citi

According to Jinshi reports, Citigroup strategists have stated that the excessive bullish positions in U.S. tech stocks are putting investors at risk of a market reversal.The Citigroup team pointed out that the ongoing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence has pushed bullish market bets to the limit, particularly making the Nasdaq 100 index vulnerable to shocks. Since hitting a bottom in late March, the S&P 500 index has risen by 20%, and the Nasdaq 100 index has soared by 33%.

In the latest report titled "Tokenization 2030: Wall Street On-Chain" released by Citigroup, it is estimated that the market size for tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) will grow from the current approximately $17 billion to $5.5 trillion by 2030. Depending on different adoption speed scenarios, the market size range may be between $2.7 trillion and $8.2 trillion.The report predicts that by 2030, approximately 10% of the U.S. short-term treasury market and 3% of the public equity market will be tokenized. At the same time, the expansion of the stablecoin market may bring about $1 trillion in new demand for U.S. treasuries; if 10% of U.S. retail investors shift to digital trading platforms, it is expected to create approximately $2.6 trillion in digital equity demand.Citigroup believes that as traditional financial assets gradually move on-chain, tokenization is expected to become an important bridge connecting Wall Street with blockchain infrastructure and drive the digital transformation of global capital markets.

According to Jinshi reports, a research report from CITIC Securities points out that the current pace of the Federal Reserve's leadership transition is steady. In the next two years, among the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board, only Jerome Powell may see changes due to the end of his term in 2028.New Chairman Waller was sworn in on May 22 and did not release any dovish signals. Overall, the dovish forces within the Federal Reserve have significantly weakened, with a neutral and slightly hawkish policy stance prevailing, but attention still needs to be paid to factors such as the U.S. economic situation and geopolitical conflict risks.

According to Jinshi reports, sources say that OpenAI has discussed its upcoming IPO with Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and others. The sources indicate that Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase may join Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley in preparing for the listing.The sources state that discussions with Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase do not guarantee that they will ultimately participate in this IPO. Other investment banks may also eventually get involved.

According to the official website of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), SEC Commissioner Hester M. Peirce delivered a speech at the "Regulating the PETshop Series" seminar at Georgetown University Law Center, calling for the inclusion of Privacy-Enhancing Technologies (PETs) in the financial regulatory framework.She criticized the current regulatory approach for being overly inclined towards government surveillance, arguing that technology should serve to protect personal privacy rather than expand the scope of surveillance, and pointed out that blockchain public wallet addresses can reduce the risk of personal information leakage for investors while meeting compliance requirements.Peirce also invited technology teams that can minimize personal information collection while meeting KYC and anti-money laundering regulatory requirements to actively collaborate with the SEC's Crypto Task Force.

According to the "Urban Renewal '14th Five-Year' Plan" issued by the State Council on May 22, 2026, the State Council clearly proposed to promote the empowerment of blockchain technology in housing transactions, property registration, and other fields to enhance the intelligence and refinement of urban governance.The plan simultaneously deploys the construction of a City Information Model (CIM) basic platform, creating a compact, unified, data-integrated, and efficient collaborative urban digital foundation. It aims to improve the CIM basic database and standard system, advance the coding of housing construction and municipal facilities, build a national basic information database for housing construction and municipal facilities, and establish a three-tier urban operation management service platform system at the national, provincial, and city levels, promoting a "one network for unified management" of urban operations.

Ju.com’s official Chinese account has issued a notice stating that to cooperate with the financial audit of the group’s listing entity, the platform will initiate a special compliance review to enhance the transparency of fund management and the security of accounts.The notice requires users to promptly supplement or update KYC compliance materials according to the prompts on the page. Withdrawals can only be requested after submission and approval. The platform indicated that the withdrawal process is expected to return to normal after the completion of the financial audit.

CITIC Securities believes that the U.S. and Iran are increasingly close to reaching an agreement, and the market has basically priced this as the baseline scenario. The biggest change after reaching an agreement will be the simultaneous replenishment of supply and demand and a rapid warming of economic activity. Currently, some economic indicators are noticeably weak, reflecting a delay in demand ahead of the U.S.-Iran agreement and the resumption of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Micro entities are waiting rather than rushing to replenish inventory and start operations, which is an abnormal disturbance. As the agreement is reached and navigation in the Strait is restored, supply and demand will return to normal, and economic activity will show significant improvement after June. Changes in macro variables will also alter the environmental assumptions of market strategies, leading to a gradual balancing of styles. The reduction of large funds is nearing its end, and after macro stability is achieved, allocation funds will gradually return, driving the recovery of some undervalued sectors. In terms of allocation, continue to actively reduce volatility and reconstruct the barbell structure of AI + energy.

According to Bits.media, the Central Bank of Russia aims to prohibit Russian citizens from trading on cryptocurrency exchanges that comply with international sanctions. Ekaterina Lozgacheva, head of the Central Bank's Strategic Development Department, stated that the Central Bank plans to ban Russians from trading on foreign cryptocurrency exchanges that adhere to international sanctions. Russians can only trade cryptocurrencies on foreign platforms through Russian brokers, provided that these foreign platforms do not comply with international sanctions.The country's central bank will establish its own standards for foreign platforms that Russian brokers and investors can use. Lozgacheva noted that even trading cryptocurrencies abroad through Russian intermediaries is subject to foreign regulation, posing additional risks. The annual purchase limit for non-professional investors is set at 300,000 rubles, and they can only access the most liquid cryptocurrency assets through domestic brokers. A test must be completed before trading, and qualified investors are not subject to the limit but must also undergo testing. Relevant restrictions will be included in the second reading version of the draft "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law," with key provisions expected to take effect on July 1.

According to CoinDesk, Citibank stated in its latest report that the progress of quantum computing technology is faster than the market expected, accelerating the potential security risks faced by cryptocurrencies and internet infrastructure, with Bitcoin being considered one of the assets with the "greatest risk exposure." The report points out that the ECDSA elliptic curve cryptography system currently used by Bitcoin could theoretically be cracked by sufficiently powerful quantum computers. In the future, attackers may be able to derive private keys from publicly disclosed public keys, allowing them to forge transactions and steal assets.Citibank analyst Alex Saunders stated that due to its relatively conservative governance mechanism and slow protocol upgrade speed, Bitcoin is more difficult to quickly complete quantum-resistant upgrades compared to PoS networks like Ethereum. The report estimates that there are currently about 6.5 million to 6.9 million BTC at potential quantum risk due to exposed public keys, accounting for about one-third of the current circulating supply, valued at approximately $450 billion at current prices. This includes some early P2PK addresses and wallets believed to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto.Citibank also warns of the "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" risk, where attackers currently collect encrypted data and wait until future quantum computing power matures to decrypt it all at once.However, Citibank remains optimistic about the long-term adaptability of the cryptocurrency industry, believing that blockchain can still migrate through post-quantum cryptography and protocol reconstruction in the future. The report mentions that the BIP-360 and BIP-361 upgrade proposals currently being discussed by the Bitcoin community are worth paying attention to.

According to Jinshi reports, CITIC Securities' research report states that U.S. inflation continued to be elevated in April, and the spillover effects of the Middle East conflict are still ongoing, with rising rental inflation pushing up core readings. High inflation continues to erode the real purchasing power of American households, with low-income families facing a stronger cost shock, and real hourly wages have returned to negative growth year-on-year for the first time in three years. CITIC Securities believes that the risk of secondary inflation in the U.S. is low, but high oil prices will constrain the space for inflation rates to decline within the year, and under the baseline scenario, it still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points within the year.

According to Jinshi reports, Citic Securities' research report states that in April 2026, the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate of 4.3% met expectations. The bank believes that the April data better reflects the current state of the U.S. job market compared to the previous two months, mainly due to a reduction in one-time factors and a higher corporate response rate. Regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, if the situation in Iran eases and falling oil prices lead to a cooling of inflation expectations, the baseline scenario for the second half of the year is a rate cut of 25 basis points once.

In February this year, several Chinese citizens were raided by the police at a rented villa in Country Heights, Kajang, Malaysia. The police claimed to suspect that the Chinese citizens were involved in fraud, and subsequently, the Chinese citizens were forced to transfer about $50,000 (approximately 200,000 ringgit) in USDT. The police later arrested 12 officers involved in the case and removed them from frontline duties, but the investigation still awaits technical reports and digital evidence results, and there has been no breakthrough to date.Lawyer Charles, representing eight Chinese victims, stated that the investigation is progressing too slowly. Since the arrest of the 12 involved police officers, there has been no further information, raising suspicions of internal interference attempting to suppress the case. He warned that if there is internal protection, he will file a complaint with the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission.

The People's Court of Haidian District, Beijing, disclosed a case involving virtual currency "box opening." The defendant illegally obtained citizens' personal information through encrypted communication tools and other channels, unlawfully acquiring over 900 million pieces of information data, building a "social engineering database" website storing over 170 million pieces of citizens' personal information, and profiting by selling it in exchange for virtual currency. Additionally, they used encrypted communication tools to establish a "box opening hang person" group to publish illegal information that infringes on privacy.The court sentenced the principal offender, Lin, to 7 years in prison for the crime of infringing on citizens' personal information and the crime of illegally using information networks, and imposed a fine of 70,000 yuan.

According to Jinshi reports, Citic Securities' research report indicates that after Waller takes office as the Federal Reserve Chairman, the baseline scenario for the second half of the year is expected to include one rate cut of 25 basis points. The report emphasizes the need to closely monitor the speeches of the 12 current voting members, as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path depends more on the balance of votes among FOMC members, and the guiding role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's personal speeches on the market has decreased compared to the past.

On-chain detective ZachXBT questioned Kraken's due diligence process for the listing of $M (Memecore) spot trading on July 3, 2025, stating that approximately 7.9 million $M had been withdrawn from Kraken to 18 newly created addresses, of which a total of about 11.7 million $M is currently held, valued at approximately $39.8 million at the current price.He also mentioned that a suspected Memecore team address received 200 million $M during the token generation event (TGE) and transferred 5.3 million $M to the Kraken deposit address on July 3, 2025.

The Central Bank of Russia stated that it plans to require its citizens to declare their cryptocurrency assets held overseas after the new round of cryptocurrency regulatory rules comes into effect.Vladimir Chistyukhin, the First Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Russia, pointed out that the new regulations will strengthen KYC requirements for exchanges to enhance transaction transparency. He also emphasized that regulation does not prohibit individuals or institutions from holding cryptocurrency assets in overseas wallets, but they must declare them to the federal tax authority. This measure is expected to come into effect in July along with the relevant regulatory framework.

According to Jinshi reports, Citigroup's strategists have upgraded the rating of the U.S. stock market from "neutral" to "overweight," stating that the increasing uncertainty of the war situation makes investors more inclined to choose companies with higher quality and stronger defenses. At the same time, they downgraded the rating of emerging market stocks from "overweight" to "neutral," citing that these markets are vulnerable to energy shocks and the strengthening of the dollar.

According to Jinshi News, a research report from CITIC Securities states that the overall inflation in the U.S. in March rose significantly due to soaring oil prices, while core inflation showed moderate performance. It is expected that the April CPI may continue to record a relatively high growth rate month-on-month due to compensatory increases in rental inflation. If the pace of oil price decline is slow, the U.S. CPI year-on-year may continue to exceed 3% for the remainder of the year. CITIC Securities still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points within the year, and the dollar may experience weak fluctuations in the near term.

According to Jinshi reports, Citigroup economists have preliminarily estimated that the month-on-month increase in March's core PCE, combined with today's CPI data, will be 0.3%.This level is higher than the 2% year-on-year target set by the Federal Reserve, but better than the 0.4% increase in February. The Citigroup team pointed out that they still need to incorporate PPI data to make a more accurate prediction of PCE.