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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "France vs Sweden - More Markets" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Will the match go into overtime?" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 23% (a fluctuation of 27%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Netherlands vs. Morocco more markets" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Will the match go to a penalty shootout" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 16% (a fluctuation of 34%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale has made a single purchase of $284,490 on the "Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets" event, targeting the "Advancing Team." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 87%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $62,604.81 in the "Brazil vs Japan - More Markets" event, specifically on "O/U 2.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 57%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $99,952.06 in the "Jordan vs. Argentina - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "Argentina (-2.5)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 44%.

According to Cointelegraph, in the wave of declines in technology stocks, cryptocurrency-related stocks have suffered particularly severe losses, with the divergence from the broader market continuing to widen. Coinbase (COIN) and Circle (CRCL) have fallen 69% and 72% from their respective historical highs, far exceeding the 48% to 57% pullback of mainstream tech stocks like Oracle, Salesforce, Netflix, and Palantir; in contrast, the S&P 500 index has only retreated 3.5% from its recent peak.On the fundamental side, Coinbase's first-quarter performance was significantly below Wall Street expectations, with a 21% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue and a loss of $1.49 per share, while analysts had previously expected earnings of $0.27 per share. Bitcoin fell below $60,000 this week, down more than 54% from its October peak; Ethereum also dropped to around $1,500, down about 69% from last year's high, with market sentiment continuing to deteriorate.21Shares has lowered its 2026 cryptocurrency market expectations in its mid-year outlook report, believing that the performance of digital asset prices is significantly lagging behind the industry's fundamentals. The institution pointed out that institutional adoption is still deepening, with stablecoins, asset tokenization, and prediction markets maintaining strong development momentum, but the four-year market cycle of Bitcoin remains the dominant force in price trends. The report also acknowledged previous misjudgments—"the cycle of Bitcoin is evolving, but has not yet broken," retracting its earlier assertion that the four-year cycle was outdated.Analysts believe that the deep pullback in cryptocurrency stocks reflects the overall weakness of the digital asset market, the uncertainty of legislative progress in the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure, and the compounded pressure from the potential impact of AI technology on existing business models.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $56,000 in a single transaction for the event "Senegal vs Iraq - More Markets" on "O/U 3.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 56%.

According to Gate market data, the euro against the US dollar EUR/USD has risen more than 0.5% during the day, currently reported at 1.1426.

According to Jinshi reports, a Reuters survey shows that since 2023, for the first time, more economists predict that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates rather than cut them.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that if the rise in core CPI is driven by the service sector, it would concern me more than if it were driven by goods or oil-related items.

According to The Block, a survey by CoinShares of 261 wealth management professionals in Europe shows that 52% of UK wealth advisors indicate that most of their clients' crypto asset exposure is outside their management scope (with a management gap exceeding 50%), while the overall percentage in Europe is one-quarter.The report points out that this "management blind spot" is primarily driven by company policies rather than a lack of advisor knowledge or client demand. In companies with explicit restrictions or a lack of internal guidance, the proportion of advisors actively recommending crypto assets is only 1%, while the management gap reaches 34%; in contrast, in companies with clear support, the recommendation rate is 48%, and the management gap is only 4%.The survey also found that the changes advisors most want to see are regulatory recognition of digital assets as a mainstream asset class (45%) and access to exchange-traded products (ETPs) (43%), rather than purely educational training.Currently, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has proposed allowing authorized funds to hold up to 10% in crypto ETPs, and the European regulatory environment is gradually shifting towards support, which may help narrow this management gap.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $59,400 in a single bet on the "Scotland vs. Brazil - More Markets" event for "O/U 2.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this bet is 54%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $193,914.4 in the "Morocco vs. Haiti - More Markets" event, specifically in the "Morocco O/U 2.5" bet. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this bet is 54%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $77,630.07 in the "Bosnia vs. Qatar - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "Bosnia (-1.5)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 52%.

According to the Korea Economic Daily, at least seven companies, including Dunamu, the operator of the South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit, have submitted proposals to bid to become the first private custodian of virtual assets seized by the Korean National Police Agency. Other bidders include major custodians Korea Digital Asset (KODA), Korea Digital Asset Custody (KDAC), BDACS, Hecto Wallet One, Infinite Block, and DSRV.An official from a virtual asset custody institution explained that the selection results may be finalized next month. The official pointed out that in a previous pilot project conducted for the National Tax Service, the winning bidder was determined within one to two weeks after the proposal presentation concluded.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. semiconductor stocks rose broadly before the market opened, with Micron Technology up more than 3%, Qualcomm up more than 3%, Intel and Marvell Technology up about 2%, and AMD up 1.5%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $58,232.62 in the "Colombia vs. Democratic Republic of the Congo - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "Colombia (-3.5)." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 95%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $100,000 in the "England vs. Ghana - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "England (-2.5)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 40%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $50,132.5 in the event "Portugal vs Uzbekistan - More Markets," targeting "Portugal (-2.5)." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 55%.

According to Jinshi reports, the USD/JPY has briefly dropped over 30 points and is now rebounding to 161.48.