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Zhao Changpeng: This year has not been a good year for the crypto field, but the progress of RWA and stablecoins is unexpected

Zhao Changpeng appeared on the podcast "Meanders" and discussed the pressures, adaptability, and lifelong motivation in the cryptocurrency field. When talking about pressure, Zhao Changpeng stated, "I generally do not set goals; I just do my best. This year the market is not good, so the company's performance may decline, but I have tried my best, I did not slack off, and I did not make any major mistakes. I handle problems in the same way.""No matter how difficult the problem is, I just try my best to deal with it. I also believe in simulation theory; I believe this world is simulated, so it’s like a game. It is simulated, but that does not mean this game is unimportant. However, in this game, I just need to do my best; you try your best to handle it, and after handling it, you can only wait, just lie back and win."Zhao Changpeng mentioned the industry, saying, "As for blockchain itself, I think the improvement in performance is still too slow. But because Bitcoin upgrades slowly, it is particularly stable, which is also an advantage. So there are advantages and disadvantages. Many of the ideas we had in the early days had many implementations, many that were not implemented, and many unexpected things happened."Regarding RWA, he said, "Even a year and a half ago, I would have doubted whether RWA could succeed, but now it is growing very fast. To be honest, I might have had some doubts about stablecoins five years ago, wondering how long they could last; at that time, I did not fully understand them. Stablecoins have their own uses. So these things are all things we did not think of before."

first_img Analysis: Cryptocurrency market makers profit from basis trading during the Bitcoin rebound, rather than betting on direction

According to CoinDesk, as Bitcoin surged from about $62,000 to over $77,000 last week, liquidating approximately $3 billion in leveraged short positions, major crypto market makers such as Abraxas Capital, Fasanara Capital, and Wintermute quietly established short positions in perpetual contracts worth hundreds of millions of dollars on Hyperliquid.Lookonchain data shows that the three institutions collectively hold short positions of 138,569 ETH (approximately $338 million) and 3,425 BTC (approximately $265 million); meanwhile, Abraxas Capital withdrew 73,872 ETH (approximately $173 million) from Binance in the past four days.This strategy is known as cash arbitrage or basis trading: traders hold spot positions while shorting an equivalent amount of assets through perpetual contracts to hedge against price volatility risks, primarily earning the funding rates paid by longs to shorts. In previous months, funding rates were long suppressed or even turned negative, but this month's rebound has quickly turned funding rates positive, reopening the arbitrage window. Aegis data shows that the 30-day average funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts on August 24 reached an annualized 6.7%, with a 7-day average of 8.7%; 21shares capital markets noted that basis trading for mainstream assets like Solana is also becoming lucrative.This trading has extended to regulated markets: Glassnode data shows that CME Bitcoin futures open interest has risen from about 87,000 BTC to 122,000 BTC.

Data: The pre-market price spreads of popular stocks generally rose, with Robinhood (HOOD) up 2.62%

During the weekend market closure of traditional markets, the perpetual contract types of stocks on the exchange may be priced in advance for Monday's market. According to RootData, most popular stocks are above Friday's after-hours levels:Robinhood (HOOD) is currently at $106.90, up 2.62% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $104.17;SK Hynix (SKHY) is currently at $163.96, up 1.82% from the last trading day's closing reference price of $161.04;IREN (IREN) is currently at $35.99, up 1.58% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $35.43;Strategy (MSTR) is currently at $129.22, up 1.46% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $127.36;Semiconductor 3x Long ETF (SOXL) is currently at $112.81, up 1.27% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $111.39;Gold Mining Stocks ETF (GDX) is currently at $100.91, up 1.25% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $99.66;SanDisk (SNDK) is currently at $1,501.31, up 1.15% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $1,484.30;Seagate (STX) is currently at $831.98, down 1.04% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $840.73;Circle (CRCL) is currently at $87.94, up 0.94% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $87.12;TSMC (TSM) is currently at $421.26, up 0.91% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $417.46;

Former Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve: The default choice now is to raise interest rates, and Waller's speech reverses the previous logic of the Federal Reserve

Nick Timiraos, the "Fed Whisperer," stated that Fed Chair Waller has quelled some concerns about his strategy to combat inflation, but has also laid the groundwork for a larger test that may come in three weeks. If the Fed raises interest rates, it could anger the White House just weeks before the midterm elections. If they hold steady, it may reignite the doubts that Waller's remarks have calmed.Two points from Waller's speech on Friday particularly suggest that the Fed may raise rates next month. The first point is that Waller finds it difficult to describe the current financial conditions as restrictive. The second point is that the relatively positive inflation data over the summer has not convinced him that the underlying trend is improving. The Fed's default choice before Friday was to hold steady unless the data was strong enough to warrant action.Former Fed Vice Chair Cohen stated that Waller's remarks have reversed this logic. "He has changed the original assumption; it is now that they will raise rates unless the data shows it is unnecessary." This means that the final decision will depend on changes in the situation before the September meeting, especially the August CPI released on September 11. Cohen stated that if the data indicates that action is unnecessary, the Fed should not raise rates; if the data is strong, it could weaken the argument that inflation is moving back toward the Fed's 2% target.
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