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BTC $68,986.31 -1.37%
ETH $1,965.82 -5.97%
BNB $615.84 -2.55%
XRP $1.48 -1.10%
SOL $86.51 -2.08%
TRX $0.2805 -0.74%
DOGE $0.1031 -8.75%
ADA $0.2821 -5.14%
BCH $555.34 -1.77%
LINK $8.75 -4.42%
HYPE $30.60 -3.27%
AAVE $125.03 -3.34%
SUI $0.9759 -5.77%
XLM $0.1696 -2.98%
ZEC $295.07 -10.32%

deflation

Morgan Stanley 2026 Outlook: Moderate Global Economic Growth and Deflation Coexist, US Stocks Will Continue to Outperform Global Markets

According to Reuters, Morgan Stanley expects U.S. stocks to outperform global markets in 2026 and is optimistic about the performance of global equities relative to credit and government bonds, supported by the growth of capital expenditures related to artificial intelligence and an improved policy environment."Driven by micro fundamentals, accelerated AI capital expenditures, and favorable policies, risk assets are well-prepared for a strong performance in 2026," the Wall Street investment bank noted in a series of global economic and strategic outlook reports released on Monday. Although the fluctuating tariff policies of the Trump administration have led to ongoing turbulence in global financial markets this year, most trade uncertainties are gradually dissipating as 2026 approaches.The bank predicts that 2026 will see "moderate" global economic growth alongside deflation, but emphasizes that "uncertainty remains high, and the range of outcomes could be extremely divergent," with "the U.S. being a key variable."Additionally, Morgan Stanley forecasts that the S&P 500 index will reach 7,800 points by the end of 2026, representing about a 16% upside from current levels, primarily driven by robust corporate earnings growth and AI-driven efficiency improvements. Under the influence of the Federal Reserve's dovish policies, U.S. small-cap stocks are expected to outperform large-cap stocks, and cyclical sectors will outperform defensive sectors. The dollar index is expected to drop to 94 in the first half of the year, before rebounding to 99 by the end of 2026.The bank also predicts that gold prices will reach $4,500 per ounce in 2026.
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