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According to The Block, TD Cowen analysts have raised the target price for Bitcoin treasury company Strive from $44 to $56, maintaining a "Buy" rating. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete noted that the amount of Bitcoin purchased by Strive in the past two weeks has exceeded their previous expectations for the entire fourth quarter.The company's Bitcoin holdings increased from 28,000 coins at the end of September to 35,595 coins (worth approximately $2.9 billion), a net increase of nearly 7,600 coins, far exceeding TD Cowen's original estimate of 4,750 coins. Strive has now jumped to fourth place among publicly traded companies in terms of Bitcoin holdings, slightly surpassing MARA. Additionally, Strive plans to expand its preferred stock issuance to 7 million shares (at $90 per share), aiming to raise $630 million to continue increasing its Bitcoin holdings without diluting common stock. The issuance is expected to be completed on October 20.

Investment bank TD Cowen's Washington research group Managing Director Jaret Seiberg stated in a report released on Monday that the proposed rulemaking advance notice issued by the CFTC last week is a positive step for crypto platforms, but the agency may not complete the rulemaking until early 2028. As the 2028 election cycle approaches, there is a risk that the rule may ultimately not be implemented. Seiberg noted, "Time is running out," and expects that the CFTC will not issue proposals until the end of the first quarter or early second quarter of 2027, with final rules possibly not being finalized until early 2028.Last week, the CFTC proposed a federal regulatory framework for crypto platforms but avoided direct jurisdiction over spot market trading. According to Seiberg, the proposed rules will require platforms to maintain "reserve proof audits" and grant the CFTC jurisdiction over state-licensed platforms. Previously, the U.S. Senate failed to pass legislation that would grant the CFTC broad powers over spot crypto trading in a preliminary vote, leading the CFTC and SEC to intervene in regulating the crypto industry, including the introduction of long-awaited innovation exemptions, but both agencies lack the permanence that legislation could provide.Seiberg also pointed out that if the CFTC decides to expedite the rulemaking process, it may actually increase the risk of court intervention. He stated that speeding up this process would raise the risk of judges blocking the rule on procedural grounds, and even if the agency is cautious enough, legal challenges could extend beyond 2028.

TD Cowen Managing Director Lance Vitanza stated at the Bitcoin Treasuries conference in New York that institutional investors are no longer debating whether to hold Bitcoin, but rather discussing how to hold it. He predicts that the price of Bitcoin will reach $132,000 by 2027.Vitanza pointed out that Bitcoin is evolving from a single asset into a capital market ecosystem that encompasses common stocks, preferred stocks, bonds, and income-generating products. He analyzed the assessment methods for digital credit and which Bitcoin treasury companies can survive in a market downturn, mentioning Strive, Metaplanet, and Nakamoto, emphasizing the importance of having actual operating businesses.He also discussed the potential impact of MSCI index exclusions on Bitcoin treasury companies, as well as blockchain monitoring, front-running behavior, and trust issues regarding Bitcoin prices. He believes that well-operated Bitcoin treasury companies may perform better than Bitcoin itself.

TD COWEN initiated coverage on SpaceX, giving it a buy rating with a target price of $200.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) established a five-year framework for tokenized stock trading days after the failure to advance the CLARITY Act. Investment bank TD Cowen stated that U.S. investors can conveniently access stocks, but issuers show limited interest in tokenization, and short-term adoption rates are expected to be low.TD Cowen pointed out that perpetual contracts remain a greater attraction for gaining exposure to crypto asset stocks, with trading volumes far exceeding those of tokenized spot products.

TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza set the Bitcoin price target for the end of 2026 at $97,500, indicating about a 25% upside from the recent price level of around $78,000. Meanwhile, TD Cowen has lowered its previous benchmark forecast of about $140,000 for the end of 2026 to around $100,000, significantly reducing its previously more optimistic long-term expectations. Vitanza stated that this downgrade is mainly due to the recent weakness in Bitcoin prices, rather than a deterioration in company-level or market structure.Currently, BTC's recent trading range is approximately $58,400 to $78,000, with a maximum drawdown of over 50% from the previous high of over $126,000, and a monthly drawdown that once exceeded 20%. A clearer regulatory environment and inclusion in broader indices are still viewed by TD Cowen as potential catalysts for market recovery. For Strategy, TD Cowen has lowered its target price from $400 to $260 but maintains a "Buy" rating. This adjustment mainly follows the downward revision of Bitcoin price forecasts, rather than a change in the view of Strategy's operational performance or capital structure. Additionally, TD Cowen has initiated coverage on Strive, expecting the company to hold over 27,100 BTC by the end of 2026, and has given it a target price of $32, indicating about a 33% upside.

BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on platform X that TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza, with a scale of $15 billion, stated that Strive's stock price will rise by 33% to $32. The institution indicated that its treasury activities have significantly exceeded previous models.TD Cowen expects that Strive will hold more than 27,100 bitcoins by the end of 2026.

Wall Street investment bank TD Cowen has lowered the target price for Bitcoin treasury company Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA), reducing the split-adjusted target price from $40 to $17, a decrease of 58%, but still maintaining a "Buy" rating. TD Cowen analysts stated that this adjustment is mainly due to the pressure on Nakamoto's highly leveraged capital structure from the decline in Bitcoin prices.Although the new target price still implies about a 275% upside from the current stock price of $4.65, the company's stock is highly sensitive to fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. TD Cowen expects Bitcoin to rebound to $100,000 by the end of 2026, which is about 25% lower than the historical high of $126,000 set last October. At the same time, the firm anticipates that Nakamoto will suspend further Bitcoin purchases before 2027.Analysts pointed out that Nakamoto's core value still comes from its Bitcoin assets, with the company currently holding 4,467 BTC, valued at approximately $290 million, ranking 22nd among publicly listed companies in terms of Bitcoin holdings. However, the company's debt and preferred stock financing structure have also compressed the asset value available to common stockholders. Recently, Nakamoto has completed several financial adjustments, including repaying approximately $45 million in debt, extending the principal of $105 million to June 2027, reducing financing costs, and approving a $25 million stock buyback plan. Additionally, the company has closed its previously operated medical clinic business and will focus on Bitcoin media, asset management, and consulting services in the future. Data shows that NAKA's stock price has fallen over 71% this year, while Bitcoin has declined about 26% during the same period. Market attention is shifting from "continuously purchasing BTC" to the asset-liability structure and financing capabilities of Bitcoin treasury companies.

According to official news, the ForeGate supercomputing database, in collaboration with football legend Michael Owen, OneBullEx, OKX, and WEEX, has officially released the "ForeGate 2026 World Cup Winning Guide" match research report.This report focuses on the progress of the 2026 World Cup schedule in the US, Canada, and Mexico, conducting a systematic analysis of the qualification probabilities, advancement paths, championship probabilities, win-draw-loss trends, and betting tendencies of the 48 participating teams. The report combines the ForeGate AI prediction model with OKX data path simulations and continuously updates based on real-time match results, team conditions, and potential matchup changes. Currently, the comprehensive prediction accuracy of the related models has reached 93.8%, demonstrating strong data analysis capabilities in aspects such as match result response, point calibration, and advancement path judgment.ForeGate stated that during the World Cup, it will continuously update prediction content based on match results, team conditions, and model simulation results to help users understand the probabilistic logic behind schedule changes. Meanwhile, the ForeGate World Cup million-dollar prediction event is also in full swing, where users can participate in match predictions to share in the million-dollar rewards.As the World Cup schedule continues to progress, OneBullEx will combine the match data and related content from the report to keep a close eye on the dynamics of the matches, further enriching community participation and match discussions during the World Cup, providing users with more reference perspectives for observing match trends.

Investment bank TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza reiterated a buy rating on Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR), with a target price of $400.

Investment bank TD Cowen's Washington research team managing director Jaret Seiberg released a report on Tuesday stating that the political environment surrounding the CLARITY Act is continuing to deteriorate, and the likelihood of this cryptocurrency market structure bill passing this year is decreasing. Seiberg pointed out that recent controversies involving President Trump make it difficult for Democrats to support the bill without a conflict of interest clause.Seiberg indicated that these events have increased pressure on Democrats to include a conflict of interest clause targeting the president, while also making Republicans reluctant to push legislation that could force them to vote against related amendments. He anticipates that lawmakers may choose to wait and see, but there is limited room for further delays given the upcoming midterm elections. He previously mentioned that the legislative window could extend until the August recess, and if not resolved this year, the passage time could be pushed back to 2027.

According to The Block, TD Cowen analysts raised the target price for Strategy (MSTR) from $385 to $395, implying an increase of over 110% from the current stock price.Analysts believe that Strategy's increased use of STRC (variable rate perpetual preferred stock) to fund Bitcoin acquisitions significantly enhances capital efficiency and is more attractive than the current market pricing. The company has raised over $2 billion through STRC in the first quarter of 2026, totaling over $5 billion for the year.TD Cowen also dismissed market concerns about "perpetual dilution," emphasizing that the annual dividend burden of STRC accounts for only about 2.2% of its Bitcoin holdings' value, which can be covered by moderate Bitcoin appreciation.

TD Cowen pointed out that the disagreements surrounding the stablecoin yield mechanism remain difficult to bridge, which may delay the advancement of the U.S. crypto market structure bill and even affect its chances of passing within the year.Several banking organizations, including the American Bankers Association, have formally opposed the relevant compromise proposals, arguing that allowing crypto platforms to offer stablecoin yields to users would impact traditional banks. Analysts state that the positions of banks and crypto platforms on this issue are opposed, and in the short term, "there is unlikely to be a middle ground," which has become a key obstacle in the current legislative process.

Investment bank TD Cowen stated that the disagreements surrounding the CLARITY Act go beyond the issue of stablecoin yields, and multiple real-world obstacles may slow down the legislative process.First, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is understaffed, with only one commissioner currently in office. In this situation, Congress is unlikely to feel comfortable handing over more cryptocurrency regulatory responsibilities to the agency, and filling the personnel gaps will take months. Second, the issue of prediction markets is heating up. Whether to include it in the bill's regulation, as well as potential insider trading and conflicts of political interest (including controversies related to Trump-related projects), may lead some Democratic lawmakers to oppose the bill.At the same time, the ongoing controversy surrounding the Trump family's cryptocurrency project World Liberty Financial is increasing the political sensitivity of the bill, making bipartisan consensus harder to achieve. Geopolitics has also become a variable. Discussions about Iran potentially using cryptocurrency payments are reinforcing the focus on anti-money laundering provisions and could even introduce amendments detrimental to the industry. Additionally, some lawmakers are attempting to include the Credit Card Competition Act, which, if advanced, could trigger new conflicts of interest and further delay the overall legislation.

TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza reiterated a buy rating on Bitcoin reserve company MSTR and raised the target price to $385.

According to The Block, Jaret Seiberg, Managing Director of TD Cowen's Washington Research Group, expressed that the outlook for the passage of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the "CLARITY Act," is "increasingly pessimistic," with only a one-third chance of passing this year. He pointed out that the recent compromise proposal regarding stablecoin yields is "insufficient" to advance the bill, as it fails to meet the demands of crypto platforms like Coinbase and does little to alleviate banks' concerns about core deposit outflows.Seiberg believes that the bill could only pass if Congress ignores the objections from Coinbase and the banking industry and forcefully pushes through the compromise proposal, but this would be an exception rather than the norm. He anticipates that if the bill makes any progress, it is most likely to occur at the end of July, just before the August recess. Congress is currently in a two-week Easter recess.

The whale Owen Gunden of Wanbi Bitcoin (who previously sold 11,000 BTC, approximately 1.12 billion USD) sold another 650 BTC about 10 hours ago, worth approximately 46.3 million USD.

According to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen stated that the time window for the U.S. to pass the crypto market structure bill may extend to the August recess, breaking the previous expectation that legislation needed to be completed before the Easter recess.Jaret Seiberg, managing director of TD Cowen's Washington research team, pointed out that the Easter recess is not a critical milestone, and legislative work can continue before and after the recess. With the conclusion of the primaries, some lawmakers will have greater flexibility for negotiations. Seiberg believes that the August recess is the last meaningful legislative window, after which Congress will only meet for 12 days in September and 2 days in October, which is only enough time to handle spending bills and defense authorization bills.He also reiterated that if control of Congress changes after the 2026 midterm elections, the bill may be delayed until 2027. It is expected that the House may shift to Democratic control, at which point the Democrats may choose to delay until 2027 to gain greater leverage. Currently, the crypto bill is stalled due to opposition from the banking sector regarding stablecoin yields and the Democrats seeking conflict-of-interest provisions for government officials, but both sides are reportedly close to reaching a compromise. Seiberg stated that if the bill does not pass in 2026, the SEC will provide the regulatory actions needed for the crypto industry.

Investment bank TD Cowen stated that the U.S. Congress may be close to passing legislation to permanently prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). This move could benefit stablecoin issuers but may also introduce new complexities for cryptocurrency market structure legislation.Last week, U.S. Senator Ted Cruz proposed an amendment in the housing bill "21st Century ROAD to Housing Act," calling for a permanent ban on the Federal Reserve issuing CBDC. The amendment aims to convert the currently effective temporary ban, which lasts until 2030, into a permanent provision. The housing bill is expected to be submitted for a Senate vote as early as this week.Jaret Seiberg, Managing Director of TD Cowen's Washington research department, indicated that the housing bill ultimately submitted for the president's signature is likely to include this ban, and the possibility of a permanent ban is higher than that of a temporary one. Seiberg pointed out that the amendment is primarily aimed at solidifying the current policy stance.The Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that it will not issue a digital dollar without explicit authorization from Congress. Meanwhile, several U.S. lawmakers have recently co-signed a letter to congressional leadership, urging for a permanent ban on CBDC. Congressman Ralph Norman stated that unlike cash, CBDC could allow the government to track transactions and monitor individual spending behavior, thus a permanent ban is necessary to protect the privacy and freedom of Americans.It is noteworthy that the U.S. House of Representatives passed the "Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act" last year, which prohibits the Federal Reserve from directly issuing CBDC to individuals. Cruz has also been actively pushing for similar legislation in the Senate.

According to market news, TD Cowen stated that more cryptocurrency companies are expected to obtain such permissions this year, following Kraken's approval for a Federal Reserve master account.Kraken Financial has become the first cryptocurrency company approved to access the Federal Reserve's core payment system, with the Kansas City Fed granting it a one-year "limited purpose" account, subject to undisclosed restrictions based on its business model and risk profile. Kraken qualified for the application due to its possession of a special purpose depository institution license in Wyoming, classified as a "Tier 3" entity by regulators.TD Cowen pointed out that although banking organizations have raised objections and may file lawsuits, banks are powerless to prevent such approvals. The Federal Reserve is expected to limit Kraken's credit services, and it may not be able to earn reserve interest. Other cryptocurrency companies with slower application progress may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to finalize a streamlined review framework.