreach, including holding town hall meetings and inviting former law enforcement officials currently working in the crypto industry to participate in lobbying.

Bitget Chief Legal Officer Hon Ng today released an open letter, announcing that Bitget has officially launched the 2026 Global Anti-Fraud Month campaign, themed "More Assets, Stronger Protection."In the letter, Hon Ng pointed out that as the platform expands from crypto assets to a multi-asset ecosystem, users face increasingly complex cybersecurity threats while enjoying broader market access. He emphasized that the multi-asset era means greater responsibility. User protection is not a one-time project but a continuous result of risk monitoring, rapid response, security education, and industry collaboration.The open letter also disclosed Bitget's security and anti-fraud achievements for 2025. Data shows that Bitget intercepted over 150 million malicious attack requests throughout the year, identified over 13,000 high-risk malicious IPs, handled 18,135 user protection cases, and assisted users in recovering approximately $32.3 million related to security incidents and fraudulent activities.In addition, Bitget's security system achieved over 2.8 billion risk interceptions through customized protection rules, defended against over 1.5 billion DDoS attack attempts, and introduced machine learning-based behavioral analysis capabilities to further identify suspicious activities and potential risks.

According to BBX data, last week the expansion of institutional crypto infrastructure and the differentiation of cash flow management models for mining companies were implemented simultaneously. The core dynamics are as follows:Morgan Stanley (NYSE: $MS) Wealth Management Department and Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: $GLXY) officially announced a recommended cooperation agreement on June 5: allowing Morgan Stanley's qualified high-net-worth clients to lend directly held BTC, ETH, or SOL to Galaxy Digital. After Galaxy, as an Authorized Participant (AP), completes the creation of physical shares, the corresponding spot crypto ETP shares (including Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust, NYSE Arca: $MSBT) will be directly transferred to the client's brokerage account; the converted ETP shares can be used as collateral for account financing. Key parameters: Galaxy Digital has reduced the minimum trading threshold for Morgan Stanley's recommended clients from $25 million to $5 million, significantly expanding the coverage of qualified high-net-worth clients; traditional similar institutional trades usually take more than four weeks to complete, while the new mechanism can shorten the entire process by up to 75%. The legal basis for this cooperation is the SEC's approval of the physical conversion ETF mechanism for crypto assets in July 2025, allowing direct physical conversion between directly held crypto assets and spot crypto ETFs, with Morgan Stanley's $MSBT being one of the first beneficiary products.Bitdeer Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: $BTDR) reported that as of the week of June 5, 2026, Bitcoin mining output was 205.3 BTC, with the same amount sold, resulting in a net holding of 0 BTC, maintaining a current BTC position of zero, continuing the "output equals sale" cash flow management strategy; the proceeds from sales are used to support the R&D of its SEALMINER mining hardware product line and the expansion of hash power hosting services. Bitdeer's zero holding model sharply contrasts with mining companies like CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CLSK) (holding approximately 13,561 BTC) and MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MARA) (holding approximately 35,303 BTC), which continue to accumulate Bitcoin, representing another financially rational path for mining companies during the BTC price downturn cycle—exchanging immediate liquidity for stable operational cash flow, avoiding the impact of single asset price fluctuations on the balance sheet.

The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched operations "Gobi" and "Wind Shield" to combat illegal betting on sports through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police pointed out that in recent years, illegal gambling has shown a trend of digitalization, including online betting, social media attracting gamblers, and using virtual currency for bets. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, betting with illegal bookmakers can result in a maximum sentence of 9 months and a fine of 50,000 HKD, accepting bets can lead to a maximum sentence of 7 years and a fine of 5 million HKD, and money laundering can result in a maximum sentence of 14 years and a fine of 5 million HKD. The police also shared a case of a young person who was once addicted to illegal gambling, who owed a maximum of 160,000 HKD at his peak. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have a risk of developing gambling disorders of over 80%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale has made a single purchase of $100,000 on the "World Cup Champion" event for "Portugal." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 90.22%.

According to Barron's, Morgan Stanley's wealth management division has partnered with Galaxy Digital, allowing high-net-worth clients holding Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana to convert their direct holdings into a spot crypto ETF.The converted ETF can be used as collateral for financing, with a minimum trading threshold of $5 million. In July 2025, the SEC approved a physical conversion mechanism between directly held crypto assets and spot crypto ETFs, laying the regulatory foundation for this collaboration.

The General Office of the State Council has released guiding opinions on strengthening regulation, preventing risks, and promoting the high-quality development of private equity investment funds. The opinions mention adhering to goal-oriented and problem-oriented approaches, addressing issues such as the need to improve the access mechanism for the private equity fund industry, inadequate regulation, incomplete systems, insufficient coordination and cooperation among ministries, central and local governments, the failure to implement the responsibilities of some government investment funds and state-owned enterprise investment fund contributors, and the use of some private equity funds as tools for illegal activities, new forms of corruption, and hidden corruption. A system and long-term mechanism for strengthening regulation and preventing risks will be established to promote the development of the industry in a standardized manner and enhance it during development.Uphold functional positioning, coordinate the overall layout, optimize increments, revitalize existing resources, support the excellent and limit the inferior, improve quality and efficiency, and strictly prohibit private equity funds from engaging in illegal activities such as lending and disguised debt. Adhere to classified regulation, implementing "one policy for one category" regulation based on different dimensions such as contributor entities and product types. Insist on regulating both legal and illegal entities, with strict regulation for legal institutions, resolute prohibition of illegal institutions, and severe crackdowns on illegal activities.Promote the revision of the Securities Investment Fund Law. Push for the issuance of judicial documents related to criminal cases involving private equity funds. Formulate regulations for the supervision of private equity fund managers, information disclosure, fundraising, and mandatory custody rules. Introduce standardized arrangements for private equity fund betting agreements. Fully establish a regulatory system for private equity funds that is primarily based on administrative regulation and supplemented by self-regulation.

According to market news, the South Korean police are investigating domestic users of the world's largest prediction market platform, Polymarket, accusing them of violating Article 246 of the Criminal Act (gambling crime), which could result in a fine of up to 10 million won. This investigation, led by the Gangwon Provincial Police Agency at the request of the National Police Agency, is the first criminal investigation targeting Polymarket users in South Korea, covering users from all over the country. It is reported that South Korean users place bets on the platform using US dollar stablecoins, and the platform has no restrictions; just one local election event attracted bets amounting to hundreds of billions of won.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Multicoin Capital deposited 56.116 million ENA (5.28 million USD) into Galaxy Digital and BitGo.

According to the Securities Times, Xiaohongshu has launched a special governance action for certified professional accounts in the financial sector starting from June 3. Based on relevant laws and regulations as well as platform rules, financial certifications are only issued to institutions holding compliant licenses. The nicknames of certified professional accounts on the platform must strictly match the actual business scope of the certified entity and must not obtain certification marks through false or misleading information. In the past week, Xiaohongshu has dealt with over 1,500 non-compliant financial professional accounts and will continue to comprehensively strengthen the public verification and validation mechanism, conducting regular inspections and handling of existing accounts.Staff introduced that since May, the Xiaohongshu platform has dealt with a total of 31,000 accounts involved in financial sector violations and marketing accounts without financial-related qualifications, including 539 notes and 146 comments related to illegal inducement of cross-border investment issues; 141 related notes regarding the low-priced resale of foreign investment bank research reports, and freezing of 132 related products. In addition, the platform has also handled over 130 pieces of suspected illegal information related to gold financial marketing promotion and domestic promotion of overseas platforms.

According to Reuters, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has warned football clubs, including Premier League clubs, that entering into sponsorship agreements with unauthorized cryptocurrency companies and trading platforms may expose clubs to legal liabilities, money laundering risks, and reputational damage.The FCA stated that some unlicensed cryptocurrency businesses operating in the UK are reaching large fan bases through football sponsorships, potentially violating UK financial promotion rules. The regulatory body has contacted some clubs regarding these partnerships and urged them to strengthen due diligence on their partners.Lucy Castledine, the FCA's Director of Consumer Investments, stated that millions of fans trust club brands, and clubs should not allow unauthorized financial institutions to exploit this trust to promote potentially risky products to fans. UK Sports Minister Stephanie Peacock also stated that while sponsorship revenue is crucial for the football industry, fans have the right to know whether the companies partnering with clubs are safe, responsible, and compliant.

According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), institutions and whales continue to increase their holdings of HYPE: Galaxy Digital withdrew 179,000 HYPE (approximately $12.62 million) from Coinbase in the past 7 hours; meanwhile, the new wallet address 0x6436 withdrew 135,824 HYPE (approximately $9.73 million) again 8 hours ago, bringing the total withdrawal amount over the past two days to 399,730 HYPE (approximately $28.92 million).

According to The Block, Galaxy Digital has launched an over-the-counter prediction market trading desk aimed at hedge funds and family offices, with the first transaction being a $10 million Clarity Act-related contract reached with the crypto hedge fund Arca on Kalshi.As the primary market-making counterparty, Galaxy provides Arca with bilateral positioning and larger-scale liquidity. This service currently covers non-sports event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, encompassing markets such as economics, politics, and geopolitics, and plans to expand to more platforms. Galaxy can also hedge prediction market positions with stocks and commodity hedging portfolios, helping institutions manage multi-asset risk exposure around a single event in a unified manner.

According to Bits.media, a large illegal cryptocurrency mining operation was discovered in the city of Nizhny Tagil in Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia, and the nearby city of Kushva. The mining operation was hidden in an abandoned industrial park and deployed about 10,000 mining machines, which were dismantled by a joint operation of the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation, the police, and the power company.Local power companies estimate that the losses caused by the long-term illegal electricity usage of this mining operation amount to nearly 1 billion rubles (approximately 12.7 million USD). Investigators stated that its electricity consumption was sufficient to meet the lighting needs of a small city. Law enforcement has arrested three suspects, who are currently under house arrest and are being investigated for "causing property damage through deception or abuse of trust." Under Russian law, those involved could face up to 5 years in prison.Investigations revealed that the operators of the mining site accessed the power grid through intermediaries and allegedly tampered with electricity meter data to cover up the actual electricity usage. Law enforcement agencies stated that the actual electricity consumption of the mining operation was about twice the approved quota. The local energy department initially launched an investigation due to frequent voltage fluctuations, power outages, and equipment failures in the abandoned factory area, ultimately pinpointing the location of the mining operation. A local television station also produced a documentary titled "Mining" to document this operation.