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According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, with only a few days left until the SpaceX IPO, market expectations continue to rise. Currently, there are almost no signs that SpaceX will raise the expected offering price of $135, which means that the target fundraising scale of $75 billion has been sufficiently covered by subscriptions.Meanwhile, the related pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts for SpaceX are quoted at $157 on Hyperliquid and $169 on Binance, both significantly higher than the expected offering price, with implied valuations on both platforms approaching $2 trillion. Although the price has retreated from the previous high of around $200, the predictive market still gives a 68% probability that SpaceX will have a valuation exceeding $2 trillion by the end of the year, indicating that traders generally expect a strong performance upon listing.

According to PYMNTS, the comment period for the implementation rules of the GENIUS Act by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) ended on June 9. The proposal clearly states that payment stablecoins themselves do not qualify as deposits insured by the FDIC, and stablecoin holders do not enjoy pass-through deposit insurance. Industry feedback indicates significant disagreements in the payment sector.Traditional institutions such as banks strongly oppose incentives like yields, rewards, or cashback offered by stablecoins, arguing that this would attract deposits away from banks, harming local lending capacity, and calling for a clear prohibition on any form of compensation within the stablecoin ecosystem; the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) technical committee suggested that the FDIC require the adoption of machine-readable reporting formats and Legal Entity Identifiers (LEI) to enhance transparency, regulatory information sharing, and data quality.

A Spanish La Liga football club faces the risk of relegation before the final match of the season. To avoid losses in ticket and broadcasting rights revenue due to relegation, the club's owner placed a bet of millions of dollars on the prediction market Kalshi against their own relegation.In the end, the club lost the last match 0 to 1 but still managed to avoid relegation. Sources revealed that the counterparty of this transaction was the quantitative trading firm Susquehanna, which profited over 1 million dollars from this deal. The transaction was facilitated by Game Point Capital, an agency that assists professional and college teams in managing risks, with intermediary services provided by Greenlight Commodities.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $55,366 in the "Spurs vs. Knicks" event, targeting the "Spurs vs. Knicks" market. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 47%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $59,028.26 in the "Spurs vs. Knicks" event. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 54%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2", the "Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5)" sub-market's "Monte" option has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90.5% (a fluctuation of 40.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Forbes, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan in Canada is expected to gain substantial returns from the SpaceX IPO. The fund invested approximately $220 million in SpaceX in 2019 when the company's valuation was around $33 billion to $36 billion.If SpaceX goes public as planned at $135 per share, with an estimated valuation of about $1.75 trillion, the shares held by the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan would rise to approximately $11.6 billion, with potential paper gains exceeding $11 billion. As of the end of 2025, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan manages assets of about $279.4 billion, covering 346,000 active and retired teachers.The fund's Chief Investment Officer Gillian Brown previously stated that an IPO does not necessarily mean an exit point, and they may continue to hold shares in the future to see if SpaceX can initiate a new growth cycle after acquiring xAI. Notably, the fund had invested about $95 million in FTX in 2022 and wrote down that investment to zero after FTX's bankruptcy. However, benefiting from strong performances from projects like SpaceX, its venture capital portfolio is still expected to achieve a 30% growth by 2025.Currently, some institutions are cautious about SpaceX's valuation. Morningstar believes its fair valuation is less than half of the IPO target. Based on a $1.75 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's wealth, holding about 41% of the shares, is expected to rise further, potentially making him the world's first trillionaire.

Recently, the global memory chip sector has been active, with the expansion of AI computing power and the ongoing construction of data centers continuously driving market demand for high-performance storage products, attracting widespread attention from investors. According to Gate market data, Micron Technology (MU) reached a high of $933.49 in 24 hours, currently reported at $906.52, with a 24-hour increase of 3.49%; SK Hynix (SKHYNIX) reached a high of $1348.10 in 24 hours, currently reported at $1318.40, with a 24-hour increase of 8.31%. According to CoinGlass data, the trading volume of Gate MU (Micron Technology) contracts reached $11.3353 million in 24 hours, and the trading volume of Gate SKHYNIX (SK Hynix) contracts reached $3.9042 million in 24 hours, both ranking among the industry leaders, with the trading heat of related assets continuing to rise.

The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched operations "Gobi" and "Wind Shield" to combat illegal betting on sports through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police pointed out that in recent years, illegal gambling has shown a trend of digitalization, including online betting, social media attracting gamblers, and using virtual currency for bets. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, betting with illegal bookmakers can result in a maximum sentence of 9 months and a fine of 50,000 HKD, accepting bets can lead to a maximum sentence of 7 years and a fine of 5 million HKD, and money laundering can result in a maximum sentence of 14 years and a fine of 5 million HKD. The police also shared a case of a young person who was once addicted to illegal gambling, who owed a maximum of 160,000 HKD at his peak. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have a risk of developing gambling disorders of over 80%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $64,314.94 in the "Spurs vs. Knicks" event, specifically targeting the "Spurs vs. Knicks" market. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 46%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $75,249.39 in the event "Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 19%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $1,463,170.33 in the event "Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 82%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs," the "Over" option in the sub-market "Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 (Game 2)" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted an analysis of the recent Bitcoin price trend on the X platform, noting that the current Bitcoin price is in the $62,000 range, having dropped nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a decline of 24% over the past month. The price has crossed the upper range of its pricing framework, entering a valuation cluster area where historical cycles have previously shown bottoms.Rafael further pointed out that market bottoms cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be defined through probability ranges and key price levels to identify potential bottom signals. Bitcoin has fallen below the median holder breakeven line for the first time since December 2022, currently situated within a broader support range: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average price is around $61,700.The current high-probability bottom range may be between $46,000 and $54,000, with a rare "sell-off tail" below that range of $35,000 to $40,000. It is important to note that the magnitude of cyclical pullbacks is gradually decreasing: previous rounds of lows saw declines of about 85%, 84%, and 77%, while this round has only dropped about 50%, indicating that a high-probability bottom is more likely to be in the upper range, though extreme sell-off possibilities cannot be ruled out.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale has made a single purchase of $100,000 on the "World Cup Champion" event for "Portugal." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 90.22%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $137,386.62 in the "Spurs vs. Knicks" event. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 45%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $65,100 in the event "Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 93%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs. BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs," the option "Team Yandex" in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 48.5% an hour ago to the current 73.5% (a fluctuation of 25%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movement is predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $103,321.64 in the event "Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 82%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $194,113.34 in the event "Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 81.99%.