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BTC $62,082.95 +0.58%
ETH $1,639.98 -0.33%
BNB $591.34 -0.04%
XRP $1.11 -2.42%
SOL $64.56 -0.57%
TRX $0.3225 -0.07%
DOGE $0.0840 -1.26%
ADA $0.1622 -1.26%
BCH $199.93 -1.77%
LINK $7.71 -1.16%
HYPE $55.77 -5.63%
AAVE $62.72 +2.31%
SUI $0.7423 -0.61%
XLM $0.1867 -4.08%
ZEC $427.63 -5.89%

deca

Analyst: To support a valuation of about $1.75 trillion, SpaceX's revenue needs to grow nearly 60 times in the next decade, an unprecedented increase

According to a report by Fortune, David Trainer, CEO of research firm New Constructs, analyzed that to support a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion, SpaceX needs to increase its annual revenue to about $1.1 trillion by 2035, which is nearly a 60-fold increase from $18.7 billion in 2025, equivalent to maintaining an average annual revenue growth rate of about 50% over the next decade.According to the prospectus previously submitted by SpaceX, the company's revenue in 2025 is projected to be $18.7 billion, with a net loss of $4.9 billion. Trainer calculated based on a discounted cash flow model that if investors want to achieve an annualized return of about 10% over the next decade, SpaceX must achieve the aforementioned growth targets.Analysis indicates that if it reaches a revenue scale of $1.1 trillion, SpaceX's revenue would account for about 2.4% of the U.S. GDP in 2035, with an economic scale exceeding the entire U.S. utility industry and approaching three-quarters of the U.S. transportation industry.Trainer stated that although the artificial intelligence market has vast potential, many competitors, including Alphabet, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and OpenAI, are competing for market share, and SpaceX lacks historical precedent to achieve such a scale of growth. He believes that SpaceX could not only become the largest IPO in history but also the most expensive in terms of valuation.

Brevis co-founder Michael: In the next decade, 99% of blockchain computing will move off-chain, and ZK proofs will become key infrastructure

At the "Build and Scale in 2026" themed forum held by ChainCatcher in Hong Kong, Michael, co-founder & CEO of the ZK verifiable computing platform Brevis, delivered a keynote speech on "The Infinite Computing Layer Where Everything Can Be Computed," sharing how ZK technology is driving a fundamental transformation in the blockchain computing paradigm.Michael pointed out that the current on-chain computing costs are high and the speed is slow. The "verifiable computing" paradigm proposed by Brevis can offload heavy computations to off-chain, requiring only low-cost verification on-chain, achieving decoupling of computation and verification while supporting privacy protection scenarios.The speech showcased the performance breakthroughs of Brevis's core product, Pico ZKVM: its latest generation, Pico Prism, can complete Ethereum block proofs in an average of 6.9 seconds, with 99.6% of blocks completed within 12 seconds, achieving real-time proof (RTP) for Ethereum for the first time. Currently, Pico ZKVM, as an "on-chain ZK data co-processor," has been applied in various scenarios such as privacy-preserving incentive distribution, high-performance DeFi, and trustless on-chain data computation, providing Rust programming support for developers with zero ZK development experience.Michael predicts that in the next 10 years, 99% of blockchain computing will occur off-chain, verified through ZK proofs. Brevis is driving this process through its verifiable computing infrastructure.

Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin returns may be steady and upward in the next decade, but explosive growth is unlikely

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that Bitcoin is expected to achieve sustained and robust returns over the next decade, but it is unlikely to replicate extreme annual gains. He pointed out that Bitcoin may enter a "long-term slow upward" phase, accompanied by relatively lower volatility, but will still experience periodic pullbacks. Hougan also maintains his view that Bitcoin will strengthen overall by 2026, believing that there is still upward potential for prices next year.Hougan believes that the recent pullback in Bitcoin has significantly converged compared to historical cycles, mainly due to the continuous and slow inflow of institutional funds, which provides support against price declines. ReserveOne Chief Investment Officer Sebastian Beau stated that there is still controversy over whether the four-year cycle of Bitcoin has ended, as the current price has quickly fallen about 30% from its peak, but has not yet experienced the deep adjustments of over 60% seen in previous cycles. Some market participants remain cautious, with trader Peter Brandt expecting Bitcoin to potentially dip to $60,000 in the third quarter of 2026.Regarding macro and policy factors, Hougan believes that the marginal impact of the Trump administration on Bitcoin prices is limited, as the regulatory stance on its "commodity attributes" has become relatively clear, and future policy changes may no longer serve as a major driving force for price increases.
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