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According to official news, the Gate Research Institute has released the "Bingwu Year of the Horse Cryptocurrency Feng Shui Guide," which combines traditional Chinese zodiac elements and the current cryptocurrency market environment. It outlines the changes in fortunes for different zodiac signs during the Year of the Horse and analyzes the market trends and rhythms throughout the year. The report points out that the Year of the Horse will have a strong fire element, which may accelerate market rhythms, increase the frequency of capital rotation and narrative switching, and amplify volatility as a potential characteristic.The report also reviews the structural changes in the market during the Year of the Snake and provides layout ideas based on different risk preferences and asset classes, covering mainstream assets, on-chain tools, and stable income strategies. The overall research attempts to map the logic of cryptocurrency market structural evolution from a traditional cyclical perspective, offering multi-dimensional references for investors in making rhythm judgments and risk management in a high-volatility environment.

According to Xinhua News Agency's client report, eight departments have issued a document further emphasizing that virtual currency-related activities are illegal financial activities, and have defined compliance boundaries for RWA tokenization as "strictly prohibited domestically and strictly regulated abroad," specifically naming Shuqin Technology as a pioneer in RWA compliance.It is reported that Shuqin Technology is a blockchain company based in Hangzhou. Public information shows that its founder was involved in founding "Yibit" and served as CTO, being one of the earliest blockchain entrepreneurs in the country. Previously, Shuqin Technology had explored RBA (Real Business Assets), relying on "fully trustworthy data" to structurally present business operations, revenues, and risks, and has formed a "triple credit enhancement" governance framework: supporting asset sustainability with real business, achieving verifiability and traceability with trustworthy data, and preemptively establishing compliance requirements and responsibility boundaries through governance structure. At the same time, Shuqin has introduced the "granular data" methodology, breaking down business into the smallest verifiable units, fully presenting the business process chain to meet key requirements such as authenticity, traceability, and risk isolation, providing underlying support for new productive enterprises to connect with international capital.

According to Cointelegraph, despite previous rumors about Arkham planning to shut down its trading platform Arkham Exchange, Arkham CEO Miguel Morel stated that the cryptocurrency trading platform launched by Arkham Intelligence is not shutting down and is transitioning from a centralized model to a fully decentralized trading platform (DEX).He stated, "The future of crypto trading is decentralized, and that is the direction we are working towards." Arkham Exchange launched in 2024, supporting users for spot crypto trading and perpetual contract trading. The platform released its mobile application by the end of 2025.According to CoinGecko data, as of the time of writing, Arkham's average daily trading volume is approximately $640,000.

According to CoinDesk, on-chain data analytics platform Arkham Intelligence plans to shut down its cryptocurrency trading platform Arkham Exchange. Sources revealed that the trading platform failed to attract sufficient trading volume.Arkham Intelligence first proposed the establishment of a cryptocurrency derivatives exchange in October 2024, aiming to compete with giants like Binance for the retail investor market. By early 2025, Arkham Exchange had offered spot cryptocurrency trading services in several U.S. states and launched a mobile trading application in December.However, according to CoinGecko data, Arkham's trading volume over the past 24 hours was only about $620,000, far below Binance's nearly $9 billion and Coinbase's $2 billion daily trading volume.Arkham Intelligence was founded in 2020 and currently has over 3 million registered users. The company's investors include OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Draper Associates, Binance Labs, and Bedrock.

The United States just experienced a 43-day federal government shutdown last fall, and a week ago, there was a 4-day short shutdown. Now, another shutdown seems to be looming. The latest shutdown appears likely because Washington's Democrats and Republicans still have disagreements over potential reforms to the Trump administration's immigration enforcement practices.The shutdown from January 31 to February 3 ended thanks to a bipartisan spending plan that provided only two weeks of funding for the Department of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), while negotiations over reforms are still ongoing.This stopgap funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) will last until Friday, which means the funding gap for DHS will begin at midnight local time on Saturday. Negotiations have not yet made any breakthroughs, so Washington is preparing for another shutdown, although it will certainly be a partial shutdown, as only the Department of Homeland Security will run out of funds.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, well-known ETH holder and staker, P2P.org and Cyber.Fund co-founder Konstantin Lomashuk (@Lomashuk) seems to be selling ETH.Two wallet addresses possibly related to him transferred 12,458 stETH (approximately $23.76 million) and 2,566 ETH (approximately $5.38 million) to Wintermute.

QCP Capital stated in an official channel that, on a macro level, the clouds of a government shutdown in the U.S. have dissipated, but the key takeaway is that fiscal standoffs may quickly resurface. Funding for the Department of Homeland Security has only been extended until February 13, which means another deadline risk still exists. Additionally, after the U.S. shot down an Iranian drone approaching the "USS Abraham Lincoln" aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, crude oil prices are rebuilding a moderate geopolitical risk premium, but news on the diplomatic front continues to limit its upside potential.Domestically in the U.S., the political maneuvering surrounding the Federal Reserve is heating up again. Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, which reintroduces uncertainty. If investors begin to bet on the increased likelihood of larger rate cuts later this year, this could marginally support risk assets and weaken the dollar, but it will also shift attention to the balance sheet. Warsh has indicated a preference for a quicker reduction of the balance sheet, which will directly impact the underlying liquidity mechanisms of the repo market.A disturbing reminder is that pressure may suddenly emerge when reserves are short at critical junctures. The options market has reinforced cautious signals. Even amidst spot rebounds, short-term (front-end) implied volatility still has buying support, and at-the-money option volatility remains elevated, with the term structure trending towards a slight spot premium, indicating that the market is still paying a premium for the risk of recent price gaps. The downward skew has steepened sharply, and butterfly spread options remain expensive, reflecting that demand is concentrated on convexity protection against a collapse.From a tactical perspective, $75,000 is a key turning point. If it can be held and positions are rebuilt with funding rates returning to normal, this level seems to be a reasonable place to increase risk exposure. If it fails to hold, market sentiment may quickly shift to a defensive stance.

The founder of Aave, Stani.eth, announced the gradual shutdown of the Family iOS wallet, but it will continue to support the Aave App as infrastructure. Aave Labs will no longer use the Avara umbrella brand, which included the Family brand and the Lens brand, while Lens is now managed by Mask.Aave plans to concentrate resources on enhancing the Aave brand awareness to refocus on its DeFi business.

According to Caixin, U.S. President Trump signed a government funding bill in the Oval Office on February 3, ending part of the government "shutdown." Earlier that day, the U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass a funding bill for several federal departments for the remainder of the fiscal year, resolving the deadlock that began with the partial government "shutdown" on January 31.The bill will provide funding for several federal departments until September 30, the end of the fiscal year, and will provide two weeks of funding for the Department of Homeland Security, which has recently faced controversy and protests due to immigration enforcement actions, allowing all parties to continue negotiations on improving the department's operations.

Cobo & F2pool co-founder DiscusFish posted on X platform that Bitcoin has dropped nearly 15% this week. When the price of Bitcoin reaches $75,000, a mining machine with a power of 23.3 W/T will reach the breakeven point (i.e., shutdown price).

According to Antpool data, based on the current Bitcoin mining difficulty and an electricity price of $0.08 per kWh, mining machines including Antminer S19 XP+ Hyd, Bitmain M60S, and Avalon A1466I have reached the shutdown coin price. The Antminer S21 series (S21, S21+, S21 Hyd.) is close to the shutdown coin price, ranging from approximately $69,000 to $74,000.In addition, high-performance mining machines such as Antminer U3S23H and Antminer S23 Hyd have a shutdown coin price above $44,000.

According to Jin Shi citing NBC News, U.S. House Speaker Johnson stated that he is confident of securing enough votes to end part of the government shutdown by at least Tuesday.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced on the X platform that due to funding expiration and the partial shutdown of the U.S. government, the SEC is currently operating according to the agency's plan during the shutdown. Starting from January 31, 2026, until further notice, only a very small number of staff will continue to work.

As the U.S. government enters a partial shutdown due to the failure to pass the budget proposal before the deadline, sentiment in the crypto market has turned cautious, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices under pressure, and BTC just dipping below $83,000. Although the Senate has passed a temporary funding measure, the House of Representatives will need to vote after reconvening on Monday, resulting in a technical shutdown over the weekend. Traders have already begun to adopt defensive strategies ahead of the House vote next Monday.Analysts believe that the shutdown itself has limited economic impact, but combined with low liquidity over the weekend and intense political news, it may increase the short-term volatility risk in the crypto market.

According to Jin Ten, in the early morning of the 31st local time, the U.S. government officially began a partial shutdown. Previously, the U.S. Senate passed a spending bill to fund most departments of the federal government and submitted the bill to the House of Representatives for review. However, since House members are not in Washington and will not return until Monday (February 2), the Senate's vote could not prevent a partial government shutdown.

According to CoinDesk, as the U.S. Congress failed to complete the full legislative process for the funding bill, the U.S. government is expected to enter a short-term, partial shutdown starting Saturday Eastern Time. However, this event also highlights the issue of "definition precision" in prediction markets. The prediction contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding "whether the U.S. government will shut down" show differences due to varying definitions of triggering conditions. The relevant contracts on Polymarket indicate a shutdown probability of about 88%, while similar contracts on Kalshi have a probability as high as approximately 93%. This discrepancy may be because some contracts consider the formal announcement of a shutdown by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) as the basis for settlement, meaning that even a partial shutdown is regarded as valid. This event underscores the sensitivity of prediction markets to contract triggering conditions, official confirmation entities, and timelines in macro events, with the details of the contracts themselves becoming an important factor influencing the odds.

According to Jinshi Data, the director of the White House Office of Management and Budget issued a memorandum to department heads, instructing agencies whose funding will expire at midnight to begin preparations for a government shutdown. These agencies include the Department of Defense, the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of State, the Department of the Treasury, the Department of Labor, the Department of Health and Human Services, the Department of Education, the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Las Water stated, "Given that Congress clearly cannot complete its work before the funding deadline, the affected agencies should now implement an orderly shutdown plan. Employees should report to work on time, fulfill their next regular job responsibilities, and carry out orderly shutdown activities. The government will continue to work with Congress to address the recently raised issues and complete the appropriations for fiscal year 2026. We hope this shutdown will not last long."

The Hurun Research Institute today released the "2026 Hurun Quality Life Report for High Net Worth Individuals in China," which states: "The commonly used information platforms are Xiaohongshu and Douyin, the commonly used AIs are DeepSeek and Doubao, and the most followed financial bloggers are Wu Xiaobo Channel, Xiao Lin Says, and Ren Zeping."61% of the surveyed high net worth individuals frequently use Xiaohongshu for information, which is 13 percentage points higher than Douyin. 32% of high net worth individuals frequently watch WeChat Video Accounts, and 24% frequently watch Bilibili. The enthusiasm for Eastmoney and Zhihu exceeds 20%, while Tonghuashun and Wind Info receive 14% enthusiasm.By age group, over 70% of U25 individuals use Xiaohongshu and Douyin as their most common information platforms, while U40 and those over 45 prefer to use Video Accounts. The audience for professional investment software like Eastmoney, Wind Info, and Tonghuashun is mainly U35 and U40.The top three financial bloggers that high net worth individuals most frequently follow are Wu Xiaobo Channel (38%), Xiao Lin Says (23%), and Ren Zeping (17%).The most commonly used AI assistants among the surveyed high net worth individuals are DeepSeek and Doubao. By age group, U25 most frequently uses ChatGPT, while U30, U35, U40, and U45 predominantly use DeepSeek, and respondents over 45 most frequently use Doubao.

The product lead of X and Solana advisor Nikita Bier initiated a vote titled "Are you happy or sad about closing the X Community?" The voting content is: "If the X Community is closed, will you be happy or sad?" It is reported that the vote will end in 23 hours, with the current sad ratio at 53.9% and the happy ratio at 46.1%.