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BTC $62,737.10 +0.76%
ETH $1,646.06 -0.01%
BNB $598.44 +0.85%
XRP $1.11 -0.79%
SOL $65.62 +0.99%
TRX $0.3210 -0.42%
DOGE $0.0848 +0.21%
ADA $0.1663 +0.91%
BCH $199.50 -0.50%
LINK $7.76 -0.26%
HYPE $56.69 -0.98%
AAVE $63.39 +0.42%
SUI $0.7503 -0.47%
XLM $0.1864 -1.22%
ZEC $420.12 -3.39%

ftx

Analysis: Bitcoin's "silent bear market" continues, recording the worst weekly performance since the FTX collapse

Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last Monday, marking the worst weekly performance since the FTX exchange collapse in 2022. As of last Sunday, Bitcoin had accumulated a 16% decline over the past 7 days, retreating more than 50% from its historical high of over $126,000 in 2025. Several market analysts warned that the current rebound may be difficult to sustain, and Bitcoin may not have reached the bottom of this cycle yet. Griffin Ardern, co-founder of Primal Fund, stated that the market is still quite far from the "true bottom."Data shows that the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has recorded net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with a total outflow of approximately $5.5 billion. At the same time, Bitcoin fell below the 200-week moving average, widely regarded as a key support level, further weakening market confidence. Paul Howard, a senior executive at crypto trading firm Wincent, described the current market as a "silent bear market," believing that falling below the 200-week moving average is an important confirmation signal for the market entering a bear phase.Analysts pointed out that the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, the reversal of expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and strong U.S. employment data are driving the market to reprice the interest rate path, with a high interest rate environment being unfavorable for the performance of risk assets, including crypto assets. Additionally, some funds are flowing from the crypto market into artificial intelligence and tech stock sectors. Nevertheless, the current pullback is still less than historical bear market cycles. In past bear markets, Bitcoin typically retreated about 80% from its peak, while this round has seen a decline of about 50%. Some traders believe that if the macro environment continues to deteriorate and companies holding large amounts of Bitcoin face financing pressures, there remains a risk of further downside in the market.

Forbes: SBF's venture capital capabilities reassessed; if not imprisoned, could possess a fortune of $100 billion

According to Forbes, SBF's early investment portfolio is being re-evaluated by the market, with some opinions suggesting that if he had not been imprisoned due to the FTX collapse, his venture capital layout could theoretically yield a wealth increase of up to about $100 billion.Before the FTX collapse, SBF had established an investment landscape covering several star companies, including Anthropic, SpaceX, Robinhood, and the AI programming tool Cursor, which was considered to have significant foresight.Industry insiders pointed out that he had bet on key tracks ahead of the AI wave, among which: Cursor recently reached a partnership with SpaceX, with a valuation potentially reaching $60 billion, and Anthropic's valuation is nearing $90 billion. Rory O'Driscoll, a partner at Scale Venture Partners, stated that SBF had laid out investments in several core AI companies before ChatGPT, "demonstrating a rare investment sensitivity." However, this "investment talent narrative" was ultimately completely altered by the FTX collapse.SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence for misappropriating over $8 billion in customer funds. At his peak, his personal wealth reached about $24 billion, and he made it onto the Forbes 400 list. Today, his venture capital capabilities are intertwined with his history of financial crime, making him one of the most controversial cases in cryptocurrency history.
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