one-year

According to unfolded citing ARK data, the one-year actual volatility of Bitcoin was close to 42% at the end of the second quarter. Despite the weak price, it is still near multi-year lows.This indicates that the asset is maturing or that volatility is being suppressed; low volatility typically signals a surge in volatility after a catalyst appears.

According to The Block, U.S. regulators failed to issue the final rules necessary to implement the federal stablecoin framework within the one-year deadline set by the GENIUS Act. This act was signed into law by Trump on July 18, 2025, requiring the OCC, the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, the NCUA, the U.S. Department of the Treasury, and state stablecoin regulatory agencies to complete the supporting rulemaking by no later than July 18, 2026.As of the afternoon of July 18 local time, the main rule proposals released by the OCC, FDIC, NCUA, and the Treasury remain in the proposal stage, with some rules related to the Federal Reserve and anti-money laundering regulation still open for public comment. The report notes that the act does not stipulate that missing the deadline will automatically extend it, nor does it suspend the relevant statutory requirements or delay the overall framework's effectiveness.Among them, the OCC's comprehensive implementation proposal covers reserve assets, capital, liquidity, custody, risk control, and reporting requirements; the FDIC's proposal involves reserves, redemption, custody, and the deposit insurance treatment of stablecoin reserves; the NCUA proposed licensing and operational risk control plans in February and May, respectively, but the comment period for the latter only ended the day before the deadline, making it objectively impossible to complete formal rulemaking before the statutory deadline. The report indicates that this means that some key rules necessary for the operation of the stablecoin framework will not be finalized until at least after the deadline.

According to Jinshi reports, the preliminary value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for July is 4.2%, lower than the market expectation of 4.5%, and a decrease from the previous value of 4.6%.

According to Jinshi, the 1-year inflation expectation of the New York Fed in June rose to 3.67%, an increase from the previous value of 3.46%.

According to Jinshi, the preliminary value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for June is 4.6%, lower than the market expectation of 4.9%, and the previous value was 4.8%.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for May is 4.8%, up from the previous value of 4.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, the initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for May is 4.5%, lower than the market expectation of 4.8%, and the previous value was 4.7%.

According to Jinshi, the 1-year inflation expectation for April from the New York Fed is 3.64%, higher than the market expectation of 3.5% and the previous value of 3.42%.

German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil stated that the German government plans to tax Bitcoin and crypto assets in a way that differs from current rules, potentially abolishing the existing policy that allows for tax exemption after holding for more than a year, and aligning its tax treatment more closely with that of stock assets.The related adjustments have raised concerns among some legal scholars, who argue that if stricter tax regulations are implemented solely for Bitcoin, it may involve the equal protection principle in the German Constitution. Previously, Austria had already abolished a similar long-term holding tax exemption policy.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for April is 4.7%, lower than the market expectation of 4.8% and also lower than the previous value of 4.8%.

According to Jinshi reports, the initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for April is 4.8%, higher than the market expectation of 4.3%, and the previous value was 3.8%.

According to Jinshi, the 1-year inflation expectation for March from the New York Fed is 3.42%, lower than the market expectation of 3.5%, and the previous value was 3%.

According to Jinshi reports, the final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the U.S. for March is 3.8%, lower than the market expectation of 3.9%, and the previous value was 3.4%.

According to the RootData calendar page, next week includes several important news items such as project updates, macroeconomic finance, token unlocks, incentive activities, and presale events. The details are as follows:March 23:Polymarket announces major news;AVAIL unlocks 20,913.19 million tokens, worth $849,700, accounting for 5.58% of the circulating supply;SOON unlocks 2,187.64 million tokens, worth $2,866,300, accounting for 4.749% of the circulating supply;ZORA unlocks 16,666.67 million tokens, worth $2,817,600, accounting for 3.728% of the circulating supply.March 24:NIL unlocks 11,865.18 million tokens, worth $5,614,300, accounting for 37.752% of the circulating supply;Japan's February core CPI year-on-year rate.March 26:SAHARA unlocks 7,239.58 million tokens, worth $2,027,100, accounting for 2.488% of the circulating supply;ALT unlocks 24,658.98 million tokens, worth $1,818,900, accounting for 4.338% of the circulating supply;soonBase L3 network ceases operations.March 27:WAL unlocks 38,833.33 million tokens, worth $31,024,700, accounting for 17.323% of the circulating supply;U.S. March one-year inflation rate expectation final value;Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson delivers a speech;2027 FOMC voting member and San Francisco Fed President Daly gives an opening speech at a conference on macroeconomics and monetary policy.March 28:XPL unlocks 8,888.89 million tokens, worth $857,160, accounting for 4.938% of the circulating supply;SIGN unlocks 9,666.67 million tokens, worth $460,290, accounting for 5.894% of the circulating supply.March 29:HYPE unlocks 991.67 million tokens, worth $399,245, accounting for 4.16% of the circulating supply;In addition, there is a button at the top of the RootData calendar page for generating image shares, allowing users to select important events for sharing.Risk warning: This calendar does not constitute any investment advice.

According to Jinshi, the initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for March is 3.4%, lower than the market expectation of 3.7%, and the same as the previous value of 3.4%.

According to Jinshi, the 1-year inflation expectation for February from the New York Fed is 3%, down from the previous value of 3.09%.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the U.S. one-year inflation rate expectation for February is 3.4%, lower than the market expectation of 3.5%, and unchanged from the previous value of 3.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, the initial value of the U.S. one-year inflation rate expectation for February is 3.5%, lower than the market expectation of 4%, and the previous value was 4%.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the U.S. one-year inflation rate expectation for January is 4%, lower than the market expectation of 4.2%, and the previous value was 4.2%.

According to Cointelegraph, analyst Mignolet stated that the Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) indicator has hit a nearly 12-month low, attributed to U.S. whales selling off during the holiday period in the U.S. market, rather than a Bitcoin spot ETF.Data shows that the current 30-day average CPG for Bitcoin has dropped to about -63.85, the lowest level since 2025, indicating that selling pressure from U.S. investors is stronger than that in the global market.CPG primarily tracks the price difference between the Bitcoin/USD trading pair on Coinbase and the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance. Technically, the daily chart for Bitcoin has formed a rising wedge pattern, which increases the risk of a price decline, potentially falling to around $80,000.