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hoarding

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Analyst: Significant differentiation has appeared on the Bitcoin blockchain, with whales turning to hoarding coins while spot demand remains weak

On-chain data analyst XWIN cited CryptoQuant data indicating that Bitcoin's current on-chain data is showing a significant divergence between whale behavior and the spot market. Although large holders have begun to accumulate again, demand in the spot market remains weak, and the market is transitioning from "seller exhaustion" to a potential bottom. XWIN stated that on-chain data shows positive accumulation signals. Holders of 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoins have significantly reversed their 60-day net accumulation from negative 62,600 to positive 5,230, indicating that major whales are shifting from a distribution model back to accumulation.At the same time, the USDT reserves on the Binance trading platform have surged from about 790 million USD to 1.76 billion USD, suggesting that potential buying power in the market is increasing. However, spot buying in the U.S. has not kept pace. The Coinbase premium index is currently around -0.1416%, and weekly trading platform flow has turned into a net inflow of 8,428 BTC. Additionally, the short-term holder spent output profit ratio (STH-SOPR) hovers around 0.9982, indicating that short-term holders are still experiencing slight losses near the breakeven point and are choosing to sell.Analysts believe that while the underlying structure is improving, stronger spot demand is still urgently needed to spark a sustainable rebound. They suggest that investors focus on three key signals in the future: the trend of the Coinbase premium index, changes in exchange net flow, and whether the STH-SOPR can successfully rise above the 1 mark.

Data: ETH hoarding address increased by 2.5 million ETH, with over 2 billion dollars in short positions concentrated at the 2000 dollar level

CryptoQuant data shows that the average size of ETH whale sell orders on Binance has decreased from around 1,350 ETH recently to about 2,250 ETH at the beginning of January. Based on an estimated 15 to 35 whale-level transactions per day, the cumulative sell volume since January 8 is approximately 1.8 million to 2 million ETH. At an average price of $2,400, this corresponds to a large transaction amount of about $4.3 billion to $4.8 billion.Analyst Darkfost stated that the decrease in average order size indicates that large participants are gradually exiting the market, while smaller traders maintain stable trading volumes, and large players are reducing their direct interaction with the order book. This shift has led to a temporary weakening of market depth, diminishing the ETH market's ability to respond to short-term price imbalances.Meanwhile, ETH accumulation addresses have increased their holdings by over 2.5 million ETH during the price drop of about 20% in February, raising total holdings from 22 million at the beginning of the year to 26.7 million, indicating stable demand beneath the surface. Futures market liquidation data shows that over $2 billion in short positions are concentrated around the $2,000 mark, forming a dense liquidity area that may become a short-term attraction zone for ETH prices. If ETH declines to $1,600, approximately $682 million in long positions could be at risk.
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