US CPI

Greeks.Live: Focus on the release of US CPI data next week, as the market awaits the fulfillment of various promises made by Trump during his presidency

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.Live analyst Adam posted that Bitcoin has retraced after failing to breach the $100,000 mark, with ETF funds continuing to flow out. Trump is about to officially take office as President of the United States, but major speculative markets are filled with risk-averse sentiment, leading to significant declines in U.S. stocks. Next week (January 13 to 19), the market focus will be on the release of the U.S. CPI data on Wednesday. This will be the most important macro data before Trump's inauguration, and the market is now waiting for the various promises made by Trump to be fulfilled.In the options market, due to ample institutional margins, there is a large sell-off whenever there is an opportunity to sell, resulting in a noticeable decline in short- to medium-term implied volatility (IV). From the options trading perspective, large bullish options trades are active, mainly used to supplement institutional short positions, with January options being relatively undervalued and March options being relatively overvalued.In addition, new EU regulations require cryptocurrency exchanges to comply with travel rule guidelines and strengthen anti-money laundering measures, with exchanges like Deribit needing to improve KYC to operate normally. In the interest rate market, Bitfinex's interest rate market has recently performed steadily, and it is recommended to actively trade at appropriate rates, especially during market volatility.

4E: U.S. stocks recorded their best weekly performance of the year, with attention this week on U.S. CPI data and Powell's speech

ChainCatcher news, last week the "Trump Trade" created a stir in the market. Trump's return to the White House and the Republican Party's potential landslide victory in Congress, along with the Federal Reserve's expected 25 basis point rate cut, have settled two major risk events, driving a significant rebound in the financial markets.According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks surged rapidly, with all three major indices hitting new highs last week, and the Dow Jones and S&P 500 recorded their best weekly performance of the year. Specifically, the S&P 500 index rose 4.66% over the week, the Dow gained 4.61%, and the Nasdaq increased by 5.74%. Tesla soared to a new high since April 2022, with a weekly gain of 29.01%, pushing its market cap above $1 trillion. Nvidia briefly surpassed Apple to become the world's most valuable company, with a weekly increase of 9.03%. The total market capitalization of the seven tech giants grew by nearly $94 billion over the week.Benefiting from Trump's support for cryptocurrencies and the prospect of pro-crypto lawmakers in Congress, Bitcoin broke through the $80,000 mark, setting a new historical high. As of the time of publication, it was at $81,635, with a 7-day cumulative increase of over 18%. Ethereum was reported at $3,207, with a 7-day cumulative increase of over 30%. Altcoins collectively surged, generally outperforming the market, boosting market sentiment.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index rose last week, with a cumulative increase of 0.6% over six consecutive weeks, while non-U.S. currencies were generally under pressure. Oil prices experienced significant fluctuations over the week; early in the week, OPEC+ announced another delay in production increases, causing oil prices to rise sharply. However, U.S. EIA crude oil supplies hit a new high since August, dragging down the weekly oil price gains, with Brent crude rising 1.09% for the week. Spot gold fell 1.85% over the week due to a stronger dollar and the Federal Reserve's indication of an open attitude towards pausing rate cuts.With the U.S. elections concluded, investors will now refocus on the outlook for monetary policy and corporate earnings, continuing to assess the impact of Trump's policy expectations. This week, many Federal Reserve officials will speak, and the latest U.S. CPI data, PPI data, and retail sales figures will serve as important references for investors to gauge the health of the U.S. economy and the extent of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts in 2025. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

4E Exchange: US CPI declines for five consecutive months, but core inflation remains stubborn, expectations for interest rate cuts are hit

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E Exchange observation, the year-on-year growth rate of the U.S. CPI in August fell to 2.5%, marking a decline for the fifth consecutive month, but the core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exceeding expectations. The market has lowered its expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, with the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut rising to 85%.After the data was released, U.S. stocks experienced a V-shaped rebound following an initial drop at the open, with all three major indices closing higher. The Dow Jones increased slightly by 0.31%, the Nasdaq rose by 2.17%, and the S&P 500 index gained 1.07%. Tech stocks led the rebound, with Nvidia rising over 8%. In the foreign exchange and commodities markets, the U.S. dollar index surged, putting pressure on non-U.S. currencies, while gold experienced significant volatility.CPI data indicates that the Federal Reserve is approaching its 2% target, a change that will support future rate cuts, benefiting risk assets and supporting the long-term rise of U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency assets like Bitcoin. However, the Fed's focus on core inflation may lead to a more cautious monetary policy, limiting the short-term upside potential for the market.4E Exchange is a financial trading platform supporting assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodity gold, and foreign exchange, and is a platinum sponsor for Token2049 in 2024. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.
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