nip

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "NIP" option in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 49.5% an hour ago to the current 19.5% (a fluctuation of 30%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "LNG vs NIP" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Both sides kill a dragon" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In", the win rate of the "NIP" option in the sub-market "Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)" has experienced a sharp fluctuation, dropping from 90.5% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 40.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

On the day BitMEX announced its shutdown, BKX Services Inc. and David Namdar filed a class action lawsuit in the Southern District of New York Federal Court, accusing the platform of manipulating user forced liquidations and stealing Bitcoin collateral by using insider trading privileges and server freezing tactics. The plaintiffs claim a total loss of approximately 623 BTC, with BKX losing at least 305.81 BTC and Namdar losing over 316.85 BTC, seeking the return of Bitcoin and damages.The complaint states that BitMEX allowed clients to use up to 100 times leverage, while forcibly liquidating positions when the collateral value was still about twice the loss, with the remaining Bitcoin being included in the platform's insurance fund, allowing BitMEX to profit from it. This lawsuit traces back to relevant transactions starting from July 23, 2018, while a similar case from 2020 was voluntarily withdrawn on June 30, 2025.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - BLAST Bounty Qualifier," the "Map 1 Round Spread: M80 (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)" sub-market's "M80" option has experienced significant fluctuations in win probability, dropping from 61% an hour ago to the current 38% (a fluctuation of 23%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to South Korean media KBS, the Financial Services Commission of South Korea has announced the results of virtual asset market regulation. Since the implementation of the "Virtual Asset User Protection Act" two years ago, approximately 40 investigations into unfair virtual asset trading have been completed, and more than 30 cases have been reported or notified to judicial authorities, focusing on cracking down on market disorder behaviors such as short-term manipulation and "pump and dump."In the future, the ability to monitor the market will be further strengthened, and an AI-based virtual asset regulatory system will be established, including real-time market monitoring, second-level price manipulation analysis, and automatic identification of suspicious accounts and trading intervals.

According to Bloomberg, researchers at Stanford University have found signs of manipulation in the Polymarket five-minute Bitcoin betting market. The study analyzed contract data over approximately two months and discovered repeated one-way trading pulses on the Binance exchange that briefly affected Bitcoin prices just seconds before the betting ended, benefiting those with aligned positions. The researchers referred to this pattern as "temporary manipulation to drive up spot prices" and pointed out that such contracts have structural vulnerabilities—participants can influence the outcome by trading the underlying asset itself that determines win or loss.A Polymarket spokesperson stated that the platform uses multiple independent price oracles to ensure accuracy and plans to transition some markets to a settlement method using longer time windows next year to enhance market integrity. The study estimates that suspected manipulators profited about $8.2 million over two months, primarily from losses incurred by retail traders. Similar patterns are not evident in the 15-minute market, where longer time windows make it more difficult to influence outcomes.

According to TenArmorAlert monitoring, the BSC chain contract VECAndETH suffered a suspicious price manipulation attack, resulting in a loss of approximately $109,600.

On-chain detective ZachXBT updated on X that an entity initially funded by the LAB team deposited 18.4 million LAB into Aster, approximately 18.3 million USD, and sold it on the DEX spot market, causing the LAB price to drop again by 54%, from 1.2 USD to 0.55 USD.ZachXBT stated that this entity transferred LAB to 3 Aster deposit addresses between July 10 and 11, and currently holds about 81.5 million LAB. He added that the entity received over 196 million LAB from the LAB team in April 2026, subsequently transferred to a Bitget address, and withdrew from Bitget to 10 addresses between May 11 and 12.ZachXBT has previously questioned the existence of market manipulation and insider supply issues with LAB, claiming that one of the multi-signers from the LAB team had financial ties to addresses related to RIVER manipulation, and pointed out that nearly 226 million LAB was deposited into Bitget between March and April.

According to the Daily Economy, the South Korean Financial Commission held its 12th regular meeting and filed lawsuits regarding two cases of market manipulation in the cryptocurrency asset market.In the first case, "whale" investors used tens of billions of Korean won to acquire about half of the global circulation of a certain cryptocurrency asset, artificially inflating the price on overseas exchanges, and then profiting from arbitrage on domestic exchanges by taking advantage of the price linkage effect between exchanges, with the losses borne by domestic investors.In the second case, the suspects targeted "Kimchi Coin" by repeatedly submitting market buy and sell orders through API channels within one second, creating a false appearance of active trading, while simultaneously posting high-priced buy orders on the web to drive up the market. After buy orders surged in, they sold off in batches to cash out.The Financial Commission warns investors to be cautious of cryptocurrencies with sudden and unjustified spikes in price and trading volume, and stated that it will strengthen the disclosure mechanism for large holders' positions and the market warning system.

According to Business Insider, Worldcoin developer Tools For Humanity previously hired two law firms to investigate internal financial irregularities, employee classification, and whether there were violations of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act in its operations in Thailand.The report also stated that the investigation involves allegations of senior management approving large payments to foreign companies to boost the performance of Worldcoin tokens. The company stated that after the investigation, it has terminated its relationships with Thai partners and strengthened internal compliance policies and due diligence processes, and currently has not found sufficient evidence to prove that the company or its employees violated relevant anti-bribery laws.

PiggyBank released a detailed report on the LAB incident on June 6, stating that the protocol experienced a net withdrawal of approximately $579,000 on June 6, primarily due to a LAB token basis trade being manipulated by the market.In early May, PiggyBank purchased 142,800 locked LAB tokens (approximately $102,500) through an OTC intermediary while simultaneously opening a perpetual contract short hedge. However, market participants continuously maintained the spot price above the perpetual contract price, resulting in a deeply negative funding rate (annualized -17,000%), and the high hedging costs forced the shorts to close, resulting in a loss of approximately $476,000. The currently locked LAB tokens have a spot value of about $1 million, but due to poor liquidity and lack of hedging, they have been excluded from the NAV calculation.PiggyBank will undergo structural reforms: increasing transparency of on-chain mechanisms, strategy logic, and fund allocation will be publicly verifiable, while basis trading and funding rate arbitrage will be gradually phased out. In terms of compensation, affected users will receive USDC compensation based on actual losses, with funding sources including NAV discrepancies, future LAB sales (expected to unlock from August 14 to October 14, currently valued at approximately $1 million), and 50% of future platform revenue. All users recorded in the snapshot on June 6 are eligible for compensation.

According to informed sources, the CFTC is proposing a comprehensive set of new rules to regulate prediction markets. The parameters of these rules will continue to allow most sports-related betting while striving to avoid obvious manipulation.According to a draft of the proposed rules seen by The Wall Street Journal, the U.S. CFTC will introduce new regulations on Wednesday, seeking to prevent predictive bets that it believes are not in the public interest or are easily manipulable, such as in cases where one person may have an undue influence on the outcome.The agency's proposal does not directly prohibit trading any specific type of so-called event contracts but outlines the factors under which regulators will review certain types of contracts on a case-by-case basis.The U.S. CFTC has previously provided some preliminary guidance on which types of bets should be avoided, and Kalshi and other prediction platforms have taken action in advance.Additionally, informed sources revealed that the CFTC is considering other rules, including those aimed at protecting retail traders.

The revenue agreement PiggyBank issued a statement acknowledging a serious error in the LAB token basis trading that took place last month. PiggyBank disclosed that the team previously purchased locked LAB tokens at a low price through OTC channels for about $100,000 (accounting for approximately 2% of the portfolio) and simultaneously shorted perpetual contracts for hedging.However, during the holding period, LAB encountered severe market manipulation, liquidity depletion, and deeply negative funding rates, leading to excessively high hedging costs. The team ultimately chose to close the short position to limit downside risk. Based on current prices, the total value of the locked LAB position is $1.35 million. However, due to the lack of liquidity in this position, PiggyBank will exclude it from the net asset value calculation until the first unlock on August 14.Although the situation is still changing and there is still potential for considerable returns, this is the "fairest and most transparent" way for users to manage liquidity. Therefore, today's net asset value will show a decline of approximately 15% in the USDC treasury, about 12% in SPYx, and about 9% in JitoSOL. A detailed report will be released next week, including follow-up processing plans. On-chain investigator ZachXBT previously publicly questioned PiggyBank, accusing it of insider control over more than 95% of the supply.

edgeX released an update regarding the abnormal price fluctuations of the EDGE token, stating that the protocol has not been compromised in any way, and this incident is not a hacker attack, exploit, or security vulnerability.Current confirmed information indicates that this is an attempt by certain external parties to deliberately manipulate the market price of EDGE, which is a matter of market integrity rather than platform security. The team is actively investigating and collaborating with relevant exchanges and platforms, and a comprehensive update will be released after the investigation is complete.

a16z Crypto published an article analyzing the unique value and challenges faced by prediction markets. Prediction markets allow participants to trade on the outcomes of events, aggregating dispersed information through price signals to provide real-time estimates of the probabilities of future events. Unlike traditional polls, prediction markets have the ability to update in real-time and incentivize participants to bet their capital on their information, thereby improving prediction accuracy.The article points out that prediction markets are used not only by companies for product launches and research experiment forecasts but also by the media as a source of "crowd wisdom," covering a wide range of events from geopolitical issues to AI model performance. Its core advantage lies in providing independent probability estimates for specific events, rather than relying on indirect signals from overall asset price movements. However, prediction markets still face challenges related to infrastructure and market design, including event verification, contract settlement, participant information adequacy, and potential manipulation risks.a16z believes that if these issues are resolved, prediction markets are expected to become important tools for decision-making and information aggregation, expanding financial and societal insights into future events.

The court in Qujiang District, Quzhou City, Zhejiang Province, China recently ruled on a hacker case that used government and enterprise websites as a platform for pornography. The defendant, Zhou, illegally controlled over 150 servers (involving 157 government and enterprise units and well-known apps) through website vulnerabilities, batch-injecting malicious files, forcing redirection to overseas pornographic websites, and selling control permissions for profit. To evade tracking, Zhou rented a house and opened accounts using the identities of friends and relatives, arranged for accomplices to operate

The Southern District Prosecutors' Office of Seoul, South Korea, has detained and prosecuted 2 individuals and prosecuted 3 individuals without detention in relation to the Rug Pull case of the Solana meme coin CATFI on decentralized exchanges (DEX). The prosecution stated that this is the first case applying the unfair trading provisions of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act and also the first case to detain and prosecute the main perpetrator of a DEX Rug Pull case.

On-chain detective ZachXBT posted on his personal channel that a certain entity previously received ESPORTS, RIVER, and LIGHT tokens through Sablier's attribution contract, which are directly linked to the three multi-signature wallet signers of LAB. These BSC tokens have all experienced market manipulation on centralized trading platforms.ZachXBT had previously flagged anomalies with LAB and RIVER, while the ESPORTS token suffered another flash crash, plummeting 93% in a short time. The CEX deposit addresses associated with the entity and the LAB signer addresses have been made public.