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pac

Tom Lee: The sell-off of chip stocks is mainly related to the reallocation of funds before the SpaceX IPO, and the current pullback will have buying support

Tom Lee, Chairman of BitMine, the largest treasury in Ethereum, stated in an interview with CNBC that the current market is showing signs of tension, mainly due to the reallocation of funds ahead of the SpaceX IPO and the market digesting previous gains. The SpaceX IPO is expected to reach $75 billion and will be included in the Nasdaq 100 index, which means many institutional funds need to raise capital in advance, not only to participate in the IPO but also to reserve cash for establishing sufficient weighted positions in the secondary market after the listing. He believes this means institutions may sell some stocks that have recently risen significantly, putting pressure on chip stocks.Tom Lee believes that storage chip stocks and the semiconductor sector have still held their lows from last Friday, indicating that the relevant charts have not completely broken down. The current pullback is healthy and he does not believe it will disrupt the main trading line of tech stocks. The trading performance on the first day of SpaceX's listing is very important. If SpaceX performs poorly, it will provide evidence for those who believe the market has peaked. However, he stated that since many people already think the SpaceX IPO marks a peak, from a contrarian perspective, this may not be the peak.Tom Lee still believes that tech stocks will continue to lead the market upward and stated that the current pullback will be bought. He expects the market to still show a "three-phase" trend this year, with a strong upward trend continuing in the foreseeable future, but a pullback may occur later this year, potentially around the time the IPO lock-up period expires and related supply pressures arise. The subsequent second phase market pullback may be driven by three factors: the market's testing of the policy path of the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, stock supply from the expiration of large IPO lock-up periods, and potential energy shortage pressures that may arise later this year.

Gate directly connects to the IPO officially launched, the first project SpaceX opens for intention to subscribe applications

Gate announced that the first phase of its IPO Access project has officially launched, with SpaceX as the initial offering. Users can now submit their intention to subscribe through the Gate platform to participate in investment opportunities for popular company IPOs. The event adopts an "intention to subscribe" mechanism, and the platform will calculate the allocation weight based on the average locked amount during the subscription period.Ultimately, users may receive full allocation, partial allocation, or no allocation at all, with the specific results determined by the project's issuance situation and the actual allocation amount obtained by the platform. After receiving the IPO allocation, the corresponding stocks will be directly distributed to the Gate stock account. After the allocation ends, the relevant stocks will be listed on the Gate stock section on June 12, allowing users to directly engage in real stock trading or hold them, achieving a seamless transition from IPO subscription to secondary market trading.As an important part of Gate's stock business, IPO Access provides users with a new channel to participate in the subscription of globally popular companies going public. Currently, with the launch of IPO Access, Gate is gradually improving its product ecosystem covering Pre-IPO, IPO, and stock trading, providing users with a more convenient one-stop global investment experience.

Gate launches SpaceX direct IPO, achieving "immediate allocation upon listing, stocks delivered directly to accounts."

Gate Direct IPO's first project officially launches SpaceX, providing users with a new option to participate in globally popular IPO investment opportunities. Through the Gate platform, users submit intention applications and receive corresponding spot stocks after the company officially lists, achieving a seamless connection from IPO application to stock trading. Compared to traditional IPO processes, Gate Direct IPO significantly lowers the participation threshold, eliminating the need for complex cross-border account openings and multi-platform operations. After the company completes its IPO, the platform will distribute stocks directly to users' spot stock accounts after the company officially goes public, realizing an investment experience of "immediate allocation upon listing, stocks delivered directly to accounts."As one of the most watched commercial space companies globally, SpaceX has long attracted attention from the capital market due to its reusable rockets, Starlink satellite internet, and future space economy layout. After the IPO allocation ends, stocks will be directly distributed to Gate stock accounts on June 12, allowing users to hold and trade real U.S. stocks without needing to open additional accounts. This launch also marks Gate's further integration of the complete investment chain from Pre-IPO, IPO to stock trading, providing users with more efficient and convenient global asset allocation services.

Ontario teachers' pension fund bets on SpaceX, with post-IPO holdings potentially soaring to $11.6 billion

According to Forbes, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan in Canada is expected to gain substantial returns from the SpaceX IPO. The fund invested approximately $220 million in SpaceX in 2019 when the company's valuation was around $33 billion to $36 billion.If SpaceX goes public as planned at $135 per share, with an estimated valuation of about $1.75 trillion, the shares held by the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan would rise to approximately $11.6 billion, with potential paper gains exceeding $11 billion. As of the end of 2025, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan manages assets of about $279.4 billion, covering 346,000 active and retired teachers.The fund's Chief Investment Officer Gillian Brown previously stated that an IPO does not necessarily mean an exit point, and they may continue to hold shares in the future to see if SpaceX can initiate a new growth cycle after acquiring xAI. Notably, the fund had invested about $95 million in FTX in 2022 and wrote down that investment to zero after FTX's bankruptcy. However, benefiting from strong performances from projects like SpaceX, its venture capital portfolio is still expected to achieve a 30% growth by 2025.Currently, some institutions are cautious about SpaceX's valuation. Morningstar believes its fair valuation is less than half of the IPO target. Based on a $1.75 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's wealth, holding about 41% of the shares, is expected to rise further, potentially making him the world's first trillionaire.

Next week's macro outlook: US CPI alongside the decisions of two major central banks, SpaceX IPO is coming in strong

According to Jinshi reports, after the release of significantly better-than-expected non-farm payroll data on Friday, market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes this year surged, causing spot gold to plummet sharply, nearly erasing all gains for the year, marking a fourth consecutive week of declines. Silver's overall trend mirrored that of gold but with slightly stronger volatility, closing down 9.85% for the week. The U.S. dollar index, buoyed by the unexpected non-farm data, rose significantly to just above the 100 mark. Following the non-farm data on Friday, U.S. tech stocks suffered heavy losses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.35%, the S&P 500 index fell 2.65%, marking the largest single-day drop since October 2025; the Nasdaq dropped 4.18%, the largest single-day decline since April 2025.Goldman Sachs believes that the current market sentiment is clearly more greedy than fearful. Deutsche Bank pointed out that the market is highly sensitive to any negative news involving Iran. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week (all times are in Beijing time):Monday 23:00, U.S. May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations;Tuesday 14:00, Germany April seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month, April seasonally adjusted trade balance;Tuesday 18:00, U.S. May NFIB Small Business Confidence Index;Tuesday 20:15, U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending May 23;Wednesday 20:30, U.S. May unadjusted CPI, May seasonally adjusted CPI/core CPI month-on-month;Wednesday 21:45, Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision;Thursday 20:15, European Central Bank announces interest rate decision;Thursday 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 6, May PPI year-on-year/month-on-month;Friday 14:00, Germany May CPI month-on-month final value;Friday 14:45, France May CPI month-on-month final value;Friday 22:00, U.S. June 1-year inflation expectations preliminary value, June University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index preliminary value.In the coming week, the market will face a series of important events, but the most anticipated remains the potential initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX. According to current plans, this transaction may launch on Friday, and if it proceeds, it is expected to have a significant impact on overall market sentiment, although the specific direction is still difficult to determine.In addition to SpaceX, the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference, earnings reports, and TSMC's May sales data may also become important factors influencing market volatility. Next week, U.S. stocks will enter a relatively calm phase of earnings season; although the overall number of reports is not large, heavyweight tech companies Oracle and Adobe will take the stage one after another, becoming the focus of market attention.

Analysis: On-chain data does not show that investors are massively selling off crypto assets to participate in the SpaceX IPO

According to CoinDesk, despite market speculation that some retail investors may sell Bitcoin to participate in SpaceX's record-breaking $75 billion IPO, stablecoin liquidity and on-chain data show that there are currently no signs of large-scale capital withdrawal from the crypto market.This SpaceX IPO is valued at approximately $1.8 trillion, allocating up to 30% of shares to retail investors through platforms such as Robinhood, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab, significantly higher than the traditional IPO's allocation of about 10% to individual investors. After the roadshow began, subscription demand has exceeded the issuance scale.Data shows that the outflow of USDT and USDC remains within the normal range since February this year, with no abnormal redemptions or supply contractions. In contrast, on June 6, Bitcoin and Ethereum recorded net outflows of approximately 66,470 BTC and 2.49 million ETH from exchanges, indicating that more investors are transferring assets to private wallets, showing signs of buying the dip rather than concentrated cashing out.However, on-chain data cannot reflect the trading behavior of users on platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase, so whether crypto investors are selling assets to subscribe to SpaceX stock still requires waiting for relevant brokers to release subsequent data.Currently, the most significant capital outflows are coming from spot ETFs. Data shows that as of June 3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total redemptions of approximately $4.4 billion; spot Ethereum ETFs have seen capital outflows for 17 consecutive trading days before returning to slight net inflows.According to the plan, SpaceX will complete pricing on June 11 and will be listed on Nasdaq under the stock code SPCX on June 12.
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