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first_img Polymarket has reached an exclusive partnership with OneFootball, reaching 645 million fans before the World Cup starts

Polymarket announced on Thursday that it has signed an exclusive partnership agreement with the Berlin digital football platform OneFootball, which will connect the prediction market to OneFootball's 200 million monthly active users and 645 million fan ecosystem about two weeks before the start of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Polymarket will be the only prediction market partner within the OneFootball app, and competitors like Kalshi will not be allowed to enter this product.This is Polymarket's seventh major football partnership this year and the first collaboration aimed at media application distribution channels, having previously signed agreements with MLS, LaLiga, Serie A, Lazio, and DAZN.According to analysis by the Pew Research Center, since July 2024, sports have accounted for 39% of Polymarket's total trading volume. The 2026 World Cup champion market has seen a cumulative trading volume of over $1.2 billion since its launch last July, while the broader World Cup category market totals approximately $1.3 billion.OneFootball has previously launched the OFC token based on Base and Ethereum, as well as the points system BALLS. The integration with Polymarket will convert user engagement into actual transactions. OneFootball has raised over $300 million in funding, with investors including Liberty City Ventures, Animoca Brands, and Adidas.

a16z Crypto: The prediction market still needs to solve the problems of manipulation risks and information bias

a16z Crypto published an article analyzing the unique value and challenges faced by prediction markets. Prediction markets allow participants to trade on the outcomes of events, aggregating dispersed information through price signals to provide real-time estimates of the probabilities of future events. Unlike traditional polls, prediction markets have the ability to update in real-time and incentivize participants to bet their capital on their information, thereby improving prediction accuracy.The article points out that prediction markets are used not only by companies for product launches and research experiment forecasts but also by the media as a source of "crowd wisdom," covering a wide range of events from geopolitical issues to AI model performance. Its core advantage lies in providing independent probability estimates for specific events, rather than relying on indirect signals from overall asset price movements. However, prediction markets still face challenges related to infrastructure and market design, including event verification, contract settlement, participant information adequacy, and potential manipulation risks.a16z believes that if these issues are resolved, prediction markets are expected to become important tools for decision-making and information aggregation, expanding financial and societal insights into future events.

Ripple plans to initiate a $1 billion XRP treasury program

According to CoinDesk, Ripple is leading a financing plan of at least $1 billion, intending to establish a publicly traded treasury company focused on holding XRP through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC).The report states that this entity will use the raised funds to continuously increase its holdings of XRP, and Ripple is also expected to inject some of its own XRP holdings into the treasury. The terms of the related transaction are still under discussion, and the final plan may be adjusted.If successfully implemented, this will become the largest known XRP treasury plan to date. Market analysts believe that this move will test institutional investors' acceptance of the XRP treasury model and whether the digital asset treasury company model can expand from Bitcoin to other mainstream crypto assets.Currently, the market capitalization of XRP is approximately $138 billion, making it one of the top-ranking crypto assets globally. Since the beginning of this year, XRP has seen a cumulative increase of about 13%.It is worth noting that as the crypto market has recently experienced increased volatility, the stock prices of some digital asset treasury companies have come under pressure, and the market has begun to pay attention to whether similar models are facing demand saturation. However, if this plan is ultimately implemented, it may bring a new source of institutional buying for XRP and further strengthen its narrative in the capital markets.

The U.S. Congress will advance a bipartisan cryptocurrency tax bill, which may become the next significant legislation following the CLARITY Act

Jason Smith, the chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives' fundraising committee, stated that digital asset tax legislation must receive bipartisan support; otherwise, the related bill process will not advance. Subsequently, U.S. Representatives Steven Horsford, Max Miller, Suzan DelBene, and Mike Carey jointly proposed the "Digital Asset Protection, Accountability, Regulation, Innovation, Taxation, and Revenue Act" (PARITY Act). The bill aims to update digital asset tax rules, provide a clearer regulatory framework for the market, while enhancing investor protection and preventing market manipulation.Representative Steven Horsford stated that the bill will help ordinary investors participate more safely in the digital asset market and promote wealth accumulation opportunities. Max Miller believes that the current U.S. tax laws are unable to adapt to the rapid development of digital assets and modern financial technology. Currently, the PARITY Act and the advancing CLARITY Act are seen as important components of establishing a comprehensive regulatory system for crypto assets in the United States.The U.S. Congress released a tax policy discussion draft in March this year and held a bipartisan roundtable in May to discuss the tax framework for crypto assets. The market is closely watching whether the CLARITY Act can be passed by 2026. Analysts believe that if both the CLARITY Act and the PARITY Act are ultimately legislated and combined with the subsequent rule-making of the GENIUS Act, the U.S. crypto industry will welcome a clearer regulatory environment, further promoting Web3 and DeFi into the mainstream financial system.
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