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Gate Ventures: BTC and ETH continue their recovery trend, on-chain settlement infrastructure attracts capital attention

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global risk assets are under pressure due to adjustments in technology stocks, fluctuations in the energy market, and changes in macro expectations, with the cryptocurrency market showing a volatile recovery trend. BTC rose 1.1% over the week, ETH rose 4.4%, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio up by 2.2%, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies increased by 1.03%. In terms of capital flow, the net inflow for spot BTC ETFs was only $33.8 million for the week, the lowest level since their launch; the net inflow for spot ETH ETFs during the same period was $103.9 million, indicating an improvement in market sentiment, with the Fear and Greed Index rising to 30, but still in the "fear" range. Meanwhile, the price of STRC under Strategy remained around $86, trading below par for the ninth consecutive week, with the institutional holding ratio continuing to increase, and the market is paying attention to its subsequent performance.In terms of industry development, stablecoin payments and the construction of blockchain financial infrastructure are continuing to advance. KB Kookmin Bank is collaborating with Kinexys, a subsidiary of JPMorgan, to explore blockchain-based cross-border payment services, further promoting traditional financial institutions' layout in on-chain payment scenarios; Kakao and Circle are exploring the payment infrastructure for a Korean won stablecoin, accelerating the application exploration of stablecoins in retail payments and cross-border settlements. In terms of investment and financing, a total of 8 financing transactions were completed last week, with a disclosed total financing amount of $196.5 million, among which the financing scale in the infrastructure sector was the highest, reaching $193 million, and the stablecoin clearing infrastructure project Augustus completed $180 million in financing. Overall, the market's short-term risk appetite remains cautious, but stablecoin payments, on-chain clearing, and financial infrastructure construction continue to attract capital attention.

Data: The selling pressure on Bitcoin is easing, with losses down 56% from the peak, but the recovery in demand is still insufficient

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase of Bitcoin has seen the highest historical scale of holder realized losses, with the 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses reaching $1.37 billion in February 2026, which is 19% higher than the cycle peak of $1.15 billion in 2022. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have decreased by 56.5%, currently down to about $597 million; meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million.Axel Adler pointed out that the sell-off pressure driven by losses has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen a sustained recovery in demand, with the rate of loss decline still outpacing the rate of profit recovery. Historically, on February 20, 2026, realized losses reached $1.37 billion, setting a historical high for this metric; the highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, occurring on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, the 30DMA of Bitcoin realized profits was $257 million, a decrease of 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion set on December 10, 2024; it was also down 77.7% from when Bitcoin hit its historical high of $124,710 on October 6, 2025. This metric had previously hit a low of $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since rebounded by 34.7%.Axel Adler indicated that the selling pressure from profits has significantly decreased, and the amount of coins sold for profit is still at a low level in this cycle, but this does not mean that sellers have completely exhausted themselves, nor does it indicate that market demand has recovered. If realized profits continue to rise above $400 million to $500 million, it would further confirm a sustained improvement in the market. Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has rebounded from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but it is still below the level of 1. Analysts noted that although the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure remains lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's historical peak, there have been 190 days out of the past 291 days where realized losses exceeded realized profits. Axel Adler warned that if the profit/loss ratio falls below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 set on June 30, it could indicate further intensification of market pressure.

Sovright launches Argos wallet recovery tool to help early Zcash users retrieve "frozen" funds

According to The Block, Sovright (the nonprofit successor organization related to Electric Coin Company for Zcash development) has officially released a wallet recovery tool named "Argos," aimed at helping early Zcash users recover funds that have been "stuck" due to the discontinuation of the old version of ZEC Wallet Lite in 2022.Sovright's Executive Board Chair Michelle Lai stated that Argos can recover affected assets as long as users still hold the old wallet mnemonic phrases, but since it only involves specific shielded addresses, the scale of the impact cannot be precisely estimated. However, it is estimated that the "amount is considerable," primarily concentrated among early long-term holders.She referred to the issue as a "technical pitfall" that the community has long failed to address, which, although not prominent, continues to erode user trust. Sovright currently consists of only three core members, all from the former Bootstrap system. The team is also testing a privacy-focused Zcash mining pool to reduce hash power centralization and enhance network decentralization.The governance structure of the organization has undergone significant adjustments, with Electric Coin Company employees collectively leaving to establish a new entity, Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), which has received support from institutions such as Paradigm and a16z, focusing on the development of Zcash-related products.Sovright emphasizes that there is no antagonistic relationship with ZODL and states that it will continue to focus on solving "long-standing issues" in the Zcash ecosystem, including key pain points such as wallet usability and infrastructure stability.

Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.

THORChain has released a recovery plan for the attack incident, and voting for node operators has begun

THORChain has released its fourth update regarding the attack incident on May 15, and the proposal ADR028 has been announced, with voting for node operators now open.According to the recovery plan, the protocol will first absorb losses through its own liquidity, with the remaining portion to be shared by synthetic asset holders; the specific distribution ratio of the two is still under evaluation. The protocol's own liquidity will be reduced to zero, and will be gradually replenished through system revenue. This plan will not issue or sell RUNE, nor will it dilute any holders.On the technical side, GG20 will be temporarily retained and has completed patch upgrades. Trading will resume after the vulnerabilities are fixed and node rotation is successfully conducted, with a future release pace that is slower and more security-conscious. Innocent nodes located in the same vault as the attacker will be protected, while the attacker nodes will be fully confiscated. The recovered RUNE will be paired with the recovered assets, and any excess will be destroyed.The protocol also offers a white hat bounty to the attacker to recover funds; if some are returned, the recovery plan will be adjusted proportionally. THORChain remains neutral and permissionless, and there will be no review of the attacker's Swap transactions after trading resumes. Node operators are currently voting on the proposal direction, and the numbers in the ADR are only indicative, with adjustments to be made through Mimir later.
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