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Trump stated that we may reach an agreement with the Democrats at some point.Trump mentioned that if the Democrats win a majority in the midterm elections on Tuesday, he may have to become "Mr. Veto." "They will keep sending bills, and you just veto them," he said, "After a month or two, when all the proposals have been vetoed— you know, these bills are a complete waste— they will come to negotiate with me."Trump will hold campaign rallies in Kansas and Iowa on Sunday, seeking to help the Republicans maintain control of Congress. Polls show that Trump's low approval ratings give the Democrats a chance to win at least one chamber, or even both. "I hope we don't have to go that route," he said.

A White House official and two insiders revealed that the White House has been preparing for the possibility of a Democratic takeover of Congress for months, developing plans to continue advancing key parts of its agenda through executive power while also preparing for congressional investigations into the Trump administration.Three insiders stated that since April, senior officials, including White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller and Budget Director Russell Vought, have been working with the White House Counsel's Office to outline executive actions that Trump could take without congressional approval, covering areas such as immigration, tariffs, housing costs, and federal spending.The White House official indicated that White House Counsel Will Scharf and his team are also examining "what actions Trump can legally take on his own, in what areas he can push the boundaries of his authority, and how to defend these decisions in court."In the past month, Trump has been holding rallies across the country, trying to maintain Republican control of Congress. Meanwhile, his aides are reportedly privately beginning to prepare for a potentially very different political landscape in 2027.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $114,000 in the event "Which party will win the House of Representatives in 2026," targeting the "Democratic Party." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 95%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Winning Party in the House of Representatives in 2026" event on the prediction market Polymarket is currently among the hottest trading topics, with a cumulative fund pool size reaching 309 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "Democratic Party," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 92.5%.

According to The Block, as the U.S. midterm elections approach, the digital asset industry may face changes in the congressional political landscape. Over the past two years, the Republican-led Congress passed the stablecoin bill GENIUS Act and advanced the broader Clarity Act; the latter passed the House in 2025 but stalled in the Senate due to controversies over stablecoin rewards and ethical issues raised by former President Trump's crypto wealth. Prediction market Kalshi shows that the probability of the Democrats winning the Senate and the House is 64% and 90%, respectively.The chair of congressional committees holds the power to set the agenda. If the Democrats regain the Senate, Elizabeth Warren will become the chair of the Senate Banking Committee. Ron Hammond, head of policy and advocacy at Wintermute, expects that she will actively use subpoena power and may focus on scrutinizing the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency's approvals of new bank charters for Ripple, Coinbase, and World Liberty Financial, which is supported by the Trump family.The election situation in Ohio is also under scrutiny, with former Senate Banking Committee chair Sherrod Brown facing pro-crypto Republican Jon Husted. Fairshake PAC has pledged $30 million to support Husted. Hammond stated that if Brown wins, he may become the chair of the Senate Agriculture Committee, which could potentially shelve related crypto legislation. In the House Financial Services Committee, regardless of whether Maxine Waters, Sean Casten, or Bill Foster leads, the Clarity Act is unlikely to advance. Lindsay Fraser, chief policy officer of the Blockchain Association, stated that while congressional control may change, the demand for clear crypto regulations will not.

TechCrunch reported that the conversational AI research and design studio Convovo, led by Cornell University professor Tapan Parikh, released a study stating that when asked to recommend only one candidate for the upcoming U.S. midterm elections, SpaceXAI's Grok 4.7 chose Republican candidates 92% of the time, while OpenAI's GPT-6.1 Sol chose Democratic candidates 97% of the time. The study covered nearly 500 campaigns, with the two models agreeing on recommendations less than 10% of the time.Researchers posed the same question to both models via API, asking for a specific candidate without allowing for avoidance or a tie. The report noted that consumer applications refused to answer. An OpenAI spokesperson stated that ChatGPT is designed to be objective by default, and political conversations should not carry any directional bias; the study tested the developer API, and the prompt explicitly requested a candidate recommendation, which cannot represent the user experience when asking questions through the chat application. SpaceXAI did not respond to requests for comment in time.The report indicated that Grok's responses often cited conservative sources as well as Ballotpedia, OpenSecrets, and VoteSmart, with 39% including Christian conservative voter guides, 23% including Turning Point Action, and 41% including X; GPT's results heavily relied on Wikipedia, the Associated Press, Axios, and Reddit. The study also mentioned that each time Grok was called via the xAI API, it included approximately 1,240 additional input tokens that the researchers did not write, could not view, or remove. Parikh subsequently disabled online search and sampled 30 campaigns, with GPT choosing Democrats in 24 cases, while Grok refused to choose in 27 cases.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $86,680.99 in the event "Power Balance: 2026 Midterm Elections," betting on "Democratic Victory." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 67%.

Elon Musk warned that he would retaliate if the Democrats control the U.S. Congress and investigate him and his companies. Musk stated that he would directly target the puppet masters, rather than the puppets. His companies include Tesla and SpaceX, which have business dealings with the federal government and may be scrutinized if the Democrats control Congress.

Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo stated during a panel discussion at the Token2049 conference with OKX CEO Star Xu that if the cryptocurrency industry wants to push for federal-level cryptocurrency legislation, it must maintain a balance between supporting the Democratic and Republican parties. He pointed out that the industry previously "believed that heavy investment in the Republican Party" would help pass the CLARITY Act, but "when you heavily invest in the Republican Party, you inherently alienate the Democratic Party."According to data tracked by Tech Influence Watch, cryptocurrency-related political action committees have spent $54.3 million supporting the Republican Party and $26.2 million supporting the Democratic Party in the 2026 election cycle, with an additional $23.2 million spent opposing Democratic candidates. Cuomo stated that passing legislation requires support from both the Democratic and Republican parties and should be more balanced. He also refuted the notion that the Democratic Party is inherently opposed to cryptocurrency, arguing that cryptocurrency is actually well-suited for the Democratic Party because it empowers individuals who previously could not access financial products. Prediction market Kalshi data shows that the probability of the Democratic Party winning both houses of Congress is about 61%.In terms of background, the House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act in July 2025 with the support of 78 Democratic representatives and 216 Republican representatives, while 134 Democratic representatives voted against it; in June 2025, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act with support from 18 Democratic senators.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the event "Power Balance: 2026 Midterm Elections" is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching 178 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "Democratic Party Victory," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 66.5%.

Former New York Governor and OKX Director Andrew Cuomo stated that if the Democratic Party wins Congress in the midterm elections, the current regulatory progress in the cryptocurrency industry may be overturned. He noted that the ad hoc rules set by regulators are much weaker than legislation and emphasized that "regulation is not legislation."Previously, on September 15, the Senate voted 49 in favor and 50 against to veto the CLARITY Act, which aimed to establish federal rules for the cryptocurrency market, failing to reach the 60-vote threshold; the SEC granted a five-year exemption for tokenized stock trading on September 17. Andrew Cuomo expects the new Congress to closely scrutinize such agency rules and hopes that the lame-duck Congress will pass relevant legislation before January 1 of next year.

The Democratic investigators of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations of the U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs released a report accusing USDT of becoming an important financial conduit for Iran's shadow banking system, and called for the Treasury Department and the Justice Department to investigate whether Tether violated sanctions and banking laws. The report mentioned Tether's relationship with the Trump administration, including business dealings between Tether and Cantor Fitzgerald, controlled by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's family, as well as Bo Hines, the former head of the White House Cryptocurrency Committee, serving as Tether's head of U.S. operations.This report continues the Democratic investigation into the Trump family's cryptocurrency business. In May 2025, Richard Blumenthal launched an investigation into TRUMP, the token holders' dinner, and World Liberty Financial; in June, Elizabeth Warren and Jeff Merkley demanded explanations from MGX and Binance on why they used the Trump family-affiliated stablecoin USD1 to settle a $2 billion investment. In November, the Democratic members of the House Judiciary Committee released a report accusing the Trump family of profiting from cryptocurrency businesses such as WLFI and TRUMP, describing regulatory rollbacks, termination of enforcement, and pardons for related individuals as a form of benefit transfer, claiming their cryptocurrency assets were valued at up to $11.6 billion, with related revenues exceeding $800 million in the first half of 2025.In 2026, Ro Khanna investigated reports that members of the UAE royal family spent $500 million to acquire a 49% stake in WLFI, and whether this transaction was related to U.S. policies on AI chips in the UAE;

The crypto media The Block reported that there are 36 days until the U.S. midterm elections. The cumulative trading volume on the U.S. presidential election market on the prediction market platform Polymarket US has surpassed $545 million, making election-related markets one of the largest by trading volume on the platform.Traders currently assign a 91% probability to the Democratic Party winning the U.S. House of Representatives, up from 73% in May. The aforementioned trading volume and probability are both derived from the U.S. election-related markets on Polymarket US.

According to a report by Reuters, if the Democrats gain control of the House of Representatives or the Senate after the midterm elections in November, they are expected to launch investigations into business dealings related to Trump and his family, focusing on the cryptocurrency, prediction markets, and investment businesses involving the Trump family, as well as companies that funded projects for the White House.The report states that controlling either chamber of Congress will give the Democrats more resources for committee investigations and subpoena power, with some investigations potentially starting as early as February next year. The subjects of investigation frequently mentioned by Democratic lawmakers include the venture capital firm 1789 Capital, in which Donald Trump Jr. is involved, as well as cryptocurrency companies related to the Trump family, but a final list of investigations has not yet been established.Additionally, Republican Senator John Curtis has previously called for an investigation into some of Donald Trump Jr.'s business relationships, believing that the commercial activities of the presidential family should be subject to consistent congressional oversight.

A survey by the Democratic Party of the U.S. Senate claims that the stablecoin USDT issued by Tether has become a major payment method for Iran. The survey shows that among over 800 sanctioned cryptocurrency wallets, about 84% primarily or exclusively use USDT.The U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations had previously stated that its review of blockchain records, sanctions lists, and asset seizure notices found that the sanctioned wallets are mainly distributed across the Tron and Ethereum networks and have conducted USDT transactions.

The U.S. midterm elections have become a key concern for the stock market amid the surge in AI trading. Polls indicate that the Democratic Party may regain control of Congress, and Wall Street strategists point out that this could put pressure on AI boom stocks.The Chief Market Strategist at Zacks Investment says that if the Democrats perform strongly in the elections, hearings on AI safety issues may increase. A strategist at Wolfe Research expects that the Democrats may establish an "AI Special Committee" for inquiries.

Democratic members of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Republican Senator Tim Scott, calling for a congressional hearing on prediction markets. The Democrats stated in the letter that the committee has a "critical oversight responsibility" in regulating prediction markets and emphasized that Congress should examine prediction markets through public hearings on a bipartisan basis, rather than in closed-door roundtable meetings limited to Republicans and industry-friendly discussions. Senators including Elizabeth Warren signed the letter.On the same day, Republican members of the Senate Banking Committee met with Tarek Mansour, CEO of the prediction market platform Kalshi. Scott stated in a statement to The Block that he convened Republican lawmakers to meet with Kalshi to better understand the opportunities and challenges presented by securities-linked products. The two sides discussed keeping innovation within the United States, how investors use these products, protecting retail investors, and regulatory issues that Congress should address. Kalshi did not immediately respond to a request for comment.Currently, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) advocates for a leading role in the regulation of prediction markets but faces opposition from various states, which claim jurisdiction over sports event contracts. The Senate Banking Committee, on the other hand, has jurisdiction over the SEC and is responsible for regulating "securities-linked products" related to prediction markets. Democrats pointed out that the bets offered by such products, which are linked to company performance metrics, may fall under the SEC's regulatory scope. It has been reported that Cboe Global Markets is seeking SEC approval for its listing of "all-or-nothing options" linked to company earnings results.